Thursday, March 5, 2026

Ukraine's rapid weapons development example is spreading fast

 

Ukraine has become well-known for its innovations in drone warfare, particularly its ability to design, develop, test and produce new models in a few months.  This means Ukraine can counter Russian innovation very quickly, forcing Russia to keep on developing replacements.  The old weapons cycle of replacing equipment every year or two is now - in some cases quite literally - replacing them every month or two.

It looks like American manufacturers are beginning to get the message.  Case in point:  a prototype of a new lightweight assault drone that was developed and built from scratch in 71 days.


U.S. Defense technology firms Divergent Technologies and Mach Industries unveiled a new autonomous strike aircraft prototype in Los Angeles on February 17.

The aircraft, called Venom, moved from concept to flight readiness in just 71 days, or about 10 weeks. The companies say the rapid timeline shows how digital manufacturing and modular engineering can shrink development cycles that traditionally take years.

The prototype was built as a flight demonstration platform. It is designed to prove that defense hardware can go from initial design to operational prototype much faster using software-driven engineering and advanced production systems.

. . .

Instead of building wings, fuselage sections, skins, and control surfaces as separate multi-part assemblies, it produced large monolithic structures. That reduced overall part counts and simplified production workflows. Fewer parts mean fewer fasteners, fewer failure points, and faster assembly.

According to the companies, this process compresses production timelines while maintaining structural integrity. The goal is to create aerospace-grade hardware at a pace closer to software development cycles.


There's more at the link.

This gets even more interesting when we recall that over the past few years, the US military has developed containerized additive manufacturing (so-called "3D printing") facilities that can be deployed along with military units, including infantry or armor brigades, naval ships, etc.  Furthermore, with modern high-bandwidth satellite communications facilities, detailed design and manufacturing blueprints and instructions can be distributed from the manufacturer to those field units, built and tested under operational conditions, and feedback and suggested improvements sent back to the manufacturer, in literally hours or days.  The advent of modern AI systems means that the process can be sped up by an unknown, but undoubtedly significant factor, meaning that the "loop" of design-build-test-evaluate-redesign can be drastically shortened.  Given an adequate basic design, the ten-week process described above might be reduced to no more than two or three weeks.  One side can have a counter to a new enemy technique or weapon almost before the latter has been fully deployed.

We're only at the start of this revolutionizing of at least some military development and manufacturing processes.  It's going to become much more widespread, very quickly - and in the process it will solve a number of problems that have plagued armed forces for literally centuries.  Want an example?  Try the under-development Red Wolf cruise missile, small enough to be fired from Marine Corps helicopters and modified agricultural aircraft, enabling those platforms to reach out several hundred miles with pinpoint accuracy.  Variations on that theme are being developed right now using similar technology, and should cost considerably less than currently-deployed equivalents.

Who knows where this will end up?

Peter


14 comments:

Anonymous said...

A little bit worrying though. Because the number of times military hardware goes missing and ends up in hands of people with deep pockets who hate others enough to purchase are becoming more of a problem to us all.

Michael said...

Who knows where this will end up?

Peter

With AI driven war machines that can build their OWN Disposable Combat units. 3 D printing and so on.

Skynet approves.

Billll said...

Ever since the introduction of kite-like hang gliders and ultra lights back in the 80s, I've wondered why the Cuban expats in Miami haven't been launching unmanned versions of these at Castro and his cronies.

M said...

Is a "war" where it's not urgent enough to have a weapons development cycle measured in months instead of years really a war?
Counter-example: the Cold War. But that was odd enough to require an adjective.

boron said...

silly question:
why am I unable to purchase shares in companies like Divergent Technologies or Mach Industries?

LL said...

It's important to have countermeasures that don't break the bank for these new weapons.

boron said...

@LL
I like to think my Türkiye loads would be cheap and effective:
depleted uranium "shotgun" pellets with an inexpensive homing device to direct the plastic shot cups

Anonymous said...

There are zero incentives for us dot mil to develop things cheaply or quickly.
Biden used dot gov subsidized Ukraine arms and munitions production to keep the US out of formal recession. Trump is burning off stockpiles of last gen precision munitions to justify even more expensive next gen ones.

Modern war is a racket.

But to the point of your post, CAD was an order of magnitude improvement over pencil and paper. 3d printing the same over CAD. AI now the same over 3d...
It's now not necessarily a distinct choice between cheap, fast, correct -- there's now increasing convergence where you can have substantial degrees of all 3 from the initial design phase... and this from someone who thinks your recent ai posts vastly overstate its current capabilities.

JNorth said...

Because they are not publicly traded companies.

Dan said...

Actual warfare for a long time was the sole purview of nation-states. That is no longer true. Which makes life for those who are not warlike much more precarious. Conflict can now erupt anywhere, anytime between any group.

ColoComment said...

https://www.divergent3d.com/company/history

Old NFO said...

The thing 'I' like is that it puts paid to the whole acquisition 'approval' chain, which drags things out FOREVER or 12 years, whichever one comes first, even for the simplest things!!!

Anonymous said...

Mebbe now any day we can order up a dr@n€ strike from AMZn....my first pick would be the ai data cntr being built 20 miles south of my front door out here in bfe....(if you don’t savvy bfe, you ain’t native Texan)

Anonymous said...

Been playing with radio-controlled airplanes since the 70s. The materials are better, the power is more efficient, the electronics is smaller. Payloads are greater. Where's the boundary between "toy" and "military"? Think of what can be done when a government contract isn't involved.