Thursday, April 17, 2025

An intriguing coincidence - or more than that?

 

Many people today have little or no religious faith.  Regular readers will know that I'm a Christian, and believe in Jesus Christ as Savior and Lord.  If you don't, that's your right to choose.

A recent post over at DiveMedic's place made me do a double-take.


Nuclear power is the power of the stars. The Chernobyl reactor melted down in 1986. The area, even aquafers with a formation period measured in decades, was heavily contaminated with radionuclides, in some cases more than 100,000 times higher than background radiation.

There is a connection to that in the Christian bible. Let me explain:

The third angel sounded his trumpet, and a great star, blazing like a torch, fell from the sky on a third of the rivers and on the springs of water—  the name of the star is Wormwood. A third of the waters turned bitter, and many people died from the waters that had become bitter.

The Ukrainian word for the common wormwood plant (Artemisia vulgaris) is “Чорнобиль” (chornóbyl).

Striking, isn’t it?


There's more at the link.

I might add that DiveMedic is not Christian - he proclaims himself to be atheist - but he can still recognize the similarities between history and that text from Revelation.  It becomes even more interesting when one realizes that the Chernobyl reactors are right in the middle of the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia.

Coincidence? Yes, I think most of us will buy that.  More than coincidence?  Who can say for sure?

Makes you think, doesn't it?

Peter


China and tariffs: a Chinese and an informed American perspective

 

First, from the Director of China's Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office, Xia Baolong, via X:


"The U.S. isn’t after our tariffs but our very survival. The US has repeatedly contained and suppressed Hong Kong … and this will eventually backfire on itself."

"Let those peasants in the United States wail in front of the 5,000 years of Chinese civilization."


Wail?  Well, I suppose a lot of modern music (?) sounds like that . . .

Next, from Larry Lambert, who has inside knowledge of China after years of dealing with its businessmen and officials, and speaks with authority:


Beijing thought the American leaders they made rich would protect them forever. They believed these corporate puppet masters would never let the US stand up to China. Along came Donald Trump, who owes them nothing.

The numbers don’t lie

  • US exports to China: $143.5B
  • Chinese imports to US: $438.9B

They flood our markets while closing or restricting THEIR markets.

Trump said: NO MORE.

Meanwhile, countries like India, Vietnam, and Bangladesh are celebrating. They’re ready to take China’s place and open their markets to the U.S. – and Trump’s willing to deal.

Chinese exporters are PANICKING

  • Abandoning shipments mid-voyage
  • Factory orders FROZEN
  • Container volume is down 90%

And this is just the beginning. China can’t replace the U.S. market that made it rich.

Reports flooding in:

  • Factories shutting down
  • Amazon canceling orders
  • Stores closing
  • Warehouses overflowing

The house of cards is falling. CNN gives you nothing but Chinese propaganda.

CRUCIAL FACT: America buys 3X more than Japan (China’s next biggest customer).

Without us, they’re FINISHED. And they were already on the ropes.

Will this affect US consumers? Sure, briefly. For a few months, you might struggle to find cheap plastic junk.

But other countries will step up. And TRILLIONS in new investment are flowing into America, while countless factories LEAVE China.

The bottom line: China picked a fight it can’t win. While America adjusts, the CCP will face the consequences of its refusal to open its markets or abandon aggression against its neighbors. The decoupling is underway.


Rather different picture from what the mainstream media is telling us, isn't it?  Who do you believe?  After decades of enduring their lies and propaganda, I certainly don't believe the media . . .

If I were Taiwan, I'd be mobilizing my defense forces and preparing for invasion.  Xi desperately needs a cause to take his people's minds off their economic woes.  A war, a forced "reunification" with Taiwan, would do nicely for that - particularly because President Trump hasn't yet had time to undo the damage done to our armed forces by the previous administration.

Peter


Wednesday, April 16, 2025

"This is a Get ‘Er Done NOW! frontal assault on 40 years of accumulated Crap"

 

That's how Chiefio sees President Trump's tariffs.


We had a system of all sorts of countries with tariff barriers against US goods and not very motivated to “negotiate” along with a few players who had strong merchantilist trade barriers (not just tariffs but “standards” that often were a bit bizarre and currency manipulation and more) and you want to both “condition the battle field” while you find out “how strong an opponent will each one be?”.

So Trump throws a Tariff Firebomb into Global Trade and watches who runs where. Who has strength and who is an easy play. And he gets his answers.

. . .

This wasn’t any failure, and it isn’t a “back track” as it is only a 90 Day “Pause”. It was firing an opening salvo, and seeing where the enemy response came from. Who wanted to surrender, and who wanted to fight ... I’d count that as a “win” for shaping the battle field and choosing the grounds for the battle.

Clearly Trump has read his Tsun Su and his Clausewitz.

. . .

This is a Get ‘Er Done NOW! frontal assault on 40 years of accumulated Crap up to and including election rigging and assassinations (or attempts of same that failed…) and all to be completed in 2 years. There WILL be dozens of eggs broken, hundreds of bits of Fine China in the China Shop trampled into fragments, and a LOT of casualties in the troops.

We, the MAGA folks, are JUST FINE with that. The faster the better.

Blow up the Federal Government, we can always start over. DESTROY “the Rules Based World Order” it wasn’t working all that well anyway what with “color revolutions” and “Faux Democracy” and all. SHUT DOWN trade with China if that’s what it takes, as long as it returns jobs and manufacturing to the USA. Throw Economic “Hand Grenades” if that’s what it takes. We’re here for you if you need us.

Unfortunately, to me, it looks like the UK and EU “leadership” are corrupt and “slimy weasels” in all this, leading their countries to ruin, and China are a bunch of CCP Liars & Cheats who can not be trusted. So Trump is pissing in their coffee? OK… Can I join in? ;-)

We’ll know in 90 days if this works.

In the mean time: IF I can’t buy cheap Chinese plastic crap for 10 ¢ and have to pay 20 ¢ to get it from some other socialist hell hole, I really do not care. IF my neighbor gets a job at the new Plastic Crap Factory in the USA, well, we’ll have a back yard BBQ and I’ll buy the beer.


There's more at the link.

That sounds about right to me.  Ever since the demise of the gold standard, international trade has been denominated in increasingly devalued currency, and economic strength has reflected that.  Most countries imposed far higher tariffs on imported goods to protect their own economies.  That resulted in the USA accepting their goods at low rates, while our exports to them were charged higher rates.  That meant, in turn, that most of our factories migrated overseas, where corporations could pay lower salaries to their workers, send their production to the USA at minimal cost, and reap the benefits for their shareholders and executives.  The working stiffs who used to produce those goods here?  Who cared about them?  They could always apply for unemployment and food stamps . . .

