I'm not going to get into finger-pointing over who did what, with which, to whom, and who did it first. The facts appear to be that Iran had refused to give up its uranium enrichment program. According to Israel, Iran had, in fact, gathered enough enriched nuclear material to make up to 15 nuclear weapons, and was in the process of trying to assemble them over the past week or so. Israel felt it had no choice but to interrupt the process. As a result, the bombs and missiles (so far, thank God, non-nuclear) are flying again.
The problem with a nuclear weapon is that it changes the dynamic permanently if, and only if, it's used. Israel has had nuclear weapons since the 1960's, if rumor is correct, and (based on the Vela incident in 1979, of which I had more than passing knowledge) probably upgraded much of its nuclear arsenal to thermonuclear weapons in the 1980's and beyond. However, because it's never admitted to having them, and has never been proved to have detonated one, it's been able to stop further nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. Let that "plausible deniability" curtain be torn down, even by a nuclear test, and every nation in that part of the world will have nukes before you can say boo to a camel. Let a nuclear weapon be used against an enemy, and that'll happen even faster. (For example, I understand Saudi Arabia has bankrolled part of the Pakistani nuclear program, and Saudi has Chinese ballistic missiles that can carry such weapons. I think it'd take only as long as transport aircraft would need to fly from Pakistan to Saudi Arabia for the latter country to have its own nuclear arsenal.)
So far, Israel's strikes against Iran have used only conventional weapons. One hopes that'll continue . . . because if one of those strikes should (God forbid) actually set off one of Iran's nukes, or blow up a reactor causing massive radiation pollution of the area and everything (and every country) downwind, then hell's come to breakfast. If Israel uses a nuclear weapon against Iran, hell will be there for lunch and supper too.
The real tragedy of these strikes, and any Iranian retaliation, is that the "little people" nearby - the ordinary citizens who live close to the targets - are going to suffer very severely. Bombs don't care if you're innocent or guilty; they'll kill you anyway. There may be thousands killed and wounded in these strikes, on both sides. Nobody is thinking about them, and they'll get precious little help from the authorities, who are preoccupied with preserving their weapons and related programs, and with hitting back.
I have all too intimate personal knowledge of the victims of violence, those caught in the crossfire between two enemies. I've tried to stop the bleeding from their shattered limbs, and held them in my arms as their lives fled their tortured, tormented bodies. I've picked up the pieces of their corpses (and yes, I mean that literally). They are not responsible for the evils being done around them, but they pay the greatest price for them. Nobody cares about them. Those giving the orders and wreaking the havoc are focused on "bigger" problems. The innocent who are caught up in the violence are just "collateral damage".
That may sound OK to those killing them, but it's very cold comfort indeed to those doing the dying. Try telling a shrieking, wailing two-year-old whose mother has just been decapitated by a burst of fire from a machine-gun that "everything's going to be OK". It's not. She may not be able to reason at all, at her age, but she knows that the face that's looked down with love at her all her little life is now unrecognizable raw red blood and brains and fragments of bone splattered against a wall. She knows - but cannot understand why - the arms that have always cradled her when she needed comfort are now limp and lifeless. A strange man she's never seen before is trying to take her away from her mother to whom she's desperately clinging, whose love and reassurance she desperately needs but will never know again. How do you tell that child that she's just "collateral damage", and that she should suck it up and get on with life?
Those are the people I'm thinking about this morning. Once you've seen their suffering, you can't forget it.
May Almighty God have mercy on them all . . . because nobody else is going to.
Peter