Sunday, October 13, 2024

Sunday morning music

 

Let's go classical today, with Serenades for Strings from Tchaikovsky and Dvorak.  The recording also includes several short pieces by the former, and another Serenade by the latter.  The track listing is:

Composer: Tchaikovsky
Artists: Baltic Chamber Orchestra, Emmanuel Leducq-Barôme & Lev Klychkov
Serenade for String Orchestra in C Major, Op. 48: 
00:00:00 I. Pezzo en forma di sonatina
00:09:34 II. Valse
00:13:13 III. Elegia
00:22:01 IV. Finale

Composer: Dvořák
Artists: Czech Chamber Philharmonic Orchestra Pardubice, Petr Nouzovský & Stanislav Vavřinek
Serenade for Strings in E Major, Op. 22: 
00:29:26 I. Moderato
00:34:11 II. Tempo di Valse
00:41:17 III. Scherzo. Vivace
00:47:11 IV. Larghetto
00:52:11 V. Finale. Allegro Vivace

Composer: Tchaikovsky
00:58:22 Elegy for String Orchestra in Memory of Ivan Samarin, TH 51 (Jacopo Taddei, Roma Tre Orchestra & Sieva Borzak)
01:08:20 String Quartet No. 1, Op. 11: II. Andante Cantabile (Orchestra Orfeo & Domenico Famà)
01:15:29 String Quartet in E-Flat Minor, Op. 30: III. Andante Funebre e Doloroso (Baltic Chamber Orchestra, Emmanuel Leducq-Barôme & Lev Klychkov)
01:27:05 Snow Maiden, Op. 12 – Melodrama (Baltic Chamber Orchestra, Emmanuel Leducq-Barôme & Lev Klychkov)

Composer: Dvořák
Artists: Amati Ensemble
Serenade, Op. 44 in D Minor: 
01:31:06 I. Moderato quasi (Arr. by Mordechai Rechtman)
01:35:11 II. Tempo di minuet (Arr. by Mordechai Rechtman)
01:41:17 III. Andante con moto (Arr. by Mordechai Rechtman)
01:50:48 IV. Finale. Allegro molto (Arr. by Mordechai Rechtman)



A lovely selection of light classical pieces for a peaceful start to our Sunday.

Peter


Friday, October 11, 2024

One does wonder...

 

It seems that Israel's onslaught against Hezbollah in Lebanon may have claimed another high-level casualty.


The location of an Iranian general is under scrutiny amid reports he’s being investigated for his involvement in Israel’s dismantling of Lebanese terror outfit Hezbollah.

Brig. Gen. Esmail Qaani, the head of Iran’s elite Quds Force, has not been seen in public since Israel killed Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah in a massive air strike on Beirut on Sept. 27.

Some Arab outlets say Qaani is alive and unhurt — but under guard — as the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) investigates security breaches into how Israel was able to bring down the terrorist movement’s most senior leadership and identify where and when he could be found.

Others, including Sky News Arabic, reported Qaani is being probed over alleged ties to Israel. The outlet also reported the general had a heart attack while he was being questioned.

Suspicions escalated that senior Iranian commanders may have been compromised when the terrorist set to succeed Nasrallah — Hashem Safieddine — was most likely also killed in an Oct. 4 airstrike on his Beirut base in Lebanon. 


There's more at the link.

Israel has demonstrated such a vast superiority in its intelligence-gathering structures that its enemies are reduced to casting about for explanations and excuses.  It's the old story, seen so often in history:  "We must have been betrayed from within!  They couldn't have done it any other way!"  Well, of course they could:  but the easy excuse, so believable to those who are suffering, is always to blame some insider for betraying them.

I doubt very much that the head of the Quds Force is a traitor to Iran or Hezbollah, or an agent of Israel.  Quds has done immense harm to so many nations, and so many people, that I don't see how Israel could possibly allow one of its sources to continue to lead that organization so effectively.  They'd be damaging themselves if they did so.  However, I can see Israeli agents dropping "hints" and "suggestions" about treason, and then laying a trail of false but believable evidence pointing to someone like him.  That's much easier to do than get their own man into such a position of command - and we know for sure that Hezbollah at least must be riddled with their agents, as evidenced by the recent bloodbath among the leaders of that organization.

As for "the general had a heart attack while he was being questioned" . . . that strongly suggests the questioning was kinetic in nature, and not just verbal.  Perhaps drugs were employed as well as torture.  Suffice it to say that a fit, strong man like Qaani is very unlikely to have had an undiagnosed cardiac problem that's just (very conveniently) manifested itself under questioning.

Whatever the truth of the matter, I'm sure the confusion, disarray and mutual accusations among the leadership of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps and the Quds Force rivals, if not exceeds, that among Hezbollah right now.  What's more, I think any candidate to replace the deceased leaders of those organizations must be aware that their life expectancy, should they accept the position, will probably take a sudden and dramatic turn for the worse as soon as Israel hears about their promotion.  I can almost hear the conversation now:

"Abdul, you've been chosen to be the new Head of -"

"No!  No!  I - ah - I'm very sick!  I have an ingrown toenail!  It's agony!  My mother/wife/son/daughter needs me to be with her right now!  I don't have transport!  Find someone else!  Please!"



Peter


Citizen self-reliance - it's not just for hurricanes

 

From Wyoming comes a tale of citizens fighting fires, even after the authorities recalled all "official" firefighters to safer places.


When the Elk Fire was bearing down on all three sides of the Horseshoe subdivision west of Dayton, evacuating the area was the last thing on resident Warren Tritschler’s mind.

He wasn’t going to leave the home he and his wife spent 30 years of their lives building. He was going to do everything he could to save it.

So, when fire roared down the hill, an 8- to 10-foot-tall inferno headed for his home overnight Friday into early Saturday morning, Tritschler was there with a garden hose in hand.

He used the hose to put out a burning tree that was too close for comfort. He doused softball-sized embers that blew in, threatening to set his home on fire. And he wetted down a neighbor’s well, trying to prevent its destruction.

Tritschler kept spraying with his garden hose until a transformer blew and the power went out, cutting off his water supply.

But he wasn’t done in. He hopped into a buggy outfitted with a weed sprayer, using that to keep things wet all around his home.

“I put out a lot of fire with that weed sprayer,” he told Cowboy State Daily on Wednesday. “I can’t imagine what I could have done with an actual fire truck.”