I think President Trump sees very clearly that if we don't tackle this problem right now, we're economically doomed.  It's almost on the brink of our national bankruptcy already.  We simply can't go on accumulating massive deficits every year, adding them to an already effectively unpayable total debt.  Let's face it - a US national debt of (at the time of writing) $36.7 trillion is impossible to pay off.  There isn't that much money in the world!  We've got to deal with it now, or it will overwhelm us.  President Trump understands full well that we cannot go on importing goods and exporting dollars, while having our own exports of goods hobbled by high tariffs on the receiving end.  It's got to stop, and it's got to stop now.

All those complaining about what it's doing to the stock market are wearing economic blinkers.  They're not looking at the wider picture - only their own profits.  If the stock market crashes, it'll be an economic blow, but we've weathered such before and will do again.  If we as a nation become bankrupt, that's an order of magnitude worse than a stock market crash, because millions of people will be out of work with almost no notice.  The federal government doesn't have any spare cash to dole out in unemployment insurance, food assistance or other aid:  and if it "prints dollars" to pay such bills (as has been done all too often in the past), those dollars will be worthless because there's no economy to back them up.  What costs a dollar today will cost ten tomorrow, and a hundred the day after that.  If you're in doubt, examine Weimar Germany, or Venezuela, or Zimbabwe, or any of a large number of other nations that suffered economic catastrophe that way.

We've got to stop the rot.  It's almost too late to do so.  Tariffs are a bitter pill to swallow, for US consumers as much as for foreign countries and companies that export goods to us, but it's medicine we must take - or face the consequences.

Peter


So much for prepping!

 

Stephan Pastis aces it again.  Click the image to be taken to a larger version of the cartoon at the "Pearls Before Swine" Web page.



It's funny, of course, but it's also something to keep in mind when we talk about preparing for emergencies.  We can make all the plans we like, and stockpile goods and materials to our heart's content, but in the end, if something nasty happens, we'll just have to deal with it on the fly.  It may destroy all our preps, and disrupt all our plans.  We have to be flexible enough to "roll with the punches", adapt our plans, and do whatever is needed to get through the situation.  It may not even be possible to do that . . . in a critical situation, survival is not a guaranteed outcome.

Anyone who tells you to "buy this" or "build that" to be sure of survival is talking through his or her hat.  By all means, prepare yourself and your supplies for emergencies;  but flexibility, adaptability, good health and fitness are going to be much more important than most people realize.

Food for thought.

Peter


Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Good question!

 

With all the talk about bringing manufacturing back to the USA, Zero Hedge asks:  "Can The Work Ethic Make A Return?"


For generations now, we’ve been told that intelligence and skill are disproportionately distributed in the upper tiers of the U.S. class structure.

Personally, I don’t believe it. It is more likely the opposite: the people who struggle for a living, working two and three jobs to pay the bills, have more skills than most people in the upper third of the income distribution who have never had to worry about paying the bills.

Talk to any serious person in any midsize company today and they will tell you of their struggles. The regulations and taxes are vexing but it is the labor problems day-to-day that really inhibit their operations and progress. It is exceedingly difficult to find workers who will do what they are supposed to do in a timely way, with attention to detail, and without constant hand-holding and praise.

This decline of the American work ethic traces to the educational institutions in part, but also to the reality that most young people in the top half of income earners have never worked a day in their lives until after having earned their credentials.

They are clueless about what it means to embrace a hard job and stick with it until they are done. They resent the authority structures in the workplace and attempt to game the system in the same way that they gamed school for 16-plus years.

It’s one thing to develop skills for survival in classrooms, and a radically different thing to have skills for a new world of manufacturing. Shop classes in high school are mostly gone (only 6 percent of students take them versus 20 percent in the 1980s) and two-thirds of teens eschew remunerative employment completely, simply because it is not necessary. It’s been generations since most people knew anything of farm life, to say nothing of factory life.

Trump is seeking to solve a half-century-old problem in four years.


There's more at the link.

I can only be grateful to my parents for teaching me (the hard way) that money had to be earned.  It started out, as soon as we kids were old enough to do simple household tasks, by linking it to so-called "pocket money".  We were promised five cents for every year of our age, and were given household jobs according to our capabilities.  Mine were mowing the lawn, cleaning up after the dog, washing the car, and so on.  If we didn't do any of those jobs on schedule, as required, we were "fined" five cents from that week's pocket-money.  If we failed to perform them three times in a week, we lost all that week's pocket money.  We soon found out that begging and pleading didn't work, and if we slacked off and half-did our work, in the eyes of our parents that was as good (or as bad) as not doing it at all.  We learned.

Also, when we wanted something expensive (such as a bicycle, or a tape recorder when we hit our teens - and yes, my first tape recorder was a well-worn used reel-to-reel unit, because cassette tapes were new-fangled and expensive), we had to come up with at least 50% of its price.  We could earn that by doing extra chores for our parents, or (in our teens) by looking for part-time work.  (My first part-time job was working at a local pet store during school vacations.  I got to clean out all of the cages and boxes - a s***ty job, literally!  When I grew older I became a part-time shop assistant at an upmarket store in town, dressed in stiffly starched shirt and tie, waiting on customers and behaving very deferentially.)  By such means I always managed to raise half of the money I needed to buy something, and my parents kicked in the rest - but only after I'd earned their support.  Again, we learned.

By the time I entered the armed forces, I'd learned that one got somewhere by working hard and showing willing.  The military knocked the opinionated asshole out of me (although some unkind people might suggest I've retained a touch of that here and there . . . ).  It set me up for the rest of my life.

When I look at teenagers today, in most of the Western world they seem bored, opinionated and self-serving.  "I don't WANNA!" is their battle cry.  Talking to small business owners in the area, they all complain that attracting willing young workers is a constant battle.  If they recruit two people, it's because they know one of them is going to have to be fired, so they have to hire two to keep one.  It's expensive and time-consuming for them - two commodities that no small business can afford.  Drug and alcohol abuse, laziness and poor time management round out the complaints.

What say you, readers?  Do you think today's youngsters, with all their problems and issues, will be willing and/or able to make the transition to modern manufacturing work?  If not, what will that mean for President Trump's drive to bring business back home?

Another thought.  I wasn't kidding when I said that military service made a man out of me, taking an opinionated, self-centered brat youngster and knocking the stuffing out of him.  I wonder whether bringing back conscription might not be a good thing, from that perspective - but I have to admit that too many youngsters today would expect to be feather-bedded, and would complain bitterly about any perceived insult or "dissing" from a drill instructor.  (I remember my DI's well . . . I think they'd suffer apoplexy if they had to deal with today's youth!)  Good idea, or not worth the hassle?

Peter


Why D.O.G.E. is so hard for the left to stop

 

I've been somewhat surprised that the progressive left has filed so few lawsuits opposing the existence, mandate and mission of D.O.G.E. as a whole.  After a few initial lawsuits before it was even legally established, the focus has switched almost completely to complaints on the periphery, rather than trying to stop D.O.G.E. from doing its job altogether.

This article explains why that's the case.


