Thursday, January 27, 2011

An animator explains his work


Miss D. sent me a link to this music video, not so much for the music as for the excellent animation it portrays.







I was intrigued by the style and craftsmanship of the animator, Ryan Woodward. I looked for more information, and found this short documentary on how the above video was made. It was apparently a fairly big art project in its own right.







I wanted to know more about this style of art, known as Conté. I followed a link to a Web site about Mr. Woodward's latest exhibition, Conté Animated. It's very interesting. Here's what he has to say about figure drawing as an inspiration for animation.

Figure drawing is a essential practice for any aspiring animator and seasoned animator for that matter. It has been since the first animators began work with Walt Disney and still today, animation studios offer figure drawing workshops in the studio. It’s not so much about the ability to render the figure accurately as it is the continual practice and understanding that there is no "right" way to draw the figure. It’s a creative exploration every time.




I like to approach drawing the figure with varying degrees of creativity. At times, I’ll academically approach the drawing by striving to understand anatomy, proportion, light, etc. Other times, I’ll let my creativity begin to flow by exaggerating the shapes, gesture, and style of the form. Sometimes I’ll even completely disregard "reality" and strive to achieve something unique to my aesthetic senses.




Whether it be in the way I use the conté, or by exaggerating the proportions, or even throwing in some inspiration from other sources, I have found that abandoning the academic constraints of figure drawing and relying on my own creativity and imagination, flexes those brain juices that allow for unique creative solutions in more than just drawing the figure.


There's much more information on his exhibition Web site. It's very worthwhile reading for artists, photographers, and those interested in their work. Mr. Woodward is also writing a book about the animation project shown above, which should be out in the spring.

I'd like to thank Mr. Woodward for putting so much information out there, so that those of us who like his work can learn more about it - and him.

Peter

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

Someone's having way too much fun!


This video clip of a baby elephant playing in a tub of water made me smile.







Definitely a 'warm fuzzy' moment!





Peter

Doofus Of The Day #438


Today's award goes to a hapless drug smuggler in Colombia.

It was the latest ingenious plan conjured up by Colombian drug barons to smuggle marijuana to prison inmates.

They strapped a package containing 1.6 ounces of the drug to a pigeon and pointed it in the direction of the jail in Bucaramanga.

But the excess baggage proved too much for it. The bird crash-landed and was captured by two policemen who found it flapping helplessly near the prison.


There's more at the link. Here's a video report about the incident.







One hopes the person who loaded the pigeon was able to persuade those behind the scheme that the capture of the pigeon wasn't his fault . . . otherwise they're likely to end up being used as a human version of a clay pigeon by their angry bosses!

Peter

The Gorgon may need corrections to its Stare . . .


A couple of months ago, I wrote about the US Air Force's new Gorgon Stare area monitoring system. It was said to be ready for deployment back then, but it now appears that it may not be ready for prime time.

Gorgon Stare, hailed by the Washington Post as an advanced ISR tool par excellence, should not be fielded now because it works less than the half time it should and is deemed by testers to be 'not operationally suitable'.

The 53rd Wing of the Air Combat Command at Eglin Air Force Base made the recommendation in an operational utility evaluation.

. . .

'According to DOD testers, Gorgon Stare is ineffective (‘not operationally effective’) and unreliable (‘not operationally suitable’). As described below, it cannot readily find and identify targets (especially human targets), and it cannot reliably locate what it sees. (Moving targets of any size at any location present a different problem.)'

. . .

What really makes this noteworthy is that Gorgon Stare is exactly the kind of program that Defense Secretary Robert Gates and his acquisition leaders believe can help reshape how the Pentagon buys and develops weapons.

. . .

The argument by many technology and Pentagon advocates will be that the system has been fielded rapidly and will get much better with time, as users figure out better how to use it, maintainers figure out how to work with it and the developers improve the technology. That’s all true, but this and other rapidly fielded systems must get even better as the budget crunch is likely to grow worse or they risk being scrapped for poor performance.


There's more at the link.

I'm not too concerned at this stage about Gorgon Stare's performance problems. The program was developed from scratch in a mere 18 months - a remarkable achievement in anyone's book! - and its performance is already an order of magnitude ahead of anything else we've got. I'm sure the problems uncovered by the USAF's operational evaluation will be fixed over time.

Nevertheless, this is an object lesson in how not to handle public relations. Someone was over-eager to put out a 'gee-whiz' press release, emphasizing how the latest technology would 'change the game' in modern warfare. They jumped the gun. Gorgon Stare will now have to endure the harsh light of negative publicity, and any money spent on its ongoing development (which will happen, because it's an essential technology) will be that much harder to justify and get approved.

I hope and trust that lessons will be learned . . . but I'm not holding my breath. The same mistake has been made too often in the past. It seems that when it comes to public relations, those in charge of US high-tech military projects are all too prone to shooting themselves in the foot (sometimes both feet simultaneously). One does get tired of it . . .

Peter

Quote of the day


From Jenny at A Call To Wings, quoting a book she's reading at present:

During World War II, for example, three German submariners escaped from Camp Crossville, Tennessee. Their flight took them to an Appalachian cabin, where they stopped for a drink of water. The mountain granny told them to "git." When they ignored her, she promptly shot them dead. The sheriff came, and scolded her for shooting helpless prisoners. Granny burst into tears, and said that she would not have done it if she had known they were Germans. The exasperated sheriff asked what in "tarnation" she thought she was shooting at. "Why," she replied, "I thought they was Yankees."