Tritschler is one of the many self-described “guys in blue jeans” — or as others have called them, Hillbilly Hotshots — who have outfitted their own trucks with water tanks.

They are self-appointed protectors, patrolling their own ranches and neighbors’ homes, alert for embers carried far from the Elk Fire’s frontlines, doing what they can to protect their land and their homes.

“I think there’s a misconception here, too, because the volunteer firefighters and these guys in blue jeans are the ones who are actually working together,” he said. “Going against the grain of the feds. The feds are the ones who called all of the firefighters off of (Horseshoe subdivision). They were trying to get us to fall back to the IXO (Ranch). And there’s a bunch of those guys who said no, and just stayed.”


There's more at the link, including photographs and a video interview.

I was glad to read that report.  It shows yet again that by using our own resources, we can often deal with emergencies where local, regional and national authorities - hamstrung by red tape and disputes between agencies - might be stymied.

It reminded me of tales my late mother told me about the German bombing of Britain during World War II.  She spent many nights on the roofs of buildings working the fire watch.  She was "armed" with a gas mask, a bucket of water, a bucket of sand, and a stirrup pump.  Here's a World War II photograph (courtesy of Wikipedia) showing a woman doing that job.



If a German incendiary bomb (shown below - a lightweight device designed to set fire to roofs and buildings, rather than explode and cause blast damage) fell on the roof, her job was to grab it (using a pair of fireplace tongs, if necessary) and drop it into the bucket of sand, where it could burn itself out without causing further damage.



She would then use the stirrup pump and bucket of water to extinguish any flames already started on the roof itself.

She, and thousands of women like her, kept Britain's homes and shops and factories from being destroyed while their fathers, husbands and sons fought the Germans in the "shooting war".  Without such citizen involvement, Britain would have been far worse off, and might have suffered damage so crippling that it could not have sustained its war effort.  My late father and other servicemen deeply appreciated their hard work.  He told me more than once that my mother had faced just as much danger as he had during the war, albeit in different ways.

Those Wyoming citizen firefighters are acting in the same tradition.  Well done, those people!

Peter


True dat

 

From the Conservative Curmudgeon on MeWe (I can't link directly to his post, unfortunately):


Here in Florida the day after MiIton I see a lot of people helping. Linemen from all over North America. Police. Firemen. Medical people. Churches. Rednecks. Florida Guard. Neighbors.

Who I don't see helping . . . . . LGBT-P. BLM. ACLU. Planned Parenthood. Climate activists. The teacher's or IRS unions.


Quite so!  When the objective is to make a noise and get noticed, the latter are past masters at it.  When it comes to actually getting things done . . . not so much.



Peter


Thursday, October 10, 2024

Detailed after-action report from North Carolina

 

Regular readers will have seen mention of Killer Bees Honey in these pages on several occasions.  They produce what I believe may be the finest honey in North America.  The "beekeeper", Sean, is an online friend of many years' standing.

The apiary is in the the Pisgah National Forest area of North Carolina, and took a pounding from Hurricane Helene last week.  Here's Sean's after action report to his friends, shared on this blog with his permission.


Things are slowly returning to normal here. Food is coming back onto the grocery store shelves, but it’s still cash only for some. Banks are still limiting withdrawals of $1k.

As I wrote the below, I continually thought about your dealings with Katrina.

Sean

******************************************************************

Like all good horror stories involving a demonic woman, it began in the darkness of night. I awoke Friday at 0230 and watched as the metal patio furniture, sans cushions traveled S/B past the bedroom windows. My drowsy WTF reaction was mirrored by the cats WTF stare. The whole house generator had already kicked on. Ten minutes later and with a head lamp piercing the driving rain, I was in the lower bee yard placing heavier rocks on the hives. When I was done, Helene’s 55 knot gusts were pushing the hives off their foundation. Luckily, each hive had around 65 pounds of stored winter honey. I’m sure that’s what kept them from being blown over. I could not say the same for me as I had to get on my hands and knees with each blast of wind. Retreating back to the safety of the house, I could hear trees falling, some snapping in half deep in the forest around me. No bueno. All I could now do is start the coffee maker and wait for dawn. First light came with continued howling winds and rain. A sourwood tree narrowly missed the house and was laying across the pad in front of the kitchen window. Its leaf laden boughs frantically waving to me in distress with each shock of wind.Too dangerous to step outside, I went downstairs to the mechanical room to begin the quick process of charging up the battery bank.

Since then it’s been a total shit show in WNC. I celebrated my 69th birthday chainsawing my way down our mile long driveway. Two days, several naps and six bar chains later, the driveway was passable. This can’t be said for adjacent mountain roads. The 26” of rain washed out or made local roads and bridges impassable. I jumped into the Polaris Ranger once I cleared the driveway and drove the four miles to the main road. What I saw can only be described as post apocalyptic. Neighbors working chainsaws clearing roads and driveways. Head on collisions of trees into houses. Many homes were uninhabitable. Peaceful creeks and flowing water rock falls turned into churning rivers and torrential waterfalls. Bridges and damns were breached. Duke power was releasing water from lakes causing more destruction, but they had no choice; a damn failure would have been more disastrous. 

The ham radio community immediately initiated an emergency net. Numerous surrounding repeaters were connected and a call went out for volunteers, SAR and swift water rescue crews. This was the only way to communicate for four days. People from all over the world were using their HF stations to contact net control for welfare checks on loved ones or family members. Net control then used UHF and VHF frequencies to contact local ham operators. They in turn left the safety of their homes to brave dangerous conditions. Some had to abandon their cars and hike into hazardous conditions. It was heartbreaking to hear one station report back on a welfare check of an isolated elderly couple's home located deep in a holler. He radioed that all he found was a driveway at the end of which was a raging river.

I was on generator and battery b/u power for nearly five days. There was no damage to the hives and out buildings. AVL was closed to all traffic for four days. Denise was in Chicago, but I was able to pick her up when HWY 64 and the airport reopened. My immediate neighbors, a young family of five had no power. I gave them a five gallon water bladder, a daily thermos of coffee, venison and a Honda 2200 generator along with a jerry can of gas to keep the fridge and essentials powered. They came up to the house to eat and shower, but left last Wednesday to be with relatives in Raleigh. 

We now have grid power and cellular. WISP (internet) is spotty.