Originally created under the Obama administration to improve government software, the USDS has been rebranded as the United States DOGE Service. This move, as Renz points out, is not merely a name change but a strategic repurposing to align with new priorities.

"Trump did NOT actually create a new agency," Renz noted. "Instead, what he did was repurpose an existing agency - the USDS - into something more useful." This strategy allowed Trump to bypass the need for Congressional approval while ensuring the initiative's legality.

. . .

The executive order is grounded in existing laws, notably 44 USCS Chapter 36, which focuses on developing technology for the government. By leveraging this legal framework, Trump ensured that the DOGE Service's focus on efficiency and IT evaluation remains within the agency's original mandate.

. . .

The executive order mandates the establishment of DOGE teams within every administrative branch agency. These teams, comprising a lead, lawyer, HR person, and engineer, will work under the USDS (DOGE) umbrella to identify waste and improve efficiency.

Renz emphasized the strategic brilliance of this approach: "Looking at the software and how things are managed is a great way to find out where there is waste - particularly when part of the mandate is to ensure efficiency."

. . .

While Renz expressed reservations about the extent of executive branch authority, he commended the strategic execution of the DOGE initiative. "This order was very well done," he stated, adding, "Trump and Musk have really done a good job strategically here."


There's more at the link.

The article made a few things clear to me:

  1. President Trump could not have dreamed up this strategy in a week or two.  Even before the election, he must have had people working on ways and means to achieve what he wanted;  and I've no doubt Elon Musk assigned some of his brightest and best personnel to assist in that effort.  The months between election and inauguration must have been at fever pitch, getting all the political and legal ducks in a row to allow the new Administration to get down to it from Day One.
  2. It's now clear why President Trump refused the offer of General Services Administration (GSA) funding and assistance during the transition period.  If the GSA had known what he was planning to do, they would undoubtedly have shared that with the rest of the Biden administration, and given Democratic Party lawyers and fixers a head start on figuring out how to block D.O.G.E. and other initiatives.  By keeping things in-house and rejecting official "advisers" or "consultants", President Trump kept his cards very close to his chest, ensuring that D.O.G.E. could "hit the ground running" and shock everybody with the speed at which it moved.
  3. Legally, this whole thing was brilliant.  Of course President Trump would have expected "lawfare", with Democrats launching lawsuit after lawsuit to stop him implementing his agenda.  However, by simply using an existing and entirely legal framework to insert D.O.G.E. into the executive function, he bypassed or blocked almost every legal avenue to challenge it.  If it was legal for President Obama's USDS to do what it did, then D.O.G.E. (using precisely the same legal framework and justification) was unchallengeable.  I don't know what lawyers came up with that approach, but it was spectacularly effective.

I think this transition from the Biden to the Trump administrations is going to be studied by political scientists for years to come.  It's a textbook case of how to avoid, evade or nullify efforts to stymie the handover of power.  I can only hope that the Democratic Party doesn't learn from it, and try to do the same when their turn comes (as it undoubtedly will) to assume power once more.  Sadly, I fear that hope is in vain . . .

Peter


Monday, April 14, 2025

Commercial opportunity, or national security threat?

 

I had to shake my head at this headline:


Chinese Shipping Company Wants to
Lease the Former U.S. Base at Adak


According to the report:


The head of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command supports reactivating the naval airbase at Adak, a remote Cold War station in the Aleutian Islands - but the U.S. military isn't the only interested party, according to Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK). An unnamed Chinese shipping company has also reached out to the current landowner to express interest in negotiating a lease, Sullivan said at a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing Thursday.

Adak was a key naval base throughout the Cold War, providing a logistics and surveillance hub near Russia's eastern shores. After the Base Realignment and Closure Commission process in the mid-1990s, it was shut down, and it ceased operations in 1997. The land is now held by the native Aleut Corporation.   

. . .

The U.S. military still holds occasional exercises at Adak, and talk of reviving the base has circulated since at least 2021 ... Adak would be a natural location for an enhanced U.S. deterrent presence, Sen. Sullivan said Thursday ... "But you know who checks in with them once a year?" Sullivan asked. "It's a Chinese shipping company that is, certainly, in my view, a front company for the [Chinese military]. So how embarrassing would it be to the Pentagon or the Navy . . . if somehow they signed [a] 100 year lease with a quote 'Chinese shipping company' that always is out there looking at Adak?"


There's more at the link.

I've seen that move many times before in Africa, first from the former Soviet Union, and more recently from China.  They may know that an overtly military presence would attract unwelcome Western opposition, but a "purely commercial endeavor" might be overlooked.  There are many places around the world where a foreign company has leased a port, or established a mine, or built a factory, only for it to become a center for economic exploitation (as bad as colonialism ever was), or an espionage center, or a major presence that destabilizes an entire region.  China is doing that across the Pacific Ocean at present, trying to buy influence with the tiny island nations there by offering buckets of money to build up a port (for "fishing", of course), or establish a major airport to "improve communications".  In the event of things getting heated on the geopolitical front, those would become military bases - perhaps whether the host country liked it or not.  Fly in a few planeloads of heavily armed troops without any advance notice or warning, and no tiny island nation will be able to withstand them.  The fuss would be over in less than a few hours.

China wouldn't do that on Adak, of course:  it's US territory.  However, as a base to monitor submarine traffic, and send trawlers into one of the world's great fishing and crabbing grounds, and generally cause difficulties for Alaska and the West Coast, it has tremendous potential.  If they make the financial offer attractive enough, even a patriotic tribe like the Aleuts would find it very hard to resist temptation.

Peter


Memes that made me laugh 257

 

Gathered from around the Internet over the past week.  Click any image for a larger view.









Friday, April 11, 2025

Talk about being asleep at the wheel!

 

According to D.O.G.E. yesterday:



This is absolutely mind-boggling.  Claims for unemployment from people not yet born???  How could even one of those applications have passed initial scrutiny, let alone been paid?

What's worse is that this is just one instance of a government department failing the most basic test of competency and thoroughness in doing its duty.  How can we, the taxpayers and voters of America, trust our government in future when we keep getting this drumroll of departments, agencies and individuals who have signally failed in their task and squandered our posterity?

I won't be satisfied until every government employee who should have caught these applications, but didn't, has been fired;  and until everyone who made such spurious claims has been charged and convicted of the relevant crimes.  It would be nice if the government would also refund taxpayers the amount of tax dollars that have been wasted . . . but I guess that's the definition of a "sunk cost".  We won't see that money again.




Peter


Thursday, April 10, 2025

Busy for the next few days

 

Today sees the start of our annual invitation-only Foolzcon, named initially because it was held as close as possible to April Fools Day.  Old NFO began it several years ago, and it's grown into a long weekend filled with friends, food and frolics.  We generally have a lot of fun together.

We'll have two houseguests over Foolzcon, plus our own participation in the festivities, so blogging will be light until Monday.  I'll try to put up a post here and there, but they may appear at unusual times for me.  It all depends on what we're doing, and where and with whom we're doing it.  If you get bored, amuse yourselves with the blogs listed in the sidebar.