Probably figured they were some of them pesky Pennsylvania Dutch Yankees . . .





Peter

Fiscal responsibility, our financial future, and the Federal Reserve


I think it's long gone time that something drastic was done to rein in the Federal Reserve before it destroys America.

Think I'm exaggerating? Think again.

First, let's be clear about the background to the enormous Government debt that we've built up. A recent article called this country 'America The Broke'.

... for the first time, our national debt has surpassed $14 trillion - a dubious and shameful record.

Even more astonishing, the past two presidents, one from each major political party, are responsible for half of that monstrous sum. As an Associated Press story noted,

about half of today’s national debt was run up in the past six years. It soared from $7.6 trillion in January 2005 as President George W. Bush began his second term to $10.6 trillion the day President Obama was inaugurated and to $14.02 trillion now.

In this era of hyper-partisanship, it is comforting to know that there is one thing both parties have agreed upon - spending the nation into insolvency.

It is clear that $14 trillion is an amount so astronomical as to be literally incomprehensible - beyond the ken of our formidable, if recently evolved, homo sapiens mind.

Unfortunately, that does not stop us from racking up such sums. Doubtless, the two phenomena are somehow related.

So deduct ... $45,300 from your salary. That is what the national debt amounts to for every man, woman, and child in America. For a family of four with two small children and both parents working, that’s an additional $181,200 in family debt.

Few such families reckon this additional burden when they allocate their already-stretched resources. Yet reckon it they should, for national governments - despite our legal fictions to the contrary - are not autonomous entities. The money they spend and promise has in the end but one fount - the wallets and purses of individuals and families.

The government’s debt is our debt, and when our creditors at last demand their due, that heretofore unseen $45,300 per person in debt will suddenly surge to the surface and sweep all before it in a terrible deluge. Not one person in America will be unaffected. The rich will become less rich; the middle class will become, for all intents and purposes, poor; and the poor will see any hope they may have had of economic advancement disappear.


There's more at the link.

Now, realize that it's the Federal Reserve which has provided these enormous sums to the Government, allowing it to spend us into bankruptcy. Rep. Ron Paul is derided by many as an impossibly unrealistic libertarian (and, to a certain extent, I agree with his critics, particularly concerning his support for the gold standard and opinions on various social issues). Nevertheless, he's right to point out that the Federal Reserve is at the root of our money woes.

Since the creation of the Federal Reserve, middle and working-class Americans have been victimized by a boom-and-bust monetary policy. In addition, most Americans have suffered a steadily eroding purchasing power because of the Federal Reserve's inflationary policies. This represents a real, if hidden, tax imposed on the American people.

From the Great Depression, to the stagflation of the seventies, to the burst of the dotcom bubble last year, every economic downturn suffered by the country over the last 80 years can be traced to Federal Reserve policy. The Fed has followed a consistent policy of flooding the economy with easy money, leading to a misallocation of resources and an artificial "boom" followed by a recession or depression when the Fed-created bubble bursts.

. . .

Though the Federal Reserve policy harms the average American, it benefits those in a position to take advantage of the cycles in monetary policy. The main beneficiaries are those who receive access to artificially inflated money and/or credit before the inflationary effects of the policy impact the entire economy. Federal Reserve policies also benefit big spending politicians who use the inflated currency created by the Fed to hide the true costs of the welfare-warfare state.

. . .

Abolishing the Federal Reserve will allow Congress to reassert its constitutional authority over monetary policy. The United States Constitution grants to Congress the authority to coin money and regulate the value of the currency. The Constitution does not give Congress the authority to delegate control over monetary policy to a central bank. Furthermore, the Constitution certainly does not empower the federal government to erode the American standard of living via an inflationary monetary policy.


Again, there's more at the link. Rep. Paul has previously introduced legislation to abolish the Federal Reserve. It hasn't got anywhere . . . yet. I suspect that, as more and more people realize the damage the Federal Reserve is doing to this country, his proposal will draw increasing support.

The self-serving machinations of the Federal Reserve are becoming clear to an increasing number of commentators. For example, CNBC pointed out in December last year that its own policies might drive the Federal Reserve into insolvency - technically, at least.

... the Fed's newfangled policy steps and the potential for credit losses raises, for some experts, the prospect that the Treasury may actually be forced to "recapitalize" the Fed - economist-speak for what others might call a bail-out.

That would be a strange role reversal given the Fed's efforts to ease monetary policy by buying the Treasury's debt, and it could raise a political firestorm from lawmakers who believed all along the Fed was putting taxpayer money at risk.

Varadarajan Chari, an economics professor at the University of Minnesota and a consultant to the Minneapolis Fed, says that at some point during its exit from easy monetary policies, the Fed actually may go broke - at least on paper.

. . .

The Fed now holds just over $1 trillion in Treasuries, Chari noted, and if inflation rose by a couple of percentage points, it would dent the value of those holdings by about 10 percent, leaving the Fed with a $100 billion loss.


The Federal Reserve clearly wasn't happy to have this pointed out. Within weeks, they removed any possibility of insolvency, technical or actual. They did so, not by changing their flawed policies, but by changing their accounting standards. They could get away with that because they're independent - no-one can tell them what to do or how to do it.