Intial Impact

Massive flooding and wind destruction. Total devastation. No power. No cellular. No internet. No water. Land lines were down. Everything was closed. Many towns and communities were literally swept away. Chimney Rock, Swannanoa no longer exist. Boone and half of Asheville were inundated with water. Interstates 40, 26 and HWY 64 were impassable. The geography was literally changed by the flood. I don’t know how some roads, businesses and homes can be rebuilt. Many deaths; a community near the French Broad river in Hendersonville was told to evacuate at the beginning of the storm. Some stayed. Two days later, several bodies were found hanging out of windows and trees. Five were found in a debris field a mile away. Around 250 water plants were destroyed or inundated with muddy water and won’t be operational for weeks if not months. Within 24 hours 37 private helicopters were air dropping food and water to isolated communities. FEMA was non existent.It was private citizens and small businesses helping each other. 

Presently

230 deaths and rising. Nearly 1000 still missing. I was talking to a local Sheriff’s Lt who said they’ll be pulling bodies out of debris fields through the holidays. 50% of homes in the county are still without power.  Most roads leading into town are clear. Interstate 40 at the TN border will remain closed for approximately a year during repair. 26 now has passable lanes, but will need repair. Hwy 9 leading into Chimney Rock is non existent. Hwy 19 leading into Asheville is severely damaged and unusable. All national and state parks are closed due to immense tree falls and trail damage. The Blue Ridge Parkway and all buildings along the Pkw are closed. The nearest town to us is Brevard which now has power. Prior to that, the local grocery stores were open for two days after the event, but it was cash only. I understand they closed soon thereafter because they were cleaned out. Propane is still in short supply. Gas stations which have power have no 93% and are limiting gas to ten gallons per vehicle. There isn’t any non ethanol gas. Lines for gas go for 100’s of yards. Portable generators along with chainsaws and 2 stroke fuel are sold out. Nightly looting around Asheville. The Ingles (grocery) warehouse and Walmart were looted within 24 hours of the storm. Cash only stores and gas stations are causing a run on the banks. As a result, customers are only aloud $1K cash withdrawals. Essentials such as food, water, diapers and baby formula are currently being distributed at churches and community centers by local citizens. What people need isn’t FEMA’s $750. They need food and water. It’s been eight days and some isolated communities are literally going hungry. Good Samaritans, some from out of state trying to reach those in need are being held up at gun point for supplies. There is fear among health professionals of dysentery caused by lack of clean water and unsanitary conditions. 

I read there is a loss of some 60,000 bee hives in the Southeast. There may be greater losses if beekeepers can’t get to the remaining hives and feed them sugar water. My bees are good; they keep their first 65 pounds of spring wildflower honey for the winter.

There were multiple episodes of civil unrest and violence. A dude in Brevard shot out the tires of someone else cutting into a gas line. A fist fight broke out near the local credit union. My bee out yard is near a sketchy neighborhood. Apparently, some local meth heads broke into a home thinking the owners had split. Nope. The husband comes out of the bedroom busting caps from a 357 revolver… we’re old school up here. Said meth heads retreated to their vehicle and returned fire. Husbands wife opens the bedroom window and throws down with a full mag from an AR-10. The next morning nothing was found other than broken glass and some blood. The sheriff’s dept. never responded because no one called (no phones) Like I said, old school.

For further information, I urge you to read the below link regarding Helene’s impact written by an eloquent local writer for USA Today:

https://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/columnist/2024/10/03/helene-asheville-north-carolina-flooding-climate-change/75490093007/

Opinion: Helene devastated my NC community. What I saw next helped me survive.

My Preps

My wife and I live in the Lake Toxaway zip code area, but not in the HOA. We have 75 acres on the apex of Walnut Cove Mountain. Our driveway is exactly one mile long. We are surrounded by 512,000 acres of the Pisgah National Forest and game lands which is adjacent to the Great Smokey Mountains National Park and Nantahala Wilderness. We are very isolated from the rest of the world which is fine by me. Most of my prep education came from being a LEO out of Southern California. I was an active participant in earthquakes, wildfires and riots. Until recently, I was a certified AEMT and SAR member. Presently, I am a beekeeper, a full time house bitch and part time sex slave. Titles I proudly embrace. I hunt deer, wild turkey and bear off my property. My wife, Denise is a retired CFO of a company in NYC. She is an anti gun liberal who happens to know the benefits of capitalism. Go figure.

All our preps worked out amazingly well and without issues. From the initial storm to grid up, all I missed were fresh bananas. First world problem.

Power: We are grid tied with 21 roof mounted solar panels producing 7kW midday. Energy we don’t use from the PV system is stored in a Sonnen Battery 18kW system. During grid down situations, which happens a lot up here, A 30kW, water cooled, Generac powers the entire house. Combined with a buried 1000 gallon propane tank, I can live off grid indefinitely. The Generac was utilized just three hours a day to charge the batteries until I had full sun. Afterwards, everything was powered by stored solar energy. 

Water: We are on a well and septic system. The well is powered by both the grid or generator and PV array/Sonnen system.

Food: I have three freezers filled with wild game. Most I give away to my sister’s in law who are also anti gun liberals, but will take wild meat killed with my guns. Again, go figure. Besides the wild game, we have two walk in pantries filled with supplies for immediate use. I have other food supplies for the real ZA. Bags and cans of food for the Children of Satan (cats).

Cooking: Propane stove top. Electric range. Outside propane grill with multiple tanks. 

Fuel: I have several caddies filled with 93 [octane] non ethanol gas treated with Startron. We have several vehicles including a UTV and ATV. Both with winches and other accessories to make them more functional for our mountainous property. We have not been to a gas station since Sept 26.

Security. Multiple overlapping surveillance systems one on a local server (not dependent on WiFi or cellular)

I have preps specific for such events and had the chainsaws gassed and ready. All vehicles were gassed up and garaged. Speaking of preps, it’s a bit ironic that Sept was “preparedness month” and the national prepper conference in nearby Sylva was washed away. Both emails I received two Thursdays ago saying it was definitely on was not only irresponsible, but dangerous. Stupid decisions lead to stupid results.

Fall back: A separate fully functional building with a Jotul wood stove, running water and stored cots with sleeping bags. 

Fall back #2: A sprinter 170 chassis van converted by Outside Vans in OR. It has 45 gallons of diesel fuel, 20 gallons of fresh water and 630 amp hours of lithium ion batteries with solar. The van has a Guzzle H20 which can purify more water (we have 3500 linear feet of spring fed streams on the property).

Hope everyone is well. 