Peter


It's not just a military conflict in the Middle East

 

Matthew Bracken, former SEAL, author and astute observer of the world around us, reminds us that the staggering cost of a potential war with Iran over that country's nuclear program is not just military.


In the event of a kinetic war against Iran, all petroleum tankers will be blocked from leaving the Persian Gulf, not only Iranian ships. Iran has hundreds of mobile truck-mounted anti-ship cruise missiles hidden in rugged mountainous terrain on a wide arc north of Oman and controlling the Strait of Hormuz. This arc is 300 miles wide and 100 miles deep. Iranian missile forces may well act under standing orders to attack all shipping once an American attack on Iran begins. Even a total decapitation strike against Iranian communications will not prevent these standing orders from being carried out. Iran will be determined to share their pain across the region and around the world.

Iranian anti-ship missile forces will not fire all their rockets at the beginning of this conflict. Instead, missile teams will have separate standing orders. Teams will be instructed to scout for shipping and fire at anything in the strait on different timelines after the war begins. Their goal will be to prevent the resumption of shipping for weeks or even months. The Iranian Revolutionary Guards in charge of these missiles will not care about the pain being inflicted upon civilians in Teheran. They will follow their orders with the dedication of Japanese holdouts in the Pacific ... To root out hundreds of these mobile anti-ship missiles “the hard way” using infantry troops would require a land invasion greater than Normandy and Okinawa combined.

. . .

The ongoing missile war in the Red Sea gives us some hints about what to expect. Yes, the U.S. military can kick the hell out of the Houthis in Yemen, but this is no real test when compared to what we will face if we go to war with Iran ... In my opinion, any military planners who assume we can destroy a wide range of strategic military targets inside Iran, from their nuclear to their ballistic missile programs, without suffering an extreme economic blowback, is a damn fool.


There's more at the link.

If the USA goes to war with Iran, it'll inevitably involve Israel, and probably at least half of the nations in the Persian Gulf area will take sides and join in.  That, plus Iranian countermeasures, will pose a severe threat to a very large part of the world's oil supply.  Half to three-quarters of the oil consumed in China, Japan and South Korea (to say nothing of other Asian nations) comes from the Persian Gulf.  If that supply is interrupted the economic costs to those countries, and to all other countries that rely on their industrial production, would be incalculable.

I agree that we have to rein in the fanatical religious government in Iran . . . but doing so in a way that inflicts minimum damage, destruction and disruption on the rest of the world will be far from easy, and probably very costly.  Here in the USA, we'll certainly feel the heat from it.

Peter


Wednesday, April 9, 2025

A Malibu liberal loses his California cool

 

From Francesco on X, after the Los Angeles fires.  A tip o' the hat to the anonymous reader who sent me the link.


Look at me. I’m a Malibu Liberal. 

I believe in climate justice. Can you believe I actually said those words?! I’ve posted those words. I’ve whispered them into quartz. I ate kelp-based protein and offset my flights to Tulum through an app made by annoying Stanford kids. I composted at scale. I did all of the things. 

Our home was solar-powered, LEED-certified, AND tastefully non-invasive—except for the footprint, which was enormous. But it was *intentional*. And even though it cost a fortune, I STILL did all of the things. We marched. We meditated. I once cried over a Greta Thunberg speech in my Range Rover outside Nobu. But nature doesn’t care about ANY of that. It just burns—helped along, of course, by decades of political incompetence.

And when it burned, the city sent not one, not two, but THREE lesbian fire chiefs with not a single hose between them. Look, DEI is important, I get that. But not when the hillside’s ON FIRE. The mayor showed up three days later from Africa, only to take a selfie and mispronounce “Malibu.” And I’m all for representation, but that [REDACTED]. 

We lost EVERYTHING! And when we tried to rebuild, we met the final boss: Democrat bureaucracy. Six months for a soil report. A year for coastal variances. Our rebuild “disrespected the ridgeline.” Whatever that means. I met with the Architectural Review Board while on mushrooms and I still don’t know if that meeting was real.

Our contractor was approved, then unapproved, then deported. We got a violation for sandbagging our own driveway. We’ve spent $120,000 just to *not* live in our house. I asked a councilwoman for help. She sent me back a workbook titled ‘Rethinking Home’ and a notice from the county asking us not to disturb owl mating zones while our lives are literally ash.

So **** it.

**** the permits.

**** the endangered sand beetle.

**** the Architectural Review Board.

**** the Democrats.

Where is my MAGA hat.


One can only sympathize, and suggest Francesco moves to someplace that treats him like a human being!  Of course, he'd have to leave his liberal California values behind, or he might get rather short shrift in his new location . . .

Peter


House of Worship security teams: a useful link

 

John Farnam advises that a new policy development aid is available for churches and other houses of worship that want to establish their own security teams.  (In this violent day and age, I fully support such initiatives.)


When such teams are appointed, organized, and charged with various duties, a competent, comprehensive, written policy quickly becomes an acute necessity for safety, competency, and legal reasons.

My esteemed friend and colleague, Manny Kapelsohn has now composed, and is marketing, such a written policy.  I assisted in the final editing.

Manny is simultaneously a renowned attorney and firearms trainer, and the two of us have conducted countess training programs together.  Manny also regularly provides professional expert assistance to litigants in deadly-force cases, both criminal and civil, renders critical trial testimony routinely, and is one of the very few who is genuinely qualified to compose such a document.

This “House of Worship Firearms and Use of Force Policy Bundle” (Policy, Comments, etc) document is now available at:

www.peregrinecorporation.com

On the website, click “Products.”

Upon checkout, enter the discount code “FARNAM25.”

Individual users will, of course, need to tweak this policy document in order for it to specifically apply to their particular situation.  The final version they intend to implement will naturally need to be reviewed and approved by their own attorney before being placed in force.


There's more at the link.

Yes, this is passing on an advertisement, I suppose:  but I trust John Farnam implicitly.  He's one of the best defensive firearm instructors around, and has been for decades.  If he says this policy guide is so good, I'm going to take him at his word:  and knowing how many houses of worship struggle to define what their security team is, what its duties should be, and how it should operate in the legal constraints that apply to their area, I think such a guide can only benefit all of us.

If your church or house of worship has, or is considering setting up, a security team, I suggest you mention Mr. Farnam's article and the link above to your pastor or church administrator.  I think they'll find it useful.

Peter


Tuesday, April 8, 2025

An important reality is in danger of being forgotten

 

When it comes to the use of handguns in self-defense, the current fashion is to go for high-capacity 9mm pistols.  They're ubiquitous, and for good reason:  the recoil is manageable for most shooters, there are plenty of rounds on tap (up to 17 or 18 in many examples), and if a quality hollowpoint round is used, they offer adequate terminal performance.  Even compact examples, holding only 6-8 rounds, offer slightly greater power than the traditional .38 Special snub-nose revolver, and greater speed and ease of reloading.  All in all, very useful weapons.