The change essentially allows the Fed to denote losses by the various regional reserve banks that make up the Fed system as a liability to the Treasury rather than a hit to its capital. It would then simply direct future profits from Fed operations toward that liability.

. . .

"Any future losses the Fed may incur will now show up as a negative liability as opposed to a reduction in Fed capital, thereby making a negative capital situation technically impossible," said Brian Smedley, a rates strategist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch and a former New York Fed staffer.

"The timing of the change is not coincidental, as politicians and market participants alike have expressed concerns since the announcement (of a second round of asset buys) about the possibility of Fed 'insolvency' in a scenario where interest rates rise significantly," Smedley and his colleague Priya Misra wrote in a research note.


Isn't it wonderful? A stroke of the pen, and you're out of financial danger! If only we could all do that! But . . . guess what? In the real world, things don't work that way. We can't eliminate our financial liabilities with the stroke of a pen. In reality, neither can the Federal Reserve.

One commentator has already pointed out that the Federal Reserve's size, policies and influence have become illogical, counter-intuitive, and completely out of balance.

The Fed’s rationale for buying a stunning $75 billion per month of Treasury notes and bonds (almost the entire issuance) has been its fear that the economy was slowing and its hope that Fed bond purchases would lower Treasury and corporate bond yields in a stimulative manner. Neither part of this logic is working. Bond yields have risen sharply, while recent economic data - from rising auto sales to falling jobless claims to ADP’s report yesterday that its customers added record jobs in December - is contradicting the Fed’s thesis of an economic slowdown. The Fed’s December 14 minutes still fretted about deflation even as this week’s two ISM surveys confirmed the surge in prices that is being recorded in global commodity markets.

Under the Fed’s have-it-both-ways logic - buy more bonds if growth is slow (in order to speed it up) and buy more bonds if growth is fast (on the view that bond buying is working) - the Fed’s massive new program will quickly take on a life of its own. Just as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac became instruments of Congress’s social policy, Fed bond purchases will become one of the Executive branch’s favorite growth policies - "costless" stimulus through a huge expansion of the Fed’s turf, with minimal Congressional oversight.

A growing worry: this Fed program, like almost all other Washington power grabs, may never die. The Fed has now established the precedent that it has the power and, under its reading of its full employment mandate, the responsibility to buy long-term assets to boost the economy. The Federal Reserve System (including the regional banks) already has 22,000 employees. Its assets will soon top $3 trillion if it continues with QE2. That’s way too big for safety. Despite having little in the way of equity capital, the Fed is leveraging itself up using overnight deposits from commercial banks to buy very long-term Treasury, MBS and agency bonds. This is creating what must be history’s biggest, most leveraged maturity mismatch.

Even if the Fed stops buying bonds at its January 26 meeting, as it should, it may take years or even decades for the Fed’s existing multi-trillion dollar bond portfolio to mature and burn off. The Fed’s large bond holdings distort prices, expose the Fed (and the taxpayer) to interest rate risk, and create a conflict of interest for the Fed in setting interest rates (since rate hikes will hammer the Fed’s bond portfolio.)

The Fed is already worrying that a decision by the Fed to not buy bonds risks higher bond yields, a recipe for the Fed to buy all kinds of bonds. ... Following this logic, the Fed will be inundated with political requests that it buy other assets like muni bonds or infrastructure bonds in order to keep their yields from rising. Every rising bond yield can be blamed on inadequate Fed purchases.


Again, there's more at the link. It's worth reading the whole article.

You may ask why more mainstream economists aren't picking up on these criticisms, and publishing their own views. The answer seems relatively simple . . . the Federal Reserve has allegedly 'bought the economics profession'.

The Federal Reserve, through its extensive network of consultants, visiting scholars, alumni and staff economists, so thoroughly dominates the field of economics that real criticism of the central bank has become a career liability for members of the profession, an investigation by the Huffington Post has found.

This dominance helps explain how, even after the Fed failed to foresee the greatest economic collapse since the Great Depression, the central bank has largely escaped criticism from academic economists. In the Fed's thrall, the economists missed it, too.


Once more, there's more at the link.

Finally, to sum up the problems with the Federal Reserve, here's Rep. Ron Paul discussing its lack of transparency.







Makes you think, doesn't it?

I suggest you write to your Congressional representative and your Senators, asking why the Federal Reserve is permitted to get away with such malfeasance in office. Personally, I think it's high time it was abolished altogether. After all, things could hardly be worse without it!

Politicians and bureaucrats! Grrr!





Peter

Tuesday, January 25, 2011

So much for the end of the world in 2012!


The inimitable and always entertaining Dr. Neil deGrasse Tyson debunks the ever-more-strident rumors about the coming end of the world, with particular reference to 'Planet X', the 'Nibiru collision' and the dreaded 'galactic alignment'.









Peter

Would you believe that Genghis Khan reduced global warming?


No, I'm not making it up - although over-enthusiastic 'green' researchers might have that problem! Mongabay.com reports:

In 1206 AD Genghis Khan began the Mongol invasion: a horse-crazed bow-wielding military force that swept through much of modern-day Asia into the Middle East and Eastern Europe. But aside from creating the world's largest empire, the Mongol invasion had another global impact that has remained hidden in history according to new research by Julia Pongratz of the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology. Genghis Khan and his empire, which lasted nearly two centuries, actually cooled the Earth.