Sounds like Sean and his wife had quite a time of it.  Good to know you're both safe, buddy, along with your bees!  Thanks for the great after-action report and feedback.  We'll all learn from it.

VERY IMPORTANT NOTE:  Take note of the "cash only" nature of business after the storm.  This happens very often when power and/or communications are knocked out.  If you haven't got an emergency cash reserve at home, this can leave you stranded, particularly if banks aren't open for any reason.

Killer Bees Honey is currently donating all profits from honey and merchandise sales to local hurricane recovery efforts.  If you'd like to support them, please do - and enjoy the honey!  They haven't yet updated their Web site to reflect that, because Web access is extremely difficult for them right now;  but that'll happen soon, I'm sure.

Peter


The scariest graphic I've seen in a long time

 

In a lengthy analysis of the USA's debt overload and what might be done about it, Glenn Reynolds provides this graphic.  It illustrates how long, in years and (lately) months, it takes to add $1 trillion to the national debt.  Click the image for a larger view.



The slope is inexorably rising, and the time taken to spend each trillion (that we haven't got, but have to borrow) is growing shorter and shorter.  It's completely unsustainable.  Sooner or later (and my bet's on sooner), lenders and investors will refuse to fund such profligate expenditure - and then where will we be?

Reynolds offers several interesting suggestions for ways to approach the problem, but none of them can actually fix it, because that depends on politicians - and the politicians depend on their rake-offs from such wasteful spending, and are not about to shoot themselves in the wallet for the good of the country.  That being the case, Reynolds suggests that states and businesses prepare themselves for the inevitable by building up cushions of essential necessities, putting financial reserves into alternate stores of value or investments, and cutting our own wasteful expenditure to a minimum.  His whole article is well worth reading, and I recommend it.

For us as individuals and families, a primary concern is that if we rely on federal government money to survive (Social Security, Medicare, veterans benefits, welfare, unemployment insurance, or anything like that), those subsidies are not likely to survive a debt collapse.  FEMA disaster assistance might be a distant memory.  Even government pensions and workers compensation programs might face the axe.  The money to pay for them (at least, at present levels) simply won't be there.  That means even basic services like the Supplementary Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), often paid out via Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT), will also no longer be available.

Millions upon millions of Americans depend on those services.  What will they do when they find themselves unable to pay for the food they eat every day?  I suspect the answer to that question is going to be very, very ugly.  A national debt collapse might lead to a collapse of our national society (at least in large cities, where those most dependent on such programs are concentrated).

There isn't anything we as individuals can do about this, except prepare ourselves, our families and our homes as best we can with the resources available to us to survive hard times;  and, of course, team up with like-minded people to help each other make it as best we can.  I hope most of my readers are already doing that.  Nevertheless, forewarned is forearmed.

That graphic makes clear, more than any words, how parlous is our financial situation as a nation.  We're shortly going to experience Stein's Law in action at first hand.


THIS CANNOT CONTINUE.

SOONER OR LATER,

THINGS ARE GOING TO GO SMASH.


Peter


Er... oops?

 

Found on X:


My poor husband. I have to share what happened to him yesterday.

So we lost a chicken to a predator during the day over the weekend, we guessed it was a raccoon and we put out a trap. 

Yesterday we caught a young raccoon in the trap. We debated what to do with it, we decided to just let it go a few miles away instead of killing it. 

The thing was VICIOUS. So he took some bear spray with him in the car just in case he would need it when he let the raccoon go. 

As he was driving to the release point, he heard a noise. He looked in his rear view mirror and the raccoon popped up his head right next to his from behind the drivers seat. The racoon had escaped the trap and was running loose frenetically around the car!

So he sprays the raccoon *in a closed car* with the bear spray while driving.🤣😂 The thing ran across the dashboard, over seats, over my husband - going nuts running all around the car (MY car), my husband keeps spraying it and managed to open the windows.  

By this time he'd slowed down the car to a crawl. My husband couldn’t see or breathe because of the bear spray, the raccoon jumped out the window, my husband pulls over to the side of the road, gets out of the car, gasping for breath.  

I can only imagine what drivers behind him were thinking seeing the erratic driving and then watching a raccoon jump out the window!😂

After about a minute catching his breath by the side of the road, he has searing pain in both legs. He looks down, his legs are covered in fire ants. He’d been standing on an ant hill.😂🤣 

Anyhow, I have pepper spray all over my car now. EVERYWHERE. It smells like musky wild animal and pepper.


There's a photograph of the interior of the car at the link.

I suspect the next raccoon they trap is going to be speedily and efficiently euthanized.  Anyone suggesting it be put in the car and taken to a release point is probably going to be bear-sprayed until they scream for mercy!



Peter


Wednesday, October 9, 2024

How Charleroi, PA lost its community identity

 

City Journal has published an in-depth report on how thousands of Haitian migrants ended up in the little town of Charleroi, Pennsylvania.  It wasn't by accident.  Here's an excerpt.


The best way to understand the migrant crisis is to follow the flow of people, money, and power—in other words, to trace the supply chain of human migration. In Charleroi, we have mapped the web of institutions that have facilitated the flow of migrants from Port-au-Prince. Some of these institutions are public and, as such, must make their records available; others, to avoid scrutiny, keep a low profile.

The initial, and most powerful, institution is the federal government. Over the past four years, Customs and Border Patrol has reported hundreds of thousands of encounters with Haitian nationals. In addition, the White House has admitted more than 210,000 Haitians through its controversial Humanitarian Parole Program for Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans (CHNV), which it paused in early August and has since relaunched. The program is presented as a “lawful pathway,” but critics, such as vice presidential candidate J. D. Vance, have called it an “abuse of asylum laws” and warned of its destabilizing effects on communities across the country.

The next link in the web is the network of publicly funded NGOs that provide migrants with resources to assist in travel, housing, income, and work. These groups are called “national resettlement agencies,” and serve as the key middleman in the flow of migration. The scale of this effort is astounding. These agencies are affiliated with more than 340 local offices nationwide and have received some $5.5 billion in new awards since 2021. And, because they are technically non-governmental institutions, they are not required to disclose detailed information about their operations.

. . .

What is next in the chain? Business. In Charleroi, the Haitians are, above all, a new supply of inexpensive labor. A network of staffing agencies and private companies has recruited the migrants to the city’s factories and assembly lines. While some recruitment happens through word-of-mouth, many staffing agencies partner with local nonprofits that specialize in refugee resettlement to find immigrants who need work.