However, there's another aspect to it, and that is the age-old topic of "stopping power".  We've pointed out before that there's no such thing, at least in theory, because one can't measure in any meaningful way how many rounds are required to stop an attacker.  If he's merely out for a quick score, and meets spirited opposition, even one round that misses him might be enough to make him turn around and run for his life.  On the other hand, if he's hopped-up on drugs, he might not feel half a dozen or more torso shots, and carry on attacking until his body finally shuts down.  I've personally witnessed an assailant who'd been shot multiple times in the chest (including one round that went right through his heart), but he still lived long enough to reach the defender and open his skull with a machete.  Both died on the scene.  Can one call that a "successful" defense, in that it stopped the criminal attacker, but did not save the life of the defender?  I can't.

On the other hand, there's a time-honored and generally accepted rule in defensive shooting that tells us the bigger and heavier a round is, the more likely it is to stop an attacker.  It dates back to the days of the Civil War and the Wild West, where "manly" revolvers were in .44 or .45 caliber, while "lesser" pistols were in .36 caliber or even below.  In general terms, one or two solid lead slugs to the chest from a .44 or .45 did the job, whereas it often took more of the smaller .36 rounds to achieve the same result.

Modern bullet technology has improved the performance of smaller cartridges like the .38 Special or 9mm, but it has also improved the performance of larger-caliber rounds.  In general terms, based on actual street performance, the bigger stuff still stops attackers faster and more effectively than the smaller stuff.  Of course, any round that shuts down the attacker's central nervous system is likely to achieve a very quick stop indeed, but that takes a shooter who's fast enough and accurate enough to do that on demand.  Most of us aren't that good, so a more powerful impact is a distinct advantage when dealing with a hopped-up or fanatical attacker who has no intention of stopping, no matter what.

(As one measure of that:  ask hospital emergency room nurses and surgeons how many shooting victims survive hits - even multiple hits - by 9mm or .38 Special handguns, versus how many live through hits from .40, .44 or .45 weapons.  When I was a prison chaplain, the medical staff there told me there were any number of convicts with scars from the smaller cartridges, but very few showing scars from bigger ones.  That's because those struck by bigger, harder-hitting bullets survived less often.)

That's been borne out over the past few years by videos of police and defensive shootings all over the world.  We see how, time and again, those with smaller-caliber firearms (like 9mm pistols) fire half a dozen to a dozen rounds in order to stop an attacker.  One or two rounds just won't do the job, because they're not hitting a vital target.  In civil war situations, where attackers roam in mobs and attack in large numbers, the higher magazine capacity of a 9mm is valuable - but only if each round stops one attacker.  If you put ten rounds into the first attacker, you may stop him, but then you've used more than half your pistol's magazine and other attackers are still coming towards you.  You're in trouble.

Therefore, choose your defensive handguns in the light of what enemy(ies) you may face.  If you suspect you may have to drive anywhere near, say, an Antifa or BLM demonstration, you might want to carry large quantities of ammunition with you, but you might also (and, to my mind, should) carry a more powerful weapon than a mere handgun.  An AR15 or similar defensive rifle can provide far greater stopping power, and far greater practical accuracy, than a 9mm pistol.

If you have no choice but to rely on a handgun, it's worth relying on one powerful enough to get the job done.  Most days I carry a 9mm or .38 Special handgun in a pocket, because it's the most easily concealed weapon, and because I'm in a relatively low-crime environment.  If I were in a more progressive-left city with legions of aggrieved activists, something with higher capacity might be needed.  However, given the realities of so-called "stopping power", and my experience with it in a civil war and unrest environment over many years in Africa, I'd probably choose something with greater power, like a 10mm, .44 or .45 handgun.

Some smaller "heavy" cartridges offer the advantage that a handgun chambered for them can hold almost as many rounds as a 9mm pistol.  Looking at my gun safe, a 9mm Glock 17's magazine holds 17 rounds, whereas a .40 S&W Glock 22 holds 15, and a 10mm S&W M&P also holds 15 (the latter round being considerably more powerful than a .45 ACP, while we're at it).  A heavier, harder-hitting cartridge does not have to imply lack of magazine capacity.  Even that may not be an issue, depending on one's choice of firearm.  A .45 ACP Glock 21 will hold 13 rounds, still a useful number.  All of the rounds mentioned in this paragraph will deliver a harder punch than a smaller cartridge, and are likely to cause greater pain and disruption to the person hit by them.  There's a lot to be said for that.

So, by all means, if you can only manage the recoil of a 9mm pistol, go with that option.  It's not a bad choice, and will serve you well if you put the bullets where they're supposed to go.  That takes training and practice.  However, if you can handle the recoil of a more powerful round and shoot it accurately, there are good reasons to consider a handgun using them.  If I'm visiting a city where crime and other hazards to my health are more likely to be encountered, I'm very likely to pick a large-caliber firearm.  (To take just one example, a .38 Special snub-nose revolver can be dropped into the average trouser pocket very easily, but a .44 Special Charter Arms Bulldog is almost as light and not much bigger.  Given a pocket big enough to conceal it - and there's nothing stopping us from adding cloth to an internal pocket to enlarge it - it makes a handy choice, and using a round like Buffalo Bore's .44 Special full wadcutter, I have every confidence in its stopping power at close range.)

Thoughts to consider in this violent, criminal day and age . . .

Peter


Driving electric vehicles through floodwaters

 

In recent days, watching TV news footage of motorists driving through very high floodwaters (sometimes halfway up the vehicle's doors), I was struck by the number of electric vehicles (EV's) - both pure electric and hybrid - among those picking their way through the water and debris.  As a former sector officer for civil defense in another city and country, I was trained to look for hazards that might not be immediately obvious, and this seems to me to be precisely that:  a hazard waiting to turn into a very serious situation.

In general, it's deemed safe to drive an EV through floodwater, because the battery packs are sealed and the motor and drivetrain are well insulated.  Sources confirming that include (but are not limited to):


Can EVs Drive Through Floods?

Can I drive an EV through floods?

EVs in flood water


However, that's in theory.  In practice, floodwaters contain hazards that often can't be seen or avoided:  thick tree branches, potholes, stones and chunks of tarmac that have been washed away from where they were before and deposited in the traffic lane, and so on.  If a vehicle hits them beneath the water, they can inflict severe damage, particularly on formerly sealed and/or insulated electrical components.

If an EV's battery casing is cracked, or the insulation of its motor and/or drivetrain is torn away, it can deliver a really severe electric shock to all those nearby - most particularly its occupants, who in a flood situation may be wearing wet clothing, sitting on wet seats, and have their feet in water over the floorboards.  Talk about an electric chair waiting to go off!