Statue of Genghis Khan (image courtesy of Wikipedia)



"It's a common misconception that the human impact on climate began with the large-scale burning of coal and oil in the industrial era," says Pongratz, lead author of the study in a press release. "Actually, humans started to influence the environment thousands of years ago by changing the vegetation cover of the Earth‘s landscapes when we cleared forests for agriculture."

The answer to how this happened can be told in one word: reforestation. When the Mongol hordes invaded Asia, the Middle East, and Europe they left behind a massive body count, depopulating many regions. With less people, large swathes of cultivated fields eventually returned to forests, absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

. . .

"We found that during the short events such as the Black Death and the Ming Dynasty collapse, the forest re-growth wasn't enough to overcome the emissions from decaying material in the soil," explains Pongratz. "But during the longer-lasting ones like the Mongol invasion and the conquest of the Americas there was enough time for the forests to re-grow and absorb significant amounts of carbon."



Mongol Empire in 1227 AD, at the time of Genghis Khan's death
(Image courtesy of Wikipedia)



The Mongol invasion had the most significant impact. According to the study's accounting, re-growth of forests during the Mongol invasion absorbed 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere, equaling the amount of carbon global society now produces annually from gasoline.


There's more at the link.

Am I to understand that if we repeat the Mongol Invasions, we'll repeat their benefits in terms of global warming? I don't know whether that would give us a cooler environment, but it certainly promises to be a target-rich one!





Peter

Sometimes, you're the windshield; sometimes, you're the bug . . .


I've published video clips of base jumpers from time to time. Whilst it's a visually enthralling sport for spectators (and doubtless even more so for participants), it's always been a dangerous undertaking. I was therefore saddened, but not surprised, to read of the death of yet another base jumper, Mr. Gary Harbird of England. The Daily Mail reports:

He was jumping from the infamous High Ultimate Base jump when he crashed into the rock surface.

The Swiss resort is a favourite amongst adrenalin junkies, but is also one of the most dangerous. At least 21 base jumpers have died in recent years at the site.



Lauterbrunnen Valley in Switzerland, with the Lauterbrunnen Wall (site of the
High Ultimate base jump) in the background. (Image courtesy of Wikipedia.)



His sister said today that the family were too upset to speak to the media.

But members of the UK skydiving and base jumping community paid tribute to Mr Harbird via online message boards.

. . .

Starting in 1981 and as of December 7, 2010, there have been at least 157 fatalities related to the sport.

Base jumping is one of the world's most dangerous recreational activities and in 2002 it was estimated that there were 60 fatalities, which accounted for 1.7 per cent of participants.


There's more at the link.

Here's a video clip of base-jumpers leaping off the same mountain where Mr. Harbird met his death. Spectacular . . . but you can see just how incredibly dangerous it is, too. One mis-step when jumping off the cliff face, or a moment's delay in pulling your ripcord, and disaster will be there to greet you. (I highly recommend watching the video in full-screen mode.)







May Mr. Harbird's soul rest in peace, and may his surviving family receive what comfort is possible under such tragic, unnecessary circumstances.

Peter

World's biggest metropolis?


China has announced plans to create a city twice the size of Wales in the UK, with a population of over 40 million. The Telegraph reports:

City planners in south China have laid out an ambitious plan to merge together the nine cities that lie around the Pearl River Delta.



China, with Pearl River Delta circled in red (click for a larger image)



The "Turn The Pearl River Delta Into One" scheme will create a 16,000 sq mile urban area that is 26 times larger geographically than Greater London, or twice the size of Wales.

The new mega-city will cover a large part of China's manufacturing heartland, stretching from Guangzhou to Shenzhen and including Foshan, Dongguan, Zhongshan, Zhuhai, Jiangmen, Huizhou and Zhaoqing. Together, they account for nearly a tenth of the Chinese economy.




Over the next six years, around 150 major infrastructure projects will mesh the transport, energy, water and telecommunications networks of the nine cities together, at a cost of some 2 trillion yuan (£190 billion) [just over US $300 billion]. An express rail line will also connect the hub with nearby Hong Kong.

. . .

Pollution, a key problem in the Pearl River Delta because of its industrialisation, will also be addressed with a united policy, and the price of petrol and electricity could also be unified.

The southern conglomeration is intended to wrestle back a competitive advantage from the growing urban areas around Beijing and Shanghai.

By the end of the decade, China plans to move ever greater numbers into its cities, creating some city zones with 50 million to 100 million people and "small" city clusters of 10 million to 25 million.

In the north, the area around Beijing and Tianjin, two of China's most important cities, is being ringed with a network of high-speed railways that will create a super-urban area known as the Bohai Economic Rim. Its population could be as high as 260 million.

The process of merging the Bohai region has already begun with the connection of Beijing to Tianjing by a high speed railway that completes the 75 mile journey in less than half an hour, providing an axis around which to create a network of feeder cities.

As the process gathers pace, total investment in urban infrastructure over the next five years is expected to hit £685 billion [almost US $1.1 trillion], according to an estimate by the British Chamber of Commerce, with an additional £300 billion [almost US $475 billion] spend on high speed rail and £70 billion [more than US $110 billion] on urban transport.


There's more at the link.

It's an enormously impressive project . . . provided Chinese society preserves the necessary degree of stability to achieve it. There are many indications that this may not be the case.