At the center of this system in Charleroi is Fourth Street Foods, a frozen-food supplier with approximately 1,000 employees, most of whom work on the assembly line. In an exclusive interview, Chris Scott, the CEO and COO of Fourth Street Barbeque (the legal name of the firm that does business as Fourth Street Foods) explained that his company, like many factory businesses, has long relied on immigrant labor, which, he estimates, makes up about 70 percent of its workforce. The firm employs many temporary workers, and, with the arrival of the Haitians, has found a new group of laborers willing to work long days in an industrial freezer, starting at about $12 an hour.

Many of these workers are not directly employed by Fourth Street Foods. Instead, according to Scott, they are hired through staffing agencies, which pay workers about $12 an hour for entry-level food-processing roles and bill Fourth Street Foods over $16 per hour to cover their costs, including transportation and overhead. (The average wage for an entry-level food processor in Washington County was $16.42 per hour in 2023.)

. . .

The final link is housing. And here, too, Fourth Street Foods has an organized interest. During the Covid-19 pandemic, Scott said, Fourth Street Foods was “scrambling” to find additional workers. The owner of the company, David Barbe, stepped in, acquiring and renovating a “significant number of homes” to provide housing for his workforce. A property search for David Barbe and his other business, DB Rentals LLC, shows records of more than 50 properties, many of which are concentrated on the same streets.

After the initial purchases, Barbe required some of the existing residents to vacate to make room for newcomers. A single father, who spoke on condition of anonymity, was forced to leave his home after it was sold to DB Rentals LLC in 2021. “[W]e had to move out [on] very short notice after five years of living there and being great tenants,” he explained. Afterward, a neighbor informed him that a dozen people of Asian descent had been crammed into the two-bedroom home. They were “getting picked up and dropped off in vans.”

“My kids were super upset because that was the house they grew up in since they were little,” the man said. “It was just all a huge nightmare.”


There's more at the link.

The most troubling thing about this network of influence and mutual profit is that our taxpayer dollars are subsidizing just about all of it.  From the federal government's programs to "import" hundreds of thousands of Haitians (including flying many of them to the USA, and admitting the rest at the southern border), to the subsidies granted to the migrants, to the NGO's (many paid lavishly by the federal government under various grant programs), to the agencies providing labor to companies and raking off a fat percentage of the migrants' income . . . it's all a giant money-making machine, and the details are hidden from all of us.  How many billions of taxpayer dollars have gone into the mess in Charleroi?  Nobody knows.  Will we ever know?  Not if the powers that be continue to be.  It's in their interests to keep the real figures as secret as possible.

I'd love someone to calculate precisely how much the Biden administration has committed in these various ways to all the migrants who've poured into this country since it took office.  I'm willing to bet that billions are no longer enough to count all the costs, subsidies and kickbacks.  I reckon it's very likely to be in the trillions by now.  Precisely how much of that money has been kicked back to politicians and others with influence, we'll almost certainly never find out.

Peter


Crying "Wolf!" is still a thing...

 

I was angry and disgusted to read that a member of a church security team called in a false report, apparently in an attempt to make himself look like a hero.


According to the Burnet County Sheriff's Office, a thorough investigation revealed that details of the incident were significantly "fabricated."

Court documents say 45-year-old Jacob Wayne Tarver, a safety team member at the Church at the Epicenter, recklessly fired three shots at a home and pond near the church, then lied to law enforcement about the incident.

Tarver allegedly admitted to police that "he made up the story" about someone walking near the church and firing "warning shots" to scare them away. According to the affidavit, Tarver said he made up the story to "embellish" what he did and lied to authorities at the scene, during a walkthrough investigation and during his polygraph interview.

The investigation determined there were no hostile actions taken or directed at the church by anyone, and no weapons were displayed toward the church safety member. The congregation's safety was also never in jeopardy, according to authorities.

Tarver told authorities he was "embarrassed" for not telling the truth. He was then arrested and charged with misdemeanor false report to induce an emergency response, felony tampering or fabricating physical evidence and felony deadly conduct.


There's more at the link.

In today's climate of suspicion and xenophobia, such false claims might have led to "retaliation" against people of Muslim or Arab appearance.  We've already seen that happen in this country.  Even more tragically, some of the retaliators don't bother to make sure of their targets, such as the Sikh who was murdered on suspicion of being a Muslim (he wasn't).

The perpetrator has, of course, destroyed his own trustworthiness by his false claims.  Even worse, that stigma will carry over to his family.  If he has kids at school, their classmates will taunt them (at the very least), and that may deteriorate into open bullying and rejection.  His church will no longer trust him with any position of authority (and it should not), even though it may forgive him.

Such false claims also "poison the well" for future real incidents of terrorism or vandalism.  Investigating or responding officers now have to take into account the possibility that the report(s) is/are false.  If they see something suspicious, they can't simply react to it without first confirming that it is suspicious - not without risking subsequent accusations of negligence or carelessness.  That may put their lives at risk in a real situation.

All that because one man couldn't resist the temptation to play the hero.  Did he never read Aesop's Fables as a kid, particularly the one about the boy who cried "Wolf!"?



Peter


Heléne and Milton: hurricane-force reminders of basic precautions

 

Big Country Expat offers an acerbic, occasionally profane, and very practical look at hurricane relief efforts in North Carolina after Hurricane Heléne, and what he's doing to prepare near Tampa, Florida.  (His home is right in the bullseye of where Hurricane Milton is expected to come ashore tonight or early tomorrow).  An example from his report:


Speak of fuel and whatnot… a interesting thing we saw:  On the way home we saw ‘cop lights’ coming up going Northbound on I-75, not in hi-pursuit but escorting -something- That in itself wasn’t the odd thing… we see **** like that everywhere, all the time right?

In this case, Sapper and I both thought “oversized load” until we saw it was Two Florida State Police Cruisers escorting a RaceTrac Fuel Truck!

THAT was a first in 20+ years and multiple -other- storms I’ve been through in the past. I’ve not seen an ‘armed escort’ ever here stateside… Mind you, I did see on Twitter a mention of a near-riot in or around Sarasota (south of me) that some asshole pulled a handgun and tried to hijack a gas truck that was trying to refuel a service station… Mind you also there’s been ZERO mention of anything like that on even the local news, so the Memory Hole is activated like a mother****** I’m guessing. I’m personally not sure if I’m more worried about the memory hole or that things are already that potentially bad already. Time will tell.