There's also the unfortunate reality that damaged EV battery packs can erupt in flames with little or no warning, and burn at a very high intensity.  If one is stuck inside a car when the battery starts to burn beneath one's seat, one may not be able to get out before being burned - perhaps very badly.  Look at how fast the battery fire erupts in these video clips:






There have been videos on social media allegedly showing vehicles striking loose paving stones or other obstructions, puncturing their battery packs, and bursting into flames.  However, I could only find this YouTube short illustrating that, which I can't embed.  Click over there to watch it for yourself.

Bottom line:  if you drive an EV of any sort, please be very careful about driving through floodwater.  Under normal circumstances your battery and drivetrain should be fine, but a flood is, by definition, not a normal circumstance!  You can't see obstacles that might damage your vehicle severely.  I'd hate to have electrically shocked and lightly toasted blog readers . . .

Peter


Monday, April 7, 2025

The wider implications of tariffs

 

Following on from my article about tariffs last week, Francis Turner provides this screen capture from 4chan that looks at tariffs from a different angle.



Mr. Turner adds:


That, coincidentally (ya think?), means that the interest rate the federal government has to pay on it’s enormous debt decreases which, in turn, reduces the deficit and extends the time needed for Trump and the Republicans in congress to get their ducks in a row and pass an actual budget.

. . .

The combination of second order effects - lower interest rates, lower taxes, lower oil prices - are likely to, partially if not completely, counteract the price rises that will be seen by tariffs on imports.


There's more at the link.  I'm inclined to agree with him.

Another aspect of the tariff problem is that Europe is going to be faced with a tidal wave of Chinese manufactured goods seeking new markets, now that they may be priced out of the US market.


The U.S. holds a special place in the world economy because it buys much more from the world than it sells to it. Americans are the world’s consumers of last resort, helping to balance out vast trade surpluses in places like China and Europe that do the reverse: sell more to other countries than they buy.

Chinese manufacturers, wrestling with overcapacity in some sectors, have recently flooded global markets with cheap goods and started competing aggressively with American and European businesses around the world. China’s surplus with the world overall was just shy of $1 trillion last year, three times its size in 2018. The EU last month unveiled plans to protect its steel and aluminum producers from global overcapacity, pointing to rising exports from China and increasing trade barriers in key markets like the U.S.

China’s exports to the EU exceeded imports from the bloc by over 300 billion euros, equivalent to almost $332 billion, in 2024, according to EU data, a gap that is roughly twice as large as when Trump first started imposing tariffs in 2018. The EU has highlighted that burgeoning trade deficit as problematic even as it has defended its large goods surpluses with the U.S.

For European businesses, even with a new trade deal that lowers barriers to entry, it isn’t clear that they could significantly increase exports to China.

“China exports, it doesn’t import,” said Brad Setser, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. “If Europe wants to do a deal with China, it has to be prepared to kiss its auto industry goodbye.”

As the trade confrontation between the U.S. and China escalates, Chinese companies will come under increased pressure to dump their excess production in Europe, further increasing the competitive pressure on the continent.


Again, more at the link.

President Trump is doing exactly what he promised he would do.  He's protecting American interests, after years - decades! - during which our politicians (of both major parties, let it be said) supported Wall Street, stocks, financialization and de-industrialization, at the expense of this country's manufacturing economy and the jobs it supported.  In doing so, he's thrown a long-overdue monkey wrench into the systems and structures of international trade.  The fallout is as yet unpredictable, but is unlikely to be as bad for the United States as was the old system.

Interesting times indeed!

Peter


Memes that made me laugh 256

 

Gathered from around the Internet over the past week.  Click any image for a larger view.











Sunday, April 6, 2025

Sunday morning music

 

This morning's post might as well be titled "And now for something completely different" . . .

It seems that in several parts of the world, vegetable orchestras have become a thing.  My attention was drawn to them when King Charles of formerly Great Britain played a carrot recorder in concert with the London Vegetable Orchestra last week.  You can read more about them at the link.




Here's the LVO with "Resolution Song".




The Vienna Vegetable Orchestra is an older group, and performs all over the world, including an occasional tour in the USA.




Here they perform at a TedX concert in Vienna.




Last but not least, there's a US version too:  the Long Island Vegetable Orchestra.  Here Conan O'Brien interviews its founder, Dr. Dale Stuckenbruck, complete with instrument-crafting and -playing.




Dr. Stuckenbruck emphasizes that after playing the "instruments", you have to eat them.  This is refreshing, and reminds me of a butcher's advertisement in England a few decades ago, after the movie "Watership Down" came out.  Above a display of rabbit carcasses was the inscription:  "You've read the book, you've seen the film, now eat the cast!"



Peter


Friday, April 4, 2025

Tariffs: Wall Street versus Main Street

 

There's a significant amount of noise-versus-signal debate over President Trump's new tariffs.  I thought I'd offer a simple explanation, that glosses over many of the finer details but clarifies the essence of the problem.

Basically, tariffs benefit those who produce locally.  Goods made in America are not subject to tariffs, and the components and elements used in their manufacture are not subject to tariffs if they're also locally produced.  Imported components and elements are subject to tariffs, but since they're typically a fraction of the cost of the finished article, the tariffs don't add too much to the cost of the article.

Tariffs do not benefit - indeed, they indirectly attack - those who want to "export" manufacturing and production to cheaper environments offshore.  The primary reason so many jobs were lost in the USA over the past few decades is not just technological advancement:  it's also that wages and associated costs overseas were a small fraction of US levels.  (That's no longer as true as it was, because overseas wages and costs have increased dramatically:  they're still usually lower than ours, but not by nearly as much as they were.)

Thus, the rise of "globalism" was, in fact, a push to send expensive manufacturing overseas rather than keep it here.  Why?  Because companies could make much more money by producing their products at a low cost, importing them at minimal or no tariffs, and then selling them for as much as they'd charge for US-made products.  Alternatively, they could make their low-cost products and sell them more cheaply than their US-based competitors, thus cornering the market and driving the others out of business.

The focus on manufacturing turned into a focus on financialization.  The manipulation of money became more important to many businesses than the goods they produced, and the place the latter were made became less important than the cost of making them.  Thus, local jobs were greatly reduced because they were too expensive compared to workers overseas - and companies didn't care about the social and cultural costs involved.  They cared more about the "broad picture" of making money overall.  (To illustrate, ask yourselves why the big auto manufacturers all developed in-house financial operations like Chrysler Capital, Ford Credit or GM Financial.  They did so purely and simply because there was more money - and more profit - to be made by financing auto sales than there was in simply selling cars;  and they wanted to keep that profit in-house rather than lose it to banks and other loan providers.  The profit from those financial operations rivals - in some cases, exceeds - the profit from making the vehicles.)