A tip o' the hat to reader Skreidle for e-mailing me the link to the Telegraph report. Thank you, Sir!

Peter

Monday, January 24, 2011

A very clever advertisement!


Intel produced this advertisement for its new range of processors. There's some real creativity here.







Kudos to the advertising agency who came up with that idea. Great work!

Peter

Why trust a politician with this sort of power?


I'm seriously concerned about the renewed push for legislation to implement a 'kill switch' for the Internet. Cnet reports:

A controversial bill handing President Obama power over privately owned computer systems during a "national cyberemergency," and prohibiting any review by the court system, will return this year.

. . .

Portions of the Lieberman-Collins bill, which was not uniformly well-received when it became public in June 2010, became even more restrictive when a Senate committee approved a modified version on December 15. The full Senate did not act on the measure.

The revised version includes new language saying that the federal government's designation of vital Internet or other computer systems "shall not be subject to judicial review." Another addition expanded the definition of critical infrastructure to include "provider of information technology," and a third authorized the submission of "classified" reports on security vulnerabilities.

The idea of creating what some critics have called an Internet "kill switch" that the president could flip in an emergency is not exactly new.

A draft Senate proposal that CNET obtained in August 2009 authorized the White House to "declare a cybersecurity emergency," and another from Sens. Jay Rockefeller (D-W.V.) and Olympia Snowe (R-Maine) would have explicitly given the government the power to "order the disconnection" of certain networks or Web sites. House Democrats have taken a similar approach in their own proposals.

Lieberman, who recently announced he would not seek re-election in 2012, said last year that enactment of his bill needed to be a top congressional priority. "For all of its 'user-friendly' allure, the Internet can also be a dangerous place with electronic pipelines that run directly into everything from our personal bank accounts to key infrastructure to government and industrial secrets," he said.

Civil libertarians and some industry representatives have repeatedly raised concerns about the various proposals to give the executive branch such broad emergency power. On the other hand, as Lieberman and Collins have highlighted before, some companies, including Microsoft, Verizon, and EMC Corporation, have said positive things about the initial version of the bill.

But last month's rewrite that bans courts from reviewing executive branch decrees has given companies new reason to worry. "Judicial review is our main concern," said Steve DelBianco, director of the NetChoice coalition, which includes eBay, Oracle, Verisign, and Yahoo as members. "A designation of critical information infrastructure brings with it huge obligations for upgrades and compliance."

In some cases, DelBianco said, a company may have a "good-faith disagreement" with the government's ruling and would want to seek court review. "The country we're seeking to protect is a country that respects the right of any individual to have their day in court," he said. "Yet this bill would deny that day in court to the owner of infrastructure."


There's more at the link. Bold print is my emphasis.

Personally, I can't think of worse legislation to secure the Internet! It seems to me that the only benefits offered by this proposal are to politicians, to secure their power by preventing the free exchange of information. I can't envisage any positive results from giving a politician - who is, almost by definition, a self-serving creature of the system, willing to do anything it takes to keep his or her office - authority over 'privately owned computer systems'. To my mind, the dangers, risks and disadvantages far outweigh any possible benefit.

I say we keep the greedy, grasping hands of politicians as far away as possible from private property! That in itself is the best security we have!





Peter

Doofus Of The Day #437


Today's Doofus is from England.

When his £6million mansion was featured in the centre pages of a glossy lifestyle magazine, it was dubbed a ‘dream home fit for a pop star’.

The proud owner, Paul Yearsley, was eager to show off his ‘Georgian-style’ mansion, complete with a state-of-the-art home cinema, huge swimming pool, sauna, gym and a brand-new Range Rover sitting on the drive alongside a Bentley Continental.

But while he claimed to have made his fortune selling homes to Premier League footballers, in reality Yearsley was a drug baron whose only legitimate income was a council disability pension, thought to amount to a few hundred pounds a month.

. . .

The married father of four was caught only after officers from the Serious Organised Crime Agency (Soca) became suspicious about his ­lavish lifestyle in relation to his meagre official income.

He had worked for Tameside Metropolitan Borough Council as a recreation supervisor at a swimming pool until 1993 when he was pensioned off at the age of 28 because of health issues.

Sixteen years later, Yearsley had built up a multi-million-pound property portfolio, including 80 homes around Manchester as well as a villa in the Costa del Sol.

. . .

Yearsley told Lancashire Magazine that he made his millions first as a car salesman then through his property company, Premier Properties Ltd. But Soca officers, who had been watching him for a year, knew differently.

They followed him to a retail park in Bolton where he met drug-runners Frederick Hoyle and Tony Dixon to oversee the handover of 120 kilos of cannabis resin packed in four bales which had been smuggled into the country from North Africa.

. . .

In October last year he pleaded guilty at Manchester Crown Court, admitting he had responsibility for arranging delivery and storage of the drugs.


There's more at the link, including some rather spectacular photographs of Mr. Yearsley's house (which is about to be forfeited to the State, of course, because it's the proceeds of crime).

I think we have a new motto: "Conspicuous consumption catches crooks"!



Peter

A 3,000-year-old musical instrument comes to life


I was fascinated to read about pre-Incan conch 'trumpets', apparently up to three millennia old, that were recently played once more at a conference in Mexico. Wired magazine reports:

Archaeologists had unearthed 20 complete Strombus galeatus marine shell trumpets in 2001 at Chavín de Huántar, an ancient ceremonial center in the Andes.



