Friday, January 16, 2026

Am I a prophet, or what?

 

In an article last week on how the progressive left is trying to turn ICE's anti-illegal-alien sweep into another George Floyd-like uprising, I advised several precautionary actions for my readers, including this one:


Expect there to be another run on firearms and ammunition, just like 2020/21, as those who hadn't prepared in time try to do so at short notice.  If your own supplies are a little threadbare, beat the rush and stock up now, while prices are still relatively low.


In their latest e-circular, received yesterday, SG Ammo, my favorite suppliers, had this to say:


We have seen a sharp increase in consumer demand for bulk ammo orders over the past 8 days. Daily sales volume initially rose 25% to 35%, and now 35% to 45% over the past 3 days when compared to the daily averages of the first week of this month. This also represents an even larger increase from demand in December. While some of this should be expected, as the busy season for selling ammo is generally November to April with a peak in March as income tax refunds get spent, we feel that the elevated demand signals a widespread urge by the consumer to stock up on ammo. In my opinion, it would be wise to stock up now if you need ammo while depressed market pricing lingers from 2025 and before 2026 price increases from the factories begin to force widespread increases in the retail market.


Yep.  It's as I predicted.  People are seeing what's going on in Minneapolis (where the George Floyd riots started in 2020) and realizing that "it's déjà vu all over again".  Many had become complacent since the last ammo shortage, and failed to maintain their stocks;  and others, new to firearms ownership since then, hadn't realized how rapidly ammo supplies can dry up.  They're looking at what's going on and realizing that forewarned had better be (ballistically) forearmed, and they're stacking it high, wide and deep.

I respectfully submit that at a minimum, if you're serious about preparing to defend yourself and your loved ones, you should have 100-200 rounds of quality defensive ammunition, plus another 400-500 rounds of training ammunition (enough for one to two years' practice sessions), for every defensive firearm you own.  Some can't afford that:  for them, I'd advise buying the quality defensive ammo right away (it's always the first to disappear off store shelves), and then accumulating training ammo one or two boxes at a time.

Buy in bulk if you can, because it's cheaper.  If you can't afford to do that on your own, get together with your buddies and put in a single group order so that you all save money.  I usually buy in bulk from either SG Ammo (free shipping over $200, which saves money) or Palmetto State Armory, but there are many other vendors out there.  Shop around and compare prices (not forgetting shipping costs).  However, don't forget to also patronize your local gun store(s).  They're more expensive, sure, but they need to make a profit to survive, and you want them to survive and be available in case you need something in a hurry.

If you're in any doubt about how tight supply can get, read the 2021 Shooting Illustrated article I linked above.  If you haven't yet assured your own reserve supply of ammunition, I strongly suggest you do so as quickly as possible.  I have no doubt that urban crime and unrest is going to escalate further, and may spill over from the cities to smaller towns and rural areas.  Remember the time-honored, age-old truth:  "It's better to have it and not need it, than to need it but not have it".  Truer words were never spoken about defensive weapons and ammunition.

Peter


12 comments:

  1. When it comes to ammo the answer is stock up. Always stock up.The only time you can have too much ammo is if your drowning, or on fire.

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  2. ammoseek.com is a good source for comparing costs of ammo plus shipping.

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  3. yeah. I got that email too and was thinking of getting another case of 9mm "good stuff" to store away in ammo cans. or maybe 500 rounds of 9mm and 45 ACP. as I tend to favor both of them depending on what I going into.
    or maybe I should do a ammo count to see just what all I do have stocked away ?
    I do know I have at least 3-4 k of 9mm on hand
    and about the same in 45 ACP. plus the same for rifle rounds. 5.56 and 7.62
    as it is all still boxed in ammo cans, it shouldn't be a problem selling it if need be.
    ammo was my version of buying silver for many years now. I can't do much with a coin.
    but everyone wants ammo .

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  4. And to those pacifists out there, it's better to be a warrior in a garden than a gardener in a war...

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  5. These anti-ICE rioters are really a brave lot. How many rednecks have infiltrated the fringes just waiting for it to go hot? That way they can take out a bunch of foreign invaders and those trying to hide and protect them? I think the rednecks would side with the federals in this instance over the ones stealing tax $ from them and trying to change America.

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  6. SG are really good folks,they delivered to another guy same town as me with same name,squared it away and the guy with my name cool as hell,gave him a bottle of me neighbors honey as a thanx,this was a multi case order but worked out.

    Have with friends a few dozen orders with them and always a good experience/fair price.

    I cannot see me cellar floor or my closet ceilings,feel well covered for any insanity .

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  7. I was just topping up for non-defensive firearms. It is hard to find 22 Hornet, 410 "buck & ball", or 300 Weatherby Magnum. Plus I wanted to verify that there were no new 2026 laws to prevent me from receiving them.

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  8. "at a minimum, if you're serious about preparing to defend yourself and your loved ones, you should have 100-200 rounds of quality defensive ammunition, plus another 400-500 rounds of training ammunition (enough for one to two years' practice sessions), for every defensive firearm you own. "

    Sounds like a lot of math to me. I have to count all the guns, then multiply them all by 500 to 700, then count all the ammo, then subtract one from tother. Instead maybe I'll just buy another case of each caliber. That should work out OK, so long as the floor of the gun closet doesn't collapse from the weight. 😁

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  9. AmmoSeek is a great resource. +1 also on sgammo.

    I've found New Republic Ammo to have somewhat limited choices, but very competitive prices, free shipping, and don't charge sales tax out of their home state. (So don't forget to declare and pay that come April, m'kay?)

    An "oldie but goodie" for me is also ammoman.com. Not always the cheapest but they often carry unusual stuff that the Mrs prefers. (She's a fan of Speer Lawman Cleanfire, for instance.)

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  10. i wonder how much of that increase is from virginia residents. dems just got themselves installed, forever. don't forget the mags. good sale on metals at dsarms, good deal at psa on polymer. they aim to ban everything. i aim to misbehave.

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  11. I just put in an order for another case of 9mm. The prices were good and most of the suppliers I checked have not raised them yet.

    Maybe I got in ahead of the crowd for once.

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