Thus, companies that financialized their operations became hits on Wall Street.  The more money they made, and the lower their costs could be driven, the better their stock price became as investor money (seeking, as always, the best return) poured into them.  The fact that executives at such companies often received a large part of their compensation in the form of stock offers, or bonuses for stock performance, had a lot to do with that.  Executives were now effectively working for remote investors, people with no interest at all in what the company made but every interest in exploiting its profits.  Thus, Wall Street became richer and richer, while Main Street (where the goods were actually made and sold, and where jobs depended on that process) became poorer and poorer.  That's why we have millions upon millions of people unemployed or underemployed in this country - and why those people have become a burden on the federal government through entitlement programs like welfare, Social Security disability, food stamps, etc.

Tariffs threaten to reverse that process.  They make it much more expensive for companies to manufacture their products in other countries and import them.  It becomes cheaper and more advantageous to make them here, and hire locals to do the work.  However, that's also a threat to countries like China and Vietnam, whose entire economic success has been built upon becoming low-cost manufacturers for the rest of the world.  Those companies look upon President Trump's tariffs as a direct and immediate threat to their own economic well-being, and they're right.

This is also a threat to the other developed economies of the world.  Not only are their exports to America now going to cost US consumers more (and therefore sales of imported goods may be expected to decline), but they're now going to experience a flood of imports from countries that previously exported a lot to the USA, but must now find new markets for their products - or watch their own economies decline.  The entire global order of making goods cheaply for export to other nations hangs in the balance.

Yes, the tariffs are going to cause economic problems for a while (although not, I think, as severe as some pundits are claiming).  However, they're also likely to succeed in revitalizing US manufacturing and production.  For example, just yesterday I heard of someone complaining on social media that in Maine, long-mothballed paper plants were being reactivated, because it was going to be too expensive to import lower-cost paper products from Canada thanks to the new tariffs.  Other shuttered paper mills are being converted to manufacture other wood products.  That's exactly what the tariffs are designed to accomplish!  Those reopened plants will offer jobs to local employees, and a boost to local economies where their wages will be spent.  It will also reduce those employees' dependence on public assistance, and reduce that burden on taxpayers.

In a nutshell, that's what tariffs are designed to achieve:  and that's also why Wall Street, and those who've made fortunes from financialization, and the news media that are themselves the product of financialization in that they're owned by the oligarchs who made fortunes from it, are all bitching about them and forecasting doom, gloom and destruction.  It's simply Wall Street versus Main Street.  For decades, Wall Street has lorded it over Main Street, to the former's enrichment and the latter's impoverishment.  Now that tide appears to be turning - and Wall Street hates it.

I'm willing to give President Trump a chance, and his tariffs time to show whether or not they'll accomplish what he intends.  It's going to be a bumpy ride, but the scenery should be fascinating!

Peter


Heads up, shooters: tariffs and our ammo supply

 

I'm sure many of our more enthusiastic firearms owners have already built up quite a large stash of ammunition to support their sport/hobby/whatever.  However, there are many others who don't bother;  they buy what they need, when they need it, and panic whenever something interrupts normal supply lines to produce an ammo shortage.

The just-introduced tariffs may make some brands of ammunition harder to find, and will almost certainly make them more expensive.  Sam Gabbert of SGAmmo writes:


Late in the afternoon yesterday, the US government's new wide sweeping tariffs on imports were announced. In my opinion, they were worse than expected regarding what effect this will have on price and supply for ammo in the USA.  In short, it is going to drive up prices for the consumer in a dramatic way and totally cut off supply in certain brands over time.

. . .

Example 1 - PMC from South Korea was hit with a 25% tariff and is a major supplier of the most popular options for 5.56/223 ammo, as well as 9mm and many other calibers. This tariff increases the cost to 1000 rounds of 5.56 by about $100, and 1000 rounds 9mm about $50. At that point they simply cannot compete in the market against US manufacturing and most likely would slowly exit the market over the next year with the most popular products drying up first. Also, PMC's mother company, Poongsan Corporation, supplies US ammo manufacturers with a huge portion of copper strip used to make ammunition, which will drive up cost of US manufactures. 

Example 2 - Prvi Partizan in Serbia was hit with a 37% tariff, and is a key supplier of metric rifle calibers, economical handgun ammo, and 5.56 FMJ ammo. This 37% tariff, if it holds, will totally force them out of business and you will see this manufacturer totally exit the US market over the next 6 months.

Example 3 - Igman in Bosnia, a key supplier of 7.62x39 and 7.62x51 ammo was hit with a 36% tariff, which increases the cost of 1000 rounds of 7.62x39 by about $180. No one will import it at all if this cost is added.

Example 4 - , Sellier & Bellot in the EU (Czech Republic) was hit with a 20% tariff. This drives the cost of their 9mm up $40 per 1000 and affects other products in a similar way, and at that point they cannot compete in the market on many popular products. 

Example 5 - Magtech in Brazil was hit with the smallest tariff at 10%, but still substantial to drive 9mm prices up $20 or so per 1000 rounds.

In my opinion, unless the tariffs are reversed or reduced to much lower levels, the most likely course for where we are at is that many of the import ammo brands are driven out of business in 6 months to a year or are forced to charge unrealistic prices that very few consumers will pay, shrinking their volume to an unsubstantial point. At the same time, US manufacturing most likely slowly raises prices 3% to 8% once each quarter of remaining 2025 and early 2026, pushing prices up to match import competitors on the most popular calibers like 9mm, 45 auto and 5.56 / 223 and more, where profit margins have been suffering due to price cuts over the past 2 years while also dealing with continuous upward movements in manufacturing costs. What you do is your business, but this will have an undeniable effect of forced price increases at our store and all other ammunition websites and retailers of all types, and it is my opinion that buying today will save you in the long run.


There's more at the link.

I've got mine, thank you very much;  but I've already advised those who expend a few hundred rounds of practice ammo every year (which is a minimum level, let it be said) to increase their stockpile.  Furthermore, this might be a good time to invest in a lower-cost training or practice weapon, shooting cheaper ammunition, to back up your primary defensive weapons.  .22LR or 9mm ball costs a lot less than some larger cartridges, which can save a bundle on training, even taking the cost of a "spare" weapon into account.  The latter can pay for itself very quickly in terms of ammo savings.

Just a thought . . .

Peter


Thursday, April 3, 2025

True dat!

 

Found on X.com:





Peter


The real impact of President Trump's tariffs

 

Jeff Childers points out that the tariffs on imports that President Trump imposed yesterday not only level the economic playing field, they overturn a decades-old system of trade that's become wildly warped and twisted in favor of others while being detrimental to the United States.


It would be easy to dismiss yesterday’s announcement as dry, economic arcana — tariffs, trade deficits, bilateral agreements, country-by-country charts, and economic reports. But don’t be fooled by all the paperwork. What Trump did wasn’t just a historic across-the-board trade action.

It was a once-in-a-century power shift.

To understand how truly historic it was, look back to Bretton Woods, 1944 — the postwar deal where America agreed to carry the world’s economic burdens in exchange for geopolitical dominance.