The ruins of Chavín de Huántar (image courtesy of Wikipedia)



Polished, painted and etched with symbols, the shells had well-formed mouthpieces and distinct V-shaped cuts. The cuts may have been used as a rest for the player’s thumb, says study coauthor Perry Cook, a computer scientist at Princeton University and avid shell musician, or to allow the player to see over the instrument while walking.

To record the tunes and understand the acoustic context in which the instruments, called pututus, were played, the researchers traveled to Chavín.

As an expert shell musician blew into the horn, researchers recorded the sound’s path via four tiny microphones placed inside the player’s mouth, the shell’s mouthpiece, the shell’s main body and at the shell’s large opening, or bell. Similar to a bugle, the instruments only sound one or two tones, but like a French horn, the pitch changes when the player plunges his hand into the bell.



Conch instrument found at Chavín de Huántar (image courtesy of CyArk)



The team used signal-processing software to characterize the acoustic properties of each trumpet. Following the sound’s path made it possible to reconstruct the ancient shell’s interior, a feat that normally involves sawing the shell apart or zapping it with X-rays.

The researchers also wanted to know how the site’s ceremonial chamber, a stone labyrinth with sharply twisting corridors and ventilation shafts, changed the trumpet’s sound. To find out, the team arranged six microphones around the musician and reconstructed the sound patterns on a computer.

If the trumpets were played inside the stone chamber in which they were found, the drone would have sounded like it was coming from several different directions at once.


There's more at the link.

Here's a video report showing how a Mayan-era conch 'trumpet' was played.







Imagine yourself in the shoes of a primitive 'believer' in whatever the deity(ies) of the Mayans and pre-Incas might have been. You're led into a darkened temple (which might be a building, or a cave, or a complex of tunnels). You hear those sounds from various directions, in different notes and pitches, echoing all around you . . . and your superstitious mind does the rest.

Fascinating indeed!

Peter

Is Chile still a safe destination for tourists?


Courtesy of Les Jones, we learn of the very unpleasant experiences of a group of American visitors in southern Chile.

I and thousands of others were held hostage. I know that's a word imbued with a lot of power and emotion, so I don't use it lightly. The organization behind the strike that triggered the whole chain of events I'm about to cover was careful enough not to use the word "hostage" in their public statements, but they did have a publicly stated goal of "shutting down tourism" and "using the tourists as a negotiating chip." So I ask what word would you use for the situation where travelers in a region have their freedom to move highly restricted by a group whose stated goal was to shut down tourism?

. . .

A few clear questions come to my mind:

  • Why wasn't this an International news story? I fed all the information and photos to the New York Times from the very beginning, and they didn't write one word about 3000 stranded tourists, 3 Chilean ministers resigning, 2 deaths, a Chilean Air Force airlift operation, or any of the other details that happened. Not a word. CNN? Anderson Cooper doesn't seem to be interested in the story (I got a form letter reply). The only International news agency that even began to cover the story was the BBC. They got it late (1/15), they got it wrong (several completely inaccurate bits that seem to have come from government or official sources, who appeared to be trying to downplay the situation), and they had no on-the-ground reports. If you really think that you're getting "news" from your news outlets, think again.
  • Why didn't the embassies issue a travel advisory? Apparently, a couple did. I'm still trying to track them down [I've since found the German warning and the Dutch warning]. But the US embassy did not post on their site despite knowing that not only were there stranded US tourists, but more US tourists coming. [I've since found that the US Embassy posted a warning on a local tourist site!, but not on their own, which is where we're supposed to look. Perhaps if the news media actually thought this was a real story they'd think to ask someone about that. {Update: As it turns out, the warning on the local tourist site was copied off the US Embassy site. I wasn't aware of the process on these things, and it's a good thing to know in the future (though it wouldn't have helped us): apparently warnings are first posted as Warden's Message, which you find by clicking on the Citizen Services tab. They don't make it to email warnings or to the main advisory pages until they've been approved by Washington. This means that before you enter a country, you really need to check out the Warden's Messages, as they might contain useful information that is not yet completely official. Didn't know that. Thanks Thomas for pointing it out.}]
  • What does this mean for tourism in Chile? I'll have more to say about that in a bit, but according to local sources in Punta Arenas, they already believe that the strike had a US$4 million impact on tourism in the past two weeks, a main source of income for the locals. A large number of the trapped tourists were Northern Chileans, too, so even within their own country there's going to be a backlash, I think. But if the area is poor and you shut down one of the main sources of income, just how much poorer do you think the area will get? As it turns out, just the amount extra I paid on this trip would have heated over 500 homes for a month under the 15.8% increase.
  • Will this repeat? Short answer: yes. The citizens of Magallanes discovered that by shutting down the park they can get the government to back down. So the whole thing simply waits for the next thing that the majority of citizens dislike before we get a repeat of the park shutdown.

So now we get to the political part. After 9/11, American photographers and outdoor enthusiasts looked for "safe" and "reliable" locations to visit in the world. The Middle East, parts of Africa, parts of SE Asia, and others started to seem unsafe. South America looked safe and stable. I'm here to report that Chile is no longer on that list. Given that a large contingent of Chileans who are dependent on tourism just pissed off thousands of tourists and cost them tons of money, who's going to recommend you go to Southern Chile any more? Not me.

