Waste Management, a very large - dare I say it? - garbage industry in Texas, is planning a significant reduction in its workforce. The reasons behind it are seldom discussed, but apply to many sectors of the economy.
Houston-based Waste Management will continue to shed jobs in 2025 by reducing dependency on roles that require physical labor and turning more to technology and automation for its services.
“There has been a long-term plan to not backfill specific vacated roles. By 2026, we’re anticipating that will lead to the reduction of about 5,000 positions,” said Kelly Caplan, senior director of external communications. ”At the same time, increased automation is reducing the demand for these types of labor-intensive roles.”
. . .
“Our average heavy equipment operator is approaching 53 years old. It becomes difficult to find folks to drive a truck or to work on a piece of heavy equipment,” Fish said on the show. “So this is almost by necessity that we’re using technology to replace difficult-to-hire roles. I think one thing that I wanted to make sure I was clear about on here, though, is we’re not laying folks off. All we’re doing is using attrition. Some of those jobs have very high turnover rates.”
There's more at the link.
Note the critical issues:
- These aren't layoffs, but natural attrition. Nobody will be fired, but as they resign or retire, they won't be replaced.
- It's hard to recruit employees for jobs that are physically hard work, unpleasant, etc. Therefore, automation is not only a viable alternative, it may be the only alternative.
- Companies are now building reduced workforces into their plans for the future.
That's going to impact a large number of industries and a lot more companies in the not very distant future. Expect it to impact the number of jobs that need to be filled. Excuses from pro-migrant pressure groups that migrants are "doing the jobs Americans won't do" sound pretty hollow against the reality that most of those jobs won't exist soon.
We've already seen how robotics and automation are impacting farms. Preparing the fields, planting, fertilizing, weeding and harvesting the crops can now be automated to a surprising extent, reducing the required workforce by a very large proportion. Cellular telephone technology, drone (UAV) supervision, artificial intelligence, satellite navigation and other innovations are becoming commonplace. Sure, the initial costs of the automation are high, but once it's paid for, it just goes on working (given routine maintenance). Its long-term cost averages significantly less than the wages of the number of people it would take to do the same work. It doesn't get sick, doesn't need vacations, works long hours without complaint, and never goes on strike. I know of a couple of big vegetable farms that now employ only about 15% of the staff they used to hire every season, and many of those they hire are skilled, educated technicians rather than unskilled labor. They earn big money to do a sophisticated job. Farm work ain't what it used to be . . .
Fast food is seeing the same transformation. Young men and women used to start out their careers by flipping burgers in a fast food joint, or waiting on tables. In many places, automated ordering kiosks have replaced cashiers to take orders, and food preparation is increasingly being handled by robotic equipment. All the advantages discussed above of automating farms apply to restaurants and fast food outlets, too.
Washington D.C. is now experiencing (at express-train speeds) the same phenomenon. Huge, overstaffed, slow, kludgy federal bureaucracies have grown too big to afford, and too large to be efficient at their jobs. President Trump is taking an axe to them, reducing workforces, insisting on technological updates where necessary, and slashing budgets to reflect our economic reality. It has to happen. If President Trump did not do it, someone else would have to, or else our sclerotic bureaucracy would implode under its own weight. However, tens (even hundreds) of thousands of jobs are going to be lost in the process. What will happen to those who are laid off? Do they have the skills to find good jobs elsewhere? In an era where good workers are harder and harder to find, will such jobs even be available for them, or will they have been automated out of existence? In the private sector at least, the answer to the latter question is increasingly "Yes".
Have our schools adapted? Are they preparing students to enter this increasingly technological workplace, to deal with the advanced automation they're going to encounter? I fear not. In fact, I think the poor quality of education in American schools is making them less able to deal with it than if they were home-schooled. Note this exchange on X over the weekend:
Think about that in the context of an increasingly automated society - and then compare it to schools that still behave like dinosaurs. Sure, there are big dangers about ideologically warped AI trying to propagandize our kids, rather than educate them; but whether we like it or not, the advantages of AI-assisted education are already so evident as to make them virtually unstoppable. Even companies that forbid their employees to use outside AI tools are faced with widespread disobedience from their staff, who simply find such tools too useful to ignore. I'm willing to bet that companies like Waste Management are already figuring out how AI can help their garbage disposal operations, too.
Makes you think, doesn't it?
Peter
















