Friday, November 29, 2019

Ebola: just when things were looking up, the killing starts again


It had begun to look as if the authorities in the Congo, and the international medical teams, had started to get on top of the big Ebola outbreak there.  Sadly, their progress has just come to a grinding halt.

Three health workers were killed when Mai-Mai fighters attacked a center run by the United Nations health agency overnight in Biakato, a local official, Salambongo Selemani, told The Associated Press. One resident also was killed and Congolese forces killed one attacker and captured two others, Mr. Selemani said.

Warnings had been posted earlier demanding that the health workers leave or face “the worst,” he said.

Health workers trying to contain the second-worst Ebola outbreak in history have been targeted in the past, but the current outbreak has been described by some observers as more complicated than any other. Several rebel groups are active in the region, and local officials have said that some of the insurgents believe that the reports of Ebola are a political trick.

. . .

The Ebola response was put on lockdown in Beni, dismaying health experts who say every attack hurts crucial efforts to contain the deadly virus. Most recent new cases have been reported in the newly targeted communities of Biakato, Mangina and Beni.

The number of cases had been dropping in the yearlong outbreak, which has killed more than 2,100 people and was declared a global health emergency earlier this year. Several days this month, zero cases were reported, but cases have surged after attacks on health workers and facilities.

In one example of how any pause can sharply affect Ebola containment efforts, the World Health Organization has said that no one in Beni could be vaccinated against the virus on Monday. The health agency could previously trace more than 90 percent of contacts of infected people in the city, but that figure has dropped to 17 percent, a United Nations spokesman said on Tuesday.

There's more at the link.

The containment effort against Ebola has depended very heavily on "boots on the ground":  local workers, helped by foreign doctors and specialists, going from house to house, checking on the health of everybody in an area, taking the sick to treatment centers, and quarantining their contacts until it was certain they had not spread the disease.  If the price of doing that is a bullet, there isn't going to be much more of it, that's for sure!

My prayers go to those who were killed.  That won't comfort their loved ones, of course, and it won't help stop the resurgence of Ebola if the primitive, animist militia in the area can't be controlled or contained.  Prayer won't do that - it'll take more boots on the ground, these ones armed and trained military personnel.  Local troops won't do.  They're largely untrained, and most of them are so ill-educated they probably believe, as the militias do, that Ebola is actually a Western plot against the African population.  It'll take more effective, more efficient international intervention - but international troops, if they have any sense, will resign rather than allow themselves to be sent into a region where their chances of dying of the world's most loathsome disease are better than average.

Absent such intervention, this local and regional crisis could still spiral out of control, and become global.

Ebola isn't the only health crisis in Africa, either.  How about new cases of polio that appear to be caused by a mutation in the polio strain used in the oral vaccine widely distributed there?  If the vaccine itself is the problem, that's a very major issue indeed.

Peter

11 comments:

  1. How soon before small pox reactivates in Africa.

    What's that Kim saying? "Africa always wins."

    And... some peoples' kids...

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  2. In the US our military is not allowed to resign to avoid hazardous service. On the other hand I don't expect President Trump to decide to send a handful of our soldiers and medics to a country almost the size of America to offer some meaningless support to a human catastrophe. There is no up side to it. For those whose conscience are bothered by that, volunteer yourself and hie thee off to the Congo.

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  3. Ultimately these things are always self-limiting. Nature's reality is that all actions have consequences. Therefore "foreign aid" workers are best advised to carefully check their motivations and take a realistic look at what price they may pay. For those who sincerely want to help via a personal presence, aren't in it mostly for a pat on the back (from self or others), and are willing to die upon that particular hill, have at it with my blessing.

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  4. RE Beans' comment: I have the feeling it's out there, and that - Hashem forbid! - we're going to regret not vaccinating for, what, a couple of decades now because it's been "eliminated"?

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  5. Can we finally admit that Africans are stupid and not 'da rasis' about it? Too bad it won't kill a few million of them but there is guarantee it would stay there under that scenario. Let Africa Sink!

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  6. I'm inclined to say that we should not be sending anything over there, no money no aid, no boots on the ground.. unless it's to contain and keep anyone that's infected from escaping. I feel bad for the family of those that got killed but ultimately the people that got killed chose to go. I don't think they deserve death but this scenario had to be on the list of things that could happen. If not then they truly are foolish and misguided.

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  7. All those of us Homo sapiens whose ancestors left Africa 50± millennia ago should be so grateful to those of our ancestors for that action.

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  8. "You knew I was a snake. What did you expect?"

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  9. Actually, Ebola has been virtually stopped dead in its tracks.

    The area(s) where the armed idiots have halted current efforts are troubling, and could go full retard, but the odds are, not so much.

    In the last 30 days, the number of new dead is 13, and the number of confirmed cases has gone down (IOW, previously "confirmed" cases turned out not to be Ebola).

    The knuckleheads could cause this to re-blossom, but overall odds are this thing gets whipped, and wiped out.

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