. . .

Obviously, I didn't like being a hostage. I'm not going the same folk have another shot at me. I suggest you stay away, too. Torres del Paine may be beautiful, but in visiting it you'd be rewarding people who don't much care about you as a tourist. They just want your money. Or your body to use in negotiations with their government. Simply put: Boycott Southern Chile.

. . .

I have a special warning that's much more specific. During the whole time we and other stranded tourists were trying to get out of Chile, we kept meeting people coming in. For example, all of my group met people at the ticket counters in Santiago where LAN Airlines was not warning people who were trying to get boarding tickets to Punta Arenas that they would be flying into an airport that had no food or shelter and where they would be stranded! ... So, given that observed behavior, I'd also have to say: Boycott LAN. Don't use them if you do go there (the alternative is Sky Airlines). And, of course, since LAN is the primary carrier into the region, that just makes my Boycott Southern Chile statement even stronger, I think.

If you're planning a trip to Patagonia that includes Paine, start thinking some more. Think about what happened to 3000 or more tourists in the first two weeks of 2011. It will happen again, almost certainly. If you still want to go, make contingency plans. Southern Chile is no longer a reliable destination.


There's much more at the link, including photographs.

What makes me angry is the almost complete absence of coverage about this in the mainstream news media - and the deafening silence from the US State Department. Why wasn't a travel advisory issued?

If you're thinking about traveling to Chile anytime soon, you might want to keep this incident in mind. I certainly shall. Thanks to Mr. Hogan for alerting us to what's going on down there.

Peter

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Race start FAIL!


Someone was a bit late on the barrier release button . . .







Oops!





Peter

Why the US military's best officers are leaving


A few days ago I linked to a New York Times article on military leadership, referencing the experiences of a company commander in Afghanistan. In that light, an article in the Atlantic titled 'Why Our Best Officers Are Leaving' made very interesting reading. Here's an excerpt.

Why does the American military produce the most innovative and entrepreneurial leaders in the country, then waste that talent in a risk-averse bureaucracy? Military leaders know they face a paradox. A widely circulated 2010 report from the Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College said: "Since the late 1980s ... prospects for the Officer Corps’ future have been darkened by ... plummeting company-grade officer retention rates. Significantly, this leakage includes a large share of high-performing officers." Similar alarms have been sounded for decades, starting long before the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan made the exit rate of good officers an acute crisis. When General Peter Schoomaker served as Army chief of staff from 2003 to 2007, he emphasized a "culture of innovation" up and down the ranks to shift the Army away from its Cold War focus on big, conventional battles and toward new threats. In many respects (weapons, tactics, logistics, training), the Army did transform. But the talent crisis persisted for a simple reason: the problem isn’t cultural. The military’s problem is a deeply anti-entrepreneurial personnel structure. From officer evaluations to promotions to job assignments, all branches of the military operate more like a government bureaucracy with a unionized workforce than like a cutting-edge meritocracy.

After interviewing veterans who work at some of the most dynamic and innovative companies in the country, I’m convinced that the military has failed to learn the most fundamental lessons of the knowledge economy. And that to hold on to its best officers, to retain future leaders like John Nagl, it will need to undergo some truly radical reforms - not just in its policies and culture, but in the way it thinks about its officers.

. . .

In a recent survey I conducted of 250 West Point graduates (sent to the classes of 1989, 1991, 1995, 2000, 2001, and 2004), an astonishing 93 percent believed that half or more of "the best officers leave the military early rather than serving a full career." ... Among active- duty respondents, 82 percent believed that half or more of the best are leaving. Only 30 percent of the full panel agreed that the military personnel system "does a good job promoting the right officers to General," and a mere 7 percent agreed that it "does a good job retaining the best leaders."

. . .

65 percent of the graduates agreed that the exit rate of the best officers leads to a less competent general-officer corps. Seventy-eight percent agreed that it harms national security.

The shame of this loss of talent is that the U.S. military does such a good job attracting and training great leaders. The men and women who volunteer as military officers learn to remain calm and think quickly under intense pressure. They are comfortable making command decisions, working in teams, and motivating people. Such skills translate powerfully to the private sector, particularly business: male military officers are almost three times as likely as other American men to become CEOs, according to a 2006 Korn/Ferry International study.

. . .

Why is the military so bad at retaining these people? ... the reason overwhelmingly cited by veterans and active-duty officers alike is that the military personnel system - every aspect of it - is nearly blind to merit. Performance evaluations emphasize a zero-defect mentality, meaning that risk-avoidance trickles down the chain of command. Promotions can be anticipated almost to the day - regardless of an officer’s competence - so that there is essentially no difference in rank among officers the same age, even after 15 years of service. Job assignments are managed by a faceless, centralized bureaucracy that keeps everyone guessing where they might be shipped next.

The Pentagon’s response to such complaints has traditionally been to throw money at the problem, in the form of millions of dollars in talent-blind retention bonuses. More often than not, such bonuses go to any officer in the "critical" career fields of the moment, regardless of performance evaluations. This only ensures that the services retain the most risk-averse, and leads to long-term mediocrity.

