Friday, September 25, 2026

Sounds very African to me...

 

I'm amused to read about a Dutch drug hitman who has apparently "captured" the entire African nation of Sierra Leone, effectively making its government and security forces dance to his tune.  The Economist reports:


In the shadowy world of international narco-trafficking, Jos Leijdekkers is a gangster of flair. Over the past five years, bricks of cocaine stamped with his underworld moniker—“Holly”, short for Hollywood—have been found everywhere from the Ecuadorian banana port of Guayaquil to the North Sea. In his native Netherlands, his exploits have spawned biographies, podcasts, comedy skits, battalions of YouTube sleuths and, this February, a portrait of his unsmiling face and a seven-foot knife blade, spraypainted on a railway carriage in the somnolent city of Eindhoven. For criminologists, Leijdekkers’s career is a marvel. Less than a decade ago he was a hitman stalking the streets of Antwerp. He has since created a trafficking network spanning Latin America, Europe and the Middle East that brings in more than $2bn a year.

Leijdekkers’s greatest caper yet looks to be the takeover of a country. In half a decade Leijdekkers has turned Sierra Leone, a place previously best known for blood diamonds, into a hub for billions of dollars’ worth of Colombian cocaine, disguised as rice or plantain chips, which pass through each year en route to Europe. By funnelling a share of the profits to Sierra Leone’s political elite and funding large parts of the state itself, Leijdekkers has amassed perks that would be the envy of a Bond villain. He is believed to have a Sierra Leonean diplomatic passport. The police and military establishment bow to him, squadrons of container ships and submarines ply the shores at his command, and he is escorted in a motorcade by the presidential guard beneath a cloud of drones. Leijdekkers is celebrated in krio rap, the English-based creole spoken in Sierra Leone—“Ar change di game e name lek Umar Sheriff” runs a lyric of Drizilik’s recent hit “Sabi Road”—and, last September, he fathered a child with Agnes Bio, the president’s favourite daughter.

Go to Freetown today and behold a nation in the throes of narco-capture. Its beaches thrum with nightclubs, its skyline bristles with empty highrises, its streets shimmer with Corvettes and Tesla trucks. It took gangs decades to transform Mexico and Montenegro. In Sierra Leone it has taken just four years for a 35-year-old Dutch convict, boasting little more than a smartphone and a network of suppliers, to transform a beautiful stretch of west Africa into his personal fief. How did he do it?


There's much more at the link (which may be behind a paywall:  if so, you'll find an archived, paywall-free version here).

It's yet another variation on an old, familiar African theme.  A strong man arises, and forces or subverts a tribe or clan or entire nation to bend the knee to him.  How he does it may vary from criminal or military force, through tribal loyalties, to plain old-fashioned bribery and corruption.  Sierra Leone is a very clear example of the latter.  (It's nothing new there - consider the RUF catastrophe a few decades ago.)

How do we fix such situations?  There are two ways.  One is to cut off the offender's supply of cash, so that he can no longer bribe his way to the top.  That's difficult to do when it comes to illegal drugs, because that business is awash in "dirty" cash, and it has myriad ways to flow around the globe.  It can be done, but it's an enormously complicated (and expensive) process.  The other way is much simpler:  remove the bad guy from society.  You can do that like a Maduro, snatching him from his secure compound, or you can do it by the judicious application of ballistics and/or high explosives.

Whatever method you choose, it presents the problem that it only removes one offender.  Pretty soon, others will be lining up to replace him.  The most vicious, most corrupt, wealthiest and most ruthless of them will rise to the top of a new sewer, until his turn comes to be replaced . . . and then the process will repeat itself ad nauseam.  It always does.

I suspect Mr. Leijdekkers is going to find out, very shortly, that he's become too conspicuous in his success.  Western governments don't like being upstaged or embarrassed by flamboyant criminals.  I think he'll shortly either have to disappear into obscurity, or be disappeared into eternity.  As for Sierra Leone itself?  Well, if they really want to solve that country's problems, they could always hire the modern equivalent of Executive Outcomes.  That company sorted out Sierra Leone's security issue very quickly, and very successfully, in the 1990's - until international squeamishness and political correctness got in its way.  Bring it back, and there'd be much less turmoil in West Africa as a whole.  (There would also be a whole lot of pissed-off leftist politicians and diplomats, which would be a satisfactory bonus.)