Load another magazine and watch my lane I suppose…


There's more at the link.  Entertaining and worthwhile reading (albeit profane in parts).

Karl Denninger reminds us of several essential basics in preparing for any sort of disaster.  There are many more, but these are fundamental and must be addressed first.  Emphasis in original.


Concentrate your efforts on the basics of human need because in a disaster that's what matters most and expect even in a population area to be able to self-provide for at least a week.  The first and most-basic human need is air; if you can't breathe it you're dead.  Fires and toxins are real risks, but they're also ones that when it comes to breathable air your best option is to run at the first hint of trouble no matter where you are.

Second is drinkable water.  Assuming you are not inordinately stressed you might make three days.  You're probably worthless in two days and children are more susceptible to serious dehydration because their skin area is larger on a percentage basis, so they typically cannot make it past two days and are effectively useless in one dayDo not expect help to reach you under any circumstance until roughly that amount of time and perhaps more.  Even with "local" relief that ignores exhortations to not go help personally (like here after Helene) it still will take that long because until people can get in there that's just how it is.

Any allegedly "fresh" water source after a disaster has to be presumed contaminated and unsafe unless you have the means to treat it, and there are chemical contamination risks that cannot be reasonably mitigated in a disaster situation at all with water at ground level.  If you have a traditional hot water heater and your home or other residence is physically intact you have somewhere around 50 gallons of usable water in it.  It should still be filtered with a Sawyer and/or treated with Aquamira drops (yes, buy both well in advance!) before consumption, particularly after a few days, but it will not be full of contaminants because it was full of clean water when the system went down.  Keep a short hose around for this purpose and make sure you turn off the electrical or gas feed so once you start using it when water is restored it does not "dry fire."  If you do not have any source of stored water (e.g. you have a tankless system and didn't fill anything in advance) then bottled water is your next and last resortEveryone needs to be prepared to deal with this all the time; even if you're on a private well if there's no power the pump won't work (more on that in a minute.)

Third is personal shelter from elements, which includes clothing and similar.  Enough to be out of the wind and elements (e.g. rain, etc.) is frequently enough but not always.  Being wet, particularly in wind, can nail you with hypothermia even in moderately cool temperatures and in colder temperatures it is rapidly deadly.  Some of this is beyond your control and if your housing is destroyed in adverse circumstances securing from that problem is, after immediate threats (e.g. incoming flash flooding) your first priority.  Tools of some description, all the way down to a pocket knife, make a difference -- perhaps a really big difference.  Having some preparation against this (e.g. a shell rain jacket, disposable space blankets, etc.) is inexpensive and everyone should have at least some elements of that available at any time.

The last utter essential is personal protection.  It would be nice if people didn't try to take advantage but some will.  Remember that the option to accept a "lesser injury" does not exist when there is no prompt medical care available, and there won't be in this situation.  Exactly what you choose to do in this regard is a personal choice and I won't go into it on this side of the blog but it is critical to remember that any significant injury can trivially wind up being fatal if you can't get medical attention for a day or two.

The rest is very situational but these first points are not.


Again, more at the link.  Recommended reading.

Good luck to my friends and acquaintances in Florida as Milton draws near.  We'll be praying for you.

Peter


Tuesday, October 8, 2024

First After-Action Report coming out of North Carolina

 

Vox Day has published a lengthy after-action report from someone in North Carolina.  If you have any interest in preparing for disasters great or small, you should click over there and read the whole thing.  I'm going to publish just one short excerpt, because I think it makes an important point.


Right now DoT contractors are trying to reconstruct roads so large recovery teams can get into places like Chimney Rock but have to constantly avoid killing GoPro Bros on 4 wheelers and dirt bikes. One equipment operator at church yesterday said they had to double back to re-repair a stretch of road that was rutted out and left unusable by a group on ATVs, no one knows who they were. There are hundreds of local, able bodied men that know the lay of the land and exactly who they are looking for. Do not bring your lifted jeep to NC to try and save people because TikTok said you should. Its really hard to believe how much disaster rubber necking is happening out there right now.


There's more at the link.  Go read the whole thing.  It's worth your time.

That really is an important point.  I hadn't thought that "disaster rubber necking" would be a thing in the chaos that is North Carolina's hill country right now, but it seems I was wrong.  Such idiots only get in everyone else's way, and frequently require rescue themselves when they try to get into areas that are not safe.  Don't go there to look - only to help.  Voyeurs can watch TV like everyone else!

Peter


How not to help hurricane victims

 

In the aftermath of Hurricane Heléne, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is hardly covering itself with glory.  Tom Knighton points out:


A friend of mine lives at the edge of where Helene did her worst. He just got power back on yesterday and was finally able to let me know he was OK. I was worried for obvious reasons.

In the deepest, worst parts of where the storm ripped things to shreds, they’re trying to just make it to the next day. They’re struggling to find clean drinking water, food, shelter, the works.

Luckily, FEMA is on the case.

They took to social media yesterday and posted this crap.

That’s right. People who don’t have internet, phone service, or electricity should call, download an app, or log onto the FEMA website.

I won’t ask how stupid can the federal government be, but I’m worried they’d take it as a challenge.

Back in the day, FEMA would roll into a disaster area with paper applications and facilitate all of that right there. While the internet and smartphones are glorious things, this is a prime example of when they’re a terrible option for people.


There's more at the link.

After reading Tom's comments, I went back and re-read my long four-part blog post about the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005.  Looks like the same bureaucrats - or their descendants - are still in charge, and still as incompetent as ever.




Peter


Obviously a case of fowl play...

 

Bureaucrats appear to have an irrepressible urge to regulate, codify and administer everything in sight, no matter how small and unimportant it may be.  British bureaucrats recently decided to make every owner of chickens - even a single chicken in their back yard - register their birds, as a way to track instances of bird flu.


People who keep pet chickens are being urged to register them ahead of a legal deadline designed to prevent fresh outbreaks of bird flu.

Owners who fail to do so by Tuesday [October 1, 2024] risk being fined or even imprisoned, though officials have stressed any punishment would be "proportionate".

Farmers say registration is "vital" to protect the poultry population, but some backyard keepers have branded it "bureaucracy gone crazy".


There's more at the link.

The British are not unknown for their sense of humor.  After all, who else, when invited to submit suggested names for a new polar research vessel, would have overwhelmingly voted to call it "Boaty McBoatface"?  In the same vein, this demand for poultry registration appears to have inspired thousands of Britons to respond appropriately.