When I asked veterans for the reasons they left the military, the top response was "frustration with military bureaucracy" - cited by 82 percent of respondents (with 50 percent agreeing strongly). In contrast, the conventional explanation for talent bleed - the high frequency of deployments - was cited by only 63 percent of respondents, and was the fifth-most-common reason. According to 9 out of 10 respondents, many of the best officers would stay if the military was more of a meritocracy.


There's much more at the link. I highly recommend this article to veterans, current servicemen, and all who are concerned about the future of the US armed forces.

Peter

The house where the walls wriggle???


I couldn't help a shudder of distaste reading this report.

An Idaho home that has been infested with thousands of snakes for at least five years has been put up for sale for $66,000 less than its estimated market value after the recent owners gave up and walked away.

The five-bedroom home in Rexburg, Idaho was taken over last year by the lender, Chase Bank, after the owners left and let it lapse into foreclosure because of the serpents slithering around in the ceilings and walls.

The residents are believed to be common garter snakes, a type found throughout the United States. They are not poisonous and are harmless to humans.

"It's not a problem; it's an infestation," said Todd Davis, associate broker with Realty Quest in Rexburg, who is trying to sell the home. "It's been a horrible experience."

With snake numbers estimated by a pest inspector to be in the thousands, Davis said selling the house for $109,000 -- which compares to an estimated value of $175,000 -- is likely to be an uphill battle.

. . .

"I think the snakes got into a spot and decided to make it their home, now they've invited all their friends," he said.

. . .

"I guess I need a snake lover; either that or someone with multiple mongooses," said Davis.


There's more at the link. Here's a video report about the house.







Good luck finding a buyer for that place! I can't imagine living in a place where I might find creepy-crawlies in my bed in the small hours of the morning . . . I guess it's a house only a herpetologist could love!





Peter

100 Smart & Surprising Uses for Simple Drug Store Items


Courtesy of Al Fin, I was led to an article at Nursingschools.net: '100 Smart & Surprising Uses for Simple Drug Store Items'. It contains many handy tips such as these:

2. Deodorize your refrigerator with vanilla extract: Soak a cotton ball with vanilla extract and place it in your fridge.
12. Dissolve melted plastic: Get melted plastic off of appliances by using nail polish remover.
16. Sanitize your cell phone: Wipe down your cell phone with rubbing alcohol.
27. Clean your computer mouse: Get dirt and grime off of your computer mouse's ball using rubbing alcohol.
35. Regenerate your car battery: Give life to your car battery with epsom salt.
51. Stop facial redness: Hemorrhoid cream can be used to clear up facial redness.
53. Treat a cold sore: Hemorrhoid cream can help treat cold sores, just be careful not to put it where you'll lick your lips.
76. Unclog a drain: Use antacid to unclog drains.
86. Sling shot with cotton balls: Play indoors sling shots with cotton balls.
88. Q tips make great small paintbrushes: Give your children kid sized paintbrushes by using q tips, and enjoy easy cleanup.
94. Remove scratches from watches: Rub nail polish remover on the face of your watch to get scratches out.
99. Remove dog ticks: Apply rubbing alcohol to ticks before pulling out to make it loosen its grip.


There are many more at the link. Interesting reading, and useful information. I think it's worth bookmarking this article for future reference. (However, no matter how well it may work, I have a viscerally negative reaction to the thought of applying hemorrhoid cream to my face!)

Peter

Better late than never: a unique Christmas lights display!


I didn't spot this report before Christmas, but it's fun enough that I thought it was worth mentioning it belatedly.

The USS George H. W. Bush is the tenth and last Nimitz class aircraft carrier in the US Navy. She was completed in 2009. Here she's turning hard to port during her trials, showing a spectacular list to starboard.




She celebrated Christmas with a rather spectacular display of lights. The US Navy's Web site reports:

USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) took first place in a holiday light display competition with other ships stationed aboard Naval Station (NS) Norfolk, Dec. 17.

Bushs' First Class Petty Officer Association (FCPOA) and Junior Enlisted Association (JEA) coordinated with the crew to decorate the ship with 6.2 miles of holiday lights.




Hospital Corpsman 2nd Class (SW/AW) Caleb Haynie, USS George H.W. Bush JEA president, said planning for the light display began in November.

"This was a whole command effort," Haynie said. "Every department has been absolutely involved in this, from electricians who ensure electrical safety, Supply [department personnel] who coordinated the ordering and receiving all the decorations, to Navigation and Air [departments] who helped hang the lights. There is no one department that is not involved in some way."

The decorating began while Bush was at sea and included the construction of a 25 foot wreath, and an 8 foot by 6 foot Santa sleigh painted with flames and strung with holiday lights. The ship's F/A-18 trainer jet, which served in place of Santa's reindeer, was wrapped in white net lights and then outlined in blue lights, and large cardboard storage containers were painted to look like presents.

All of the lights are LED with total lumens of more than 4.5 million.

"We are lit up like the 'Griswalds'," said Aviation Ordnanceman 1st Class (AW/SW) Donnie Dowell, FCPOA president. "People will be blinded with the 6.2 miles of lights."


There's more at the link.

I can only guess at the amount of work involved in stringing 6.2 miles of lights. That's a labor of love, all right - or an inordinate amount of Navy-style 'volunteering'! I'm sure many of my veteran readers will know all about the perils of 'volunteering' . . .

"Attention! Anyone here know how to play the piano?"

Two hands are raised.

"Right! You two, go clean out the officers' toilets!"




Peter