Peter


Thursday, September 24, 2026

Exit left, pursued by medical hobgoblins

 

Very long day yesterday, and a very early start this morning for more medical misadventures.  I'm afraid I haven't had time to cook up a blog post for today, so please enjoy yourselves with the bloggers listed in the sidebar.

Peter


Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Notes to self

 

1.  If you find an old bottle of Miralax, don't assume that just because it's old, it may not work as well as a fresh product would.

2.  Having taken a dose of the old Miralax that morning, don't assume that just because nothing is moving by that evening, it's definitely not working properly.

3.  Even though you think the Miralax isn't working properly, don't unthinkingly take two stool softener tablets that same evening to "hurry things along".

4.  When you wake earlier than usual next morning, and spend the next half-an-hour or so disgorging quantities of the usual, you have nobody to blame but yourself.

5.  When this is repeated later that morning, with even more disgorgement, you still have nobody to blame but yourself.

6.  Notwithstanding your despair, don't even think about buying a cork or a plug, because it would probably end up dislodged with about the same chamber pressure as a firearm cartridge (producing equally explosive, albeit less sanitary results).

7.  By evening, sad and sore, engrave the memories of this day upon your mind so that you don't do it again!

That is all . . .

Peter


Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Diesel fuel and overall inflation

 

Ed D'Agostino points out that skyrocketing diesel prices will impact our entire economy.  It's not the President's fault, nor the Republican Party - it's conditioned by many events all around the world - but it's going to affect all of us.


Unless you own a trucking company, run a farm, operate heavy equipment, or drive a really big pickup truck, you may not have noticed how expensive diesel has become.

On September 15, AAA’s national average diesel price was $6.27 a gallon, compared with about $3.69 a year ago— a roughly 70% increase ... a 70% increase in a single year is an enormous shock to the economy.

Even if diesel prices were to fall from here, the shock will be working its way into grocery bills, freight charges, construction costs and home heating bills for many months.

. . .

What is unique about diesel, and why is its price outpacing oil and gasoline?

EIA expects U.S. distillate inventories (the category that includes diesel and heating oil) to fall below 100 million barrels in October, for the first time since 2003, and remain below the five-year range through the first quarter of 2027.

At the same time, refiners were already running at about 98% of capacity in late August, the highest utilization rate since 2018. In one sense that’s good news: refineries are responding to high prices by making more fuel.

The problem is they are already running near full capacity. That leaves less room to offset another supply disruption: an outage, a hurricane, a refinery accident or a further escalation of conflicts in the Middle East and Russia/Ukraine.

There may not be much relief coming. Several refiners have delayed planned maintenance to keep their refineries operating. At some point, they have to do the maintenance or risk an unplanned failure. Industry executives warn that diesel and heating-oil markets could remain tight well into next year, even if the Iran conflict ends.

. . .

For millions of households, winter means heating oil bills. Heating oil and diesel come from the same distillate pool. The differences are minimal, coming down to dyes for color and additives to help with either engine combustion or tank storage. You can run a diesel engine on heating oil, and you can fire your oil furnace with diesel.

. . .

Last winter, I relied primarily on oil to heat my New England home. It was a cold winter. On many days the electric heat pump did not make economic sense. Oil was the cheaper option.  A typical monthly oil delivery was about 150 gallons and cost around $550.

A 60% increase would put a delivery to my home at roughly $900. Ouch!  Thankfully, I can pay it.  It won’t change my lifestyle.  But for many, it will force hard decisions and uncomfortable compromises.  If you are on a fixed income or living paycheck-to-paycheck, an increase like that is a serious problem. 

For them, from their very real perspective, inflation will be sky high.


There's more at the link.

I'm worried that many voters will blame the Republican Party and President Trump for this, and punish them at the polls this fall.  Sure, some of the blame is undoubtedly theirs, but a great deal also belongs to the Democratic Party and his predecessor, who "kicked the can down the road" for four years before his inauguration and did little or nothing to stop Iran's adventurism (particularly using Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis as proxies in their ongoing war with Israel).  If President Trump was right about the threat Iran made to him concerning nuclear weapons, he had no choice but to act right away, without delay.  A nuclear threat from intransigent religious fanatics can't be dealt with in any other way.  However, people with hurting bank balances and empty wallets won't stop to consider that - they'll vote their pain, not something they can't directly and immediately feel for themselves.

I think we're in for a rocky ride until the elections . . .

Peter


Monday, September 21, 2026