Not everything has gone to plan for the government‘s new requirement for registration of poultry ownership ... a surge in registrations led to the website crashing after people took things a step too far.

Turns out, some people were going so far as to register the roast chickens they’d bought from Tesco [the British equivalent of Walmart], and the government site just couldn’t cope.


Again, more at the link.

Well . . . what did they expect?



Peter


Monday, October 7, 2024

Military boots, then and now

 

I'm sure the modern canvas or suede-style military boot is a lot more comfortable than its older leather counterpart - it certainly looks to be easier on the feet, anyway.  Nevertheless, I'm sure many readers share my memories of the older variety . . . and how hard we had to work on them.



South African combat boots were covered in a knobbly finish - I don't know a better way to describe them.  To get the toes and heels shining like that, we first had to iron our new boots through a damp cloth to get rid of the knobbles.  It took a long time, and one had to be careful not to burn them, because that would never take a shine.  Once they were smooth, the long, arduous process of spit-shining them began.  It would take at least half-a-dozen sessions to get them shining as they were required to be, probably taking fifteen to twenty minutes each time.  Some swore by setting fire to the polish in the tin, so they could smear it on while liquid;  others applied a thick layer to the boot and set fire to it there;  still others (including yours truly) preferred to do it all by hand and by spit, for fear of the flames ruining the finish.

Equipment varied.  Apart from the iron to smooth out the leather, one needed a polishing cloth (a yellow duster worked fine).  Many of us (including yours truly) took an old pair of socks, rolled them into a tight ball, and covered them with several layers of women's nylon stockings, to help with the polishing process.  After the spit-shine was complete, the nylon ball would help keep the surface shining and clean.  It was quite funny to see a group of new recruits visiting the local store and demanding one pair of nylons apiece - "Never mind the size, just nylons!".  Some of the salesladies must have wondered . . .

Once the boots were at parade-ground standard, one had to be extraordinarily careful not to scratch or scuff them.  Mean-minded NCO's who were annoyed at you, for whatever reason, might tread heavily on them and spin the soles of their boots around on them, not only ruining the finish but also scarring the leather - and that meant a new pair of boots, at your expense, because you could never polish out that sort of damage.  If you went on operations, you didn't dare wear your highly polished boots, because they'd never recover from that wear and tear.  Most of us glumly paid out of our own pockets to buy a pair of "parade boots", and kept them as pristine as possible.  Unfortunately, if you were ordered to parade at short notice, you didn't always have time to swap boots, which led to unfortunate consequences.

In our early uniformed days in particular, our boots could get scuffed and marred simply by the training routine through which we suffered.  Not marching in proper step?  "You!  Troop!  See that bush up the hill there?  Go and get me a leaf from it!"

Puff, puff, pant, pant . . . "Here's your leaf, Sergeant."

"Wrong leaf!  Go back and get the right one!"

Ah, yes . . . seeing that meme brought back all sorts of unpleasant memories!  If you never had to go through that ritual, there are videos on YouTube showing how it's done.

Peter


Remembering October 7, 2023

 


It's become a cliché to speak of 10/7/2023 as "Israel's 9/11", but it remains true.  I don't think Israel, and Jews worldwide, will ever forget that day.  They should not - and we should remember and mourn with them.

Do not forget those who died.  Their memory should inspire us to ensure that their sacrifice was not in vain.

Terrorism remains one of the greatest evils in the world.  We won't succeed in eradicating it as long as there are those whose hatred for others exceeds their love for their own people and themselves.  Words will not eliminate the threat.  Only when we all remember - and apply - the Golden Rule will that be achieved.


"Do unto others what you would have them do unto you."


Hamas did precisely that.  So did Hezbollah.  So have Iranian proxies like the Houthi and others.

Israel has not forgotten, and will not forget.  We do not forget.

Peter


Memes that made me laugh 230

 

Gathered from around the Internet over the past week.  Click any image for a larger view.











Sunday, October 6, 2024

Sunday morning music

 

I know many readers share my enjoyment of Celtic folk music, which is generally understood to include Scotland and Ireland.  However, there's another branch of it, namely the music of Breton (Brittany) in France.  It's just across the English Channel from Britain, and many Celts crossed between the two nations during the prolonged wars they waged against each other.  Breton Celtic music is every bit as interesting as the "mainline" British Celtic tradition.

I've chosen the music of Kornog, a now-defunct Breton folk music group, to illustrate the field.  There are many others out there, including the successor group to Kornog, Pennoù SkoulmYou'll find lots of examples on YouTube.

Let's start with what is probably Kornog's best-known song, "Jesuitmont".  A word of warning:  this is based on medieval tales of an evil queen killing her own children and serving them as food to her husband, because she believes he loves them more than her.  Not for the squeamish.




Next, "Thessaloniki taxi".




This song describes the Battle of Sheriffmuir in 1715, claimed as a victory by both sides.




And finally, a slow, meditative dance medley, "Air Pour Faire Pleurer La Mariee/Gavottes".




Celtic music delivers all sorts of variety in unexpected ways.  Kornog rode that wave.  You'll find more of their music on YouTube.

Peter


Friday, October 4, 2024

"Hard times hiding in plain sight"

 

That's the headline for the latest Global Macro Update newsletter from Mauldin Economics.  I'll include an excerpt from the transcript of a video interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt, and embed the entire thing after that.  It's worth reading the full transcript and/or watching the full video.


They're hard times, not only domestically, but for the global economy as well. I think that the national accounts do suggest the economy is growing well, but the national accounts have a major disconnect in the United States, and there's good reason for why they shouldn't be doing well. We've recently constructed a weighted and detrended money supply aggregate for the United States, China, Japan, the EU, and the United Kingdom. This aggregate over the last four years is declining very, very sharply.

So, when you look at actual M2 growth for the last four years versus detrended, we're substantially in negative territory. What that means is that the economy is far below what we would call the stationary growth rate, the STR, and it is very substantially negative. It suggests that the economy is going to experience a sustained period of subpar economic growth and declining inflation. That's the condition. Now, normally, when you have a severe monetary contraction, the sequence is that first of all, the money growth comes down and then you get a deceleration in economic activity and then you get a deceleration in inflation. That's the pattern. There's virtually hardly any exceptions to that rule.