After the devastation of WWII, the United States promised to help rebuild Europe and Japan, by opening our previously protected markets to foreign goods, keeping our tariffs low to nonexistent, providing the world’s reserve currency, and underwriting global security with American military power.

In return, other countries were supposed to gradually liberalize their economies, buy American goods, and play by the rules. But they never did.

Instead, they took our postwar deal —designed to help them— and ran with it. They piled up tariffs, non-tariff barriers, VAT taxes, and trade cheats while the U.S. kept its markets wide open.

For decades, the American working class footed the bill while foreign economies fattened themselves, and American elites made billions facilitating and perpetuating the grift. That was globalism. It’s not an ideology— it is a business model. And Trump just crushed the model.

He didn’t just slap tariffs on a few industries, as has always been done before. Instead, he:

  • Imposed the first across-the-board tariff on all imports in modern U.S. history (with certain exceptions).
  • Reversed the postwar deal by demanding reciprocity rather than charity.
  • Linked trade to national security, manufacturing independence, and economic sovereignty.
  • Gave himself a live, adjustable tariff dashboard to pressure every foreign government, one-on-one.

In short, Trump didn’t “adjust policy” — he dismantled Bretton Woods.

For the first time since 1945, the United States is no longer offering up its consumer market as a global welfare program. Trump’s not playing the age-old game of whack-a-mole, with its endless unproductive diplomacy, swanky secret summits in Alpine resorts, and backroom G7 handshakes.

No, he’s negotiating right out in the open. Holding a sledgehammer of tariffs, leverage, and a crystal clear message: Open your markets to us, or pay dearly for access to ours.

That is why foreign governments, corporate media, and the parasite class are howling. The postwar free ride is over. The host finally vomited up the parasite. And the Bretton Woods era is finally finished.


There's more at the link.

Childers also points out that America's tariffs on our trading partners are not yet anywhere near their tariffs on our products.  If their corporations want to avoid the impact of these new tariffs, the solution is simple.


Trump made two main points. First, taking his critics head on, he insisted tariffs will ultimately lower prices for Americans: “We will pry open foreign markets and break down foreign trade barriers, and ultimately more production at home will mean stronger competition and lower prices for consumers.”

In other words, he’s shaking off the ticks.

Next, Trump means to revitalize our infected body politic. He repeatedly explained how our once world-class manufacturing sector has been hollowed out, and our once vital industrial cities have been reduced to smoking ruins. It’s a valid point his critics mostly ignore, because they cannot argue the inarguable.

Trump intends to reverse America’s long, slow slide into industrial oblivion.

And he offered a simple solution to any foreign companies hurt by the tariffs: a generous invitation. “To any company that objects to our common sense reciprocal tariffs… my answer is very simple: If you want your tariff rate to be zero, then you build your product right here in America,” the President said.

“Jobs and factories will come roaring back into our country… this will indeed be the golden age of America,” Trump said.

It’s already working. Late last night, for example, Israeli officials indignantly tweeted that it had immediatly deleted all its tariffs on American goods, and demanded why Trump’s new Israel tariffs weren’t canceled yet ... Expect a lot more of this.


Judging by the anguished screaming coming from many of our trading partners, they really thought they could blackmail President Trump into abandoning (or at least drastically scaling back) his tariff initiative.  Now that he's gone through with it (and isn't finished yet, because he has the power to adjust tariffs up or down in future against any trading partner that tries to play fast and loose with the new system of trade), they have a simple choice.

Effectively, it's an economic application of the time-honored Golden Rule:  "Do unto others as you would have them do unto you".  If they want the USA to charge lower tariffs on their exports, then they must charge lower tariffs on what the USA exports to them.  Quid pro quo.  Treat us the way you want to be treated.  If you insist on imposing an economic burden on us, we'll do the same to you.

I'm still waiting for someone to explain how that's unfair . . .

Peter


One can only salute her courage

 

A highly rated fencer "took a knee" in a Maryland tournament rather than face a transgender opponent.


Women’s fencer Stephanie Turner refused a match against a transgender opponent at the Cherry Blossom Open in Maryland this past weekend, opting to take a knee instead.

. . .

“I knew what I had to do because USA Fencing had not been listening to women’s objections regarding [its gender eligibility policy],” Turner said.  “I took a knee immediately at that point. Redmond was under the impression that I was going to start fencing. So when I took the knee, I looked at the ref and said, ‘I’m sorry, I cannot do this. I am a woman, and this is a man, and this is a women’s tournament. And I will not fence this individual.”

“Redmond didn’t hear me, and he comes up to me, and he thinks that I may be hurt, or he doesn’t understand what’s happening. He asks, ‘Are you OK?’ And I said, ‘I’m sorry. I have much love and respect for you, but I will not fence you,” she added.

Even though Redmond warned Turner that she would likely be disqualified for refusing to compete, she accepted her fate anyway. Indeed, minutes after her refusal, the referees gave Turner the black card penalty, and she was expelled from the tournament.

. . .

USA Fencing defended its transgender and non-binary athlete policy as a means for inclusion.

“The policy was designed to expand access to the sport of fencing and create inclusive, safe spaces. The policy is based on the principle that everyone should have the ability to participate in sports and was based upon the research available of the day,” it said in a statement.

“We respect the viewpoints on all sides and encourage our members to continue sharing them with us as the matter evolves. It’s important for the fencing community to engage in this dialogue, but we expect this conversation to be conducted respectfully, whether at our tournaments or in online spaces. The way to progress is by respectful discussion based in evidence,” it added.

Turner acknowledged that she will face backlash for her decision ... “It will probably, at least for a moment, destroy my life. I don’t think that it’s going to be easy for me from now on going to fencing tournaments. I don’t think it’s going to be easy for me at practice,” Turner said. “It’s very hard for me to do this.”


There's more at the link.

Of course, I agree with her position, which is medically and biologically unassailable.  One's sex - and, yes, one's gender too, despite protests from the "woke" - is determined by one's chromosomes.  A man can undergo all the sex-change surgery he wants, and a woman likewise, but their chromosomes will remain as they were at birth.  Changing the outward appearance cannot and does not change the underlying person.  For anyone or any body (sports or otherwise) to argue otherwise is to defy science, to spit in the face of reality.

We're going to have to continue to confront this evil twisting of reality and denial of truth for years to come, because those behind it are diabolically persistent in trying to overturn science in favor of their own brand of pseudo-science.  Congratulations to Ms. Turner for upholding the truth and refusing to be cowed by falsehood.  May her example motivate many others to do likewise.

As Theodore Dalrymple has pointed out:


When people are forced to remain silent when they are being told the most obvious lies, or even worse when they are forced to repeat the lies themselves, they lose once and for all their sense of probity. To assent to obvious lies is to co-operate with evil, and in some small way to become evil oneself. One's standing to resist anything is thus eroded, and even destroyed. A society of emasculated liars is easy to control.


One may safely assume that Ms. Turner will not be "easy to control".  Excellent!

Peter