tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post1057565091664612197..comments2024-03-28T18:32:43.699-05:00Comments on Bayou Renaissance Man: An automated workplace is closer than you thinkPeterhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10595089829300831372noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-79898706204503166812014-12-12T07:23:07.572-06:002014-12-12T07:23:07.572-06:00Perhaps we need to approach the problem a differen...Perhaps we need to approach the problem a different way. The nature of the world will change, true. But should we be looking at this as a threat to our livelihoods - our jobs disappearing and there being no jobs for us to do... Or do we need to rebuild the system so that it's no longer necessary to work for a living?m4noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-66770779584590371792014-12-12T04:28:56.549-06:002014-12-12T04:28:56.549-06:00Xoph
Check the blog Chaos Manor for some of the d...Xoph<br /><br />Check the blog Chaos Manor for some of the discussions on the changing nature of work. Also, the book, The Next 100 Years discusses we are in a technological transformation. If you have every supervised people, you know how difficult they can be. And people are expensive. I work in manufacturing and we are looking at 3D printing and other new technologies to drive cost out. Competition is brutal and the only way to stay in business is to continuously cut costs, which really translates to less people time in your product.<br /><br />But we are coming closer to going to the printer and having it print whatever you want. Almost like the Star Trek replicator.<br /><br />The problem will become how do you reward the guy who has to go to school for 16 or 20 years to work on your replicator when its much easier to sit at home and watch TV? Our society will probably stratify even more than it is now around cultural lines where those who have a work ethic will have to do something. People are expensive but even if people decided to work for $1/hr sooner or latter the machines will still be cheaper.<br /><br />We will need our morals more than ever at that point.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-84234831472179576202014-12-11T21:16:22.916-06:002014-12-11T21:16:22.916-06:00Subsistence horticulture is looking better and bet...Subsistence horticulture is looking better and better.<br /><br />Or more and more inevitable, anyway.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15353148533326986159noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-15641816436837785612014-12-11T21:15:03.952-06:002014-12-11T21:15:03.952-06:00Just gonna leave this here...
http://www.despair....Just gonna leave this here...<br /><br />http://www.despair.com/motivation.htmlAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-50237915390873508252014-12-11T19:40:26.173-06:002014-12-11T19:40:26.173-06:00Another problem: even those roles that machines ca...Another problem: even those roles that machines cannot fill can become economically unviable as a career if others have lost their jobs. Call it secondhand unemployment... the machines may not have taken YOUR job, but enough jobs have been taken that there's not enough economic activity to cover your paycheck.<br /><br />Take your own former career of ministry... there's no such thing as a computer that can do that work. But if all the church members are out of jobs and the giving can't pay your salary then you're still out of work.<br /><br />Granted, as you point out, new careers will open up in maintaining or designing these machines (or in other lines of work we're not currently thinking about). That may replace much of the needed economic activity... but it may not.<br />The Raving Prophethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08830254881182697135noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-17187836620831567542014-12-11T16:43:50.304-06:002014-12-11T16:43:50.304-06:00I don't think this will be as bad as it sounds...I don't think this will be as bad as it sounds, it is not a new issue. And we have been adapting to more efficient processes for several hundred years.http://mises.org/blog/fear-robotsAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16585277159237026387noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-72477790625545680072014-12-11T15:54:04.958-06:002014-12-11T15:54:04.958-06:00Sounds like it time to use my CDL Class A license?...Sounds like it time to use my CDL Class A license?jwontheriverhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08085330015176212794noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-37695377647379580962014-12-11T14:08:13.066-06:002014-12-11T14:08:13.066-06:00Mech CAD is long gone. Arch CAD hangs on because ...Mech CAD is long gone. Arch CAD hangs on because having minions strokes the ego of architects.<br /><br />Or am I just cynical about being replaced?Angus McThaghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09295013525738248801noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-42822400129317329482014-12-11T12:40:03.310-06:002014-12-11T12:40:03.310-06:00I should add the reasoning behind my comments: It ...I should add the reasoning behind my comments: It has become a punishable offense in this country to hire a new employee. If the property tax on the machine is less than the 'bamacare, minimum wage and other benefits to a human, guess who get's the "2nd interview"?<br />Long run... where does it go? People need work to earn dollars to trade for products made by machines. Machines don't "buy products aside from replacement parts(made by other machines) and electricity.housefitterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04852283106091749269noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-48362094682079428492014-12-11T12:32:02.839-06:002014-12-11T12:32:02.839-06:00Actually, your high school teacher wasn't righ...Actually, your high school teacher wasn't right, and that's what peter is getting at here. In 5 years, a computerized machine will be pushing the broom around the other machines. 10 years from now, they'll be doing the repair work. 15 years(or less)from now, they'll be programming the machines (actually, in some cam applications that already happens) and in 20 years (or less), computers will be designing new computers autonomously. <br />Where does that leave man? Hopefully the seed of man's fanciful thinking, such as anthropomorphic climate change doesn't find it's way into early programs. We'll be out completely if the software "believes" that.housefitterhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04852283106091749269noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-33234245290915257462014-12-11T11:00:11.960-06:002014-12-11T11:00:11.960-06:00I had a teacher in high school (35 years ago) who ...I had a teacher in high school (35 years ago) who said that there would be 4 categories of jobs:<br /><br />Designing computers and other machines<br />programming computers and other machines<br />Repairing computers and other machines<br /><br />Pushing a broom around the computers and other machines. <br /><br />He was rightAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6244999628674918029.post-11820722161230030712014-12-11T09:37:32.809-06:002014-12-11T09:37:32.809-06:00Thanks for the update. One area where AI may not ...Thanks for the update. One area where AI may not be able to replace humans is in the healthcare field - physical therapy or nursing. Yes, information can be related, but the physical presence of someone helping the afflicted - I'm not sure that can be done.<br /><br />My present job is a CAD Architectural draftsman. I'm pretty sure it will likely be replaced by AI - many CAD programs such as Revit exist already which allows the architect (once they master the program) the ability to not require a draftsman anymore. Pity - I enjoy the work.<br /><br />Thanks again.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com