Money leads, GDP is coincident, and the inflation rate is lagging. That, by the way, is the case in the four major foreign economies. Money growth has collapsed. It's brought down economic activity in Japan, China, the EU, and the UK. In the United States, we've had a collapse in monetary growth on the terms in the way in which I measure it. We've had a dramatic deceleration in inflation, what I would call a contra-normal cyclical development. You've had the inflation rate come down without the GDP declining, and that doesn't usually work that way. Now, in economics, quantity effects and price effects both convey knowledge. When economic conditions are weakening, you expect to see the broad volumetric measures to deteriorate.

But when economic activity is weakening, you experience a sharp decline in the inflation rate. Well, the inflation rate has dropped more than it typically does during a recession and immediately after with the GDP still rising. I think that what we're witnessing is a very broad and very basic disconnect between the national accounts and many measures of the economy.

Take for example, one of the things that we've always been able to do for this economy is we've had affordable homes and cars for the vast majority of our people. Yet if you look at the vehicle sales, the new home sales, existing home sales, they're all down very substantially from their peaks of the last five years. Vehicle sales in the teens. Existing and new home sales down in the 35% to 40% range. Very, very broad disconnect.

. . .

The inflation rate is dropping, but the inflation rate that ensued from the pandemic, the extraordinary and unwise coordination of monetary and fiscal policy has left us with a very serious overhang of high prices in the automotive and housing sectors. So, if you look at the real weekly earnings of 120 million salaried and full-time employees, you'll see that in the 16 months of this expansion, those folks have experienced a 2% rate of decline.

At the same time, as a consequence of the inflation, you are left with these inordinately high prices for new cars and homes. They're roughly 20% higher than they were prior to the pandemic, and you've left them unaffordable for the vast majority of our people. So, when you say the inflation rate is coming down, it's true, but that's the marginal effect. We're still hung with these inordinately high prices that arose during the pandemic response. As a matter of fact, although the national income figures have been revised to reflect a much stronger position, if consumers were really in good shape, they would be able to afford the higher cars and the higher home. They're not.

In addition, we're seeing a very sharp increase in the delinquency rate on consumer installment loans and on automobile loans. The critical 90-day rate has just risen to new peak levels. We're back where we were in 2010, 2011. We've seen a substantial increase in bankruptcy rates. The only category that has not experienced rising delinquency rates is the student loans where they were in some type of deferment or folks were in some sort of view that they were going to be forgiven the loans, but the Supreme Court has choked all of that off. Now here we are in October and the deferments that were granted during the pandemic have expired.

So, the consumer has been spared that burden. But, by not having to pay their student loans, it lent a degree of strength to some of the consumer spending areas that would not have occurred, but that stimulus is no longer behind us. So, the consumer is in far worse shape than it is generally.

. . .

Small business is saying the same thing that the consumers are. One final point, if you look at the latest surveys from the Business Roundtable, which are corporate CEOs, they showed a very sharp decline in sales, hiring, and CapEx plans for the fourth quarter. So, the GDP, the national accounts look strong. They've been revised upward, but the fact of the matter is there are a great many components of the economy which are experiencing very hard times. The only country in the world that can make claim to a degree of prosperity is the United States. That is primarily centered in the national accounts, not in other objective measures, important and objective measures of wellbeing.


There's more at the link.  Here's the video, if you'd prefer to listen rather than read the transcript.




If you aren't already subscribed to Ed D'Agostino's "Global Macro Update" newsletter, and are interested in what's happening to the economies of the world as well as the USA, I highly recommend doing so.  It's free.  What have you got to lose?

Peter


The relief effort following Hurricane Helene appears to be as chaotic as that after Hurricane Katrina...

 

... and official "organization" of the effort appears to be even more shambolic.  Just read this account for one example.


Over the weekend, Seidhom began flying his helicopter over parts of North Carolina to help rescue survivors stuck in their homes or outside collapsed structures.

He also shared photos of the damage from the storm.

But on Sunday, Seidhom shared that he was “instructed to suspend operations” by an assistant fire chief from a local fire department, who cautioned Seidhom that he could be arrested for flying his helicopter in North Carolina.

Seidhom said when he was told to stop helping, he had been extracting a woman who was stuck on a collapsed mountainside.

“When she was brought to safety I was instructed that if I returned to get either person the husband or my copilot I would be arrested,” Seidhom posted on Facebook. “I’m not sure how he was trained but I don’t leave a fellow man behind… [The Fire Department needs] help and they are turning us away.”

Seidhom’s post about being threatened with arrest went viral, receiving over 500 comments at time of publication. Many rallied around him and shared messages in support.

“This is insane for them to refuse your help to save those desperate people,” a Facebook user wrote.

“This is wrong on so many levels,” another person commented. “Jordan keep up the good work. You are doing what needs to be done.”

“They are going to put you in a flooded jail with no power? That is so silly!” another Facebook user said. “I can’t believe they are doing that to you! They need more people like you trying to help get them out.”

Commenters also said they planned to report the employee for his actions.

Seidhom said the county then put a Temporary Flight Restriction in place, preventing helicopter rescues in the air.

However, Seidhom later noted the county lifted the restriction, allowing private citizens to fly again.

Seidhom is now continuing his rescue missions in areas where first responders have been receptive and appreciative of his help. He also posted that he’s working with the Carolina Emergency Response Team, a volunteer group “with special skills” that aids in emergency disaster relief.

“Over 1300 requests for service and only approximately 13 helicopters flying rescue missions. Multiple volunteer pilots from all over working together,” Seidhom posted on Facebook yesterday. “Grateful for Carolina Emergency Response Team that pulled together a command post in less than 24 hours for everyone to work out of.”


There's more at the link.

I can understand one or two screw-ups like that, but they appear to be so widespread that they're affecting everybody.  Try these headlines for size.  I can't vouch that they're all true (I presume some will be at least exaggerated, if not false), but there are enough of them to suggest a pattern.



I could have cited many more such headlines, but those will be enough for now.  Some of them remind me of my experiences helping to coordinate rescue and recovery efforts after Hurricane Katrina in 2005, about which I've written extensively.  The same difficulties with the authorities cropped up there, as those of you who've read my account will recall.  In fact, reading current reports, it's hard not to get a sense of "deja vu all over again", as Yogi Berra famously put it.

I hope all these horror stories will help those who haven't made any preparations for emergencies to begin doing so right away;  and for those of us who have to re-examine our preparations, and improve them where we can.  Disasters like this happen every year, to a greater or lesser extent, and there's no telling when we might be in their path.  Better to be prepared than to be waiting for relief that may not arrive in time to save us.

Peter