Sunday, November 22, 2015

Quotes of the day


From Ben & Bawb's Blog, where the brothers speculate that "You might be a rural Montanan if . . . "

  • You laugh uproariously almost to the first commercial break before you realize the nature documentary on wolf reintroduction you're watching is not actually a brilliant satire.
  • You know that only two things can spook a horse; things that move and things that don’t.
  • You think “Skype” is just a sound you make when you kneel on a prickly pear.

There are many more at the link.  Giggle-worthy!




Peter

President Obama's Middle Eastern dilemma


Robert Kagan has written a very thoughtful analysis in the Wall Street Journal about the choices and conundrums confronting President Obama - and, for that matter, his successor - in the Middle East.  Here's an excerpt.

For several years, President Barack Obama has operated under a set of assumptions about the Middle East: First, there could be no return of U.S. ground troops in sizable numbers to the region; and second, undergirding the first, the U.S. has no interests in the region great enough to justify such a renewed commitment. The crises in the Middle East could be kept localized. There might be bloodshed and violence—even mass killing, in Syria and Libya and elsewhere, and some instability in Iraq—but the fighting, and its consequences, could be contained. The core elements of the world order would not be affected, and America’s own interests would not be directly threatened so long as good intelligence and well-placed drone strikes prevented terrorist attacks on U.S. soil. Even Islamic State could be “degraded” and “contained” over time.

These assumptions could have been right—other conflicts in the Middle East have remained local—but they have proven to be wrong ... The multisided war in the Middle East has now ceased to be a strictly Middle Eastern problem. It has become a European problem as well ... The horrific attacks in Paris, likely organized and directed by Islamic State from its base in Syria, and the prospect of more such attacks, threaten the cohesion of Europe, and with it the cohesion of the trans-Atlantic community, or what used to be known as the West. The crisis on the periphery, in short, has now spilled over into the core.

. . .

Where does the U.S. fit into all this? The Europeans no longer know, any more than American allies in the Middle East do. Most Europeans still like Mr. Obama. After President George W. Bush and the Iraq war, Europeans have gotten the kind of American president they wanted. But in the current crisis, this new, more restrained and intensely cautious post-Iraq America has less to offer than the old superpower, with all its arrogance and belligerence.

. . .

Americans remain paralyzed by Iraq, Republicans almost as much as Democrats, and Mr. Obama is both the political beneficiary and the living symbol of this paralysis. Whether he has the desire or capacity to adjust to changing circumstances is an open question. Other presidents have—from Woodrow Wilson to Franklin Roosevelt to Bill Clinton—each of whom was forced to recalibrate what the loss or fracturing of Europe would mean to American interests. In Mr. Obama’s case, however, such a late-in-the-game recalculation seems less likely. He may be the first president since the end of World War II who simply doesn’t care what happens to Europe.

If so, it is, again, a great irony for Europe, and perhaps a tragic one. Having excoriated the U.S. for invading Iraq, Europeans played no small part in bringing on the crisis of confidence and conscience that today prevents Americans from doing what may be necessary to meet the Middle Eastern crisis that has Europe reeling.

There's more at the link.  Go read the whole thing.  It's worth it.

There's another aspect that Mr. Kagan hasn't mentioned, one that worries me very much.  President Obama has alienated most, if not all, of America's former allies in the region.  For example, in the Arab world, Saudi Arabia is no longer even bothering to consult with or inform the USA about actions it proposes to take in the region.  It's simply doing, rather than talking.  Israel regards the Obama administration as being at least hostile to its interests, if not actually an enemy (in the political and diplomatic sense, at least).  No-one in the Middle East trusts America any more . . . and one can hardly blame them.

That reality is going to be ruinous for any future prospects of US engagement, involvement or intervention.  It'll take a monumental effort to regain the trust of the powers, polities and parties in the region.  Even if we succeed, they'll always have in the back of their minds the fear that another Obama might be elected and undo all that his successors may have achieved.

Peter

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Russia sends a message to ISIL - and Europe too


I noted with interest the route followed by a Russian airstrike on ISIL in Syria recently.  The Daily Mail provides this map of the route followed by the Tupolev Tu-160 bombers (click it for a larger, more readable view):




There are only two nations in the world possessing bombers with so great an operational range:  the USA and Russia.  President Putin wasn't just demonstrating his resolve to ISIL.  He was also demonstrating to Europe that if they really want to pick a fight with him over Ukraine, or NATO has visions of intervening to a greater extent in Eastern Europe, he's got weapons that no European nation or alliance can match.

Ah, diplomacy . . . the art of saying "Good doggie!" convincingly, while reaching for a bloody great rock!  I suspect Europe and NATO got the message.

Peter

Testing a Taurus Tracker .44 Magnum revolver: second follow-up


Regular readers will recall how I 'torture-tested' two Taurus .44 Magnum revolvers at Blogorado last month.  I followed up that post with another, discussing grip options for the Taurus Tracker medium-frame revolver.

I need to send off my .44 Magnum Tracker to get a trigger job and have the gunsmith hone the cylinders, to cure the slightly sticky extraction.  However, I must confess that the compact, relatively lightweight Tracker was growing on me.  It's a very comfortable gun to carry - about the same size and weight as a 4" S&W K-frame revolver.  It carries only 5 rounds in larger calibers (.44 Magnum, .45 Colt and .45 ACP, the last two long out of production but still available on the used market), but 7 rounds of .357 Magnum.  I therefore decided that I wanted to try a few more examples of it, while waiting for my own Tracker to come back from the gunsmith.

I've since handled three more Trackers, all in stainless steel (mine's blued steel).  They were a .45 ACP with a 4" barrel, another .45 ACP with a 6½" barrel and a .44 Magnum with a 6½" barrel (shown below).  All three of those models are now out of production, unfortunately, but they're still available from time to time on the used gun market.



Taurus Tracker in .44 Magnum with 6½" barrel


Every one of them had a much nicer trigger than my blued 4" .44, and showed no sign of the 'sticky' extraction that I'd encountered;  so I'm willing to concede that my Tracker may have been a not-so-good example straight out of the factory, and will almost certainly equal or exceed these others once it's been worked over by a gunsmith.  Fitted with Hogue grips, which are (IMHO) a great improvement over the factory 'Ribber' grips, the Trackers balance well in my hand and point very naturally.  Recoil is entirely manageable in .45 ACP, very similar when firing .44 Special rounds in the .44 Magnum guns, and stiff but still manageable with full-house .44 Magnum loads.

I was surprised to find that the 6½" barrel versions of the Tracker didn't feel muzzle-heavy to me at all.  In the large-frame 6½" Taurus Model 44 which I tested at Blogorado, there was definitely a muzzle-heavy feel, thanks to the full-underlug barrel and a heavier frame.  However, the medium-frame Tracker seemed much less prone to this imbalance.  I've no idea why, but the longer barrel is a pleasure to shoot in the medium-frame Tracker.  I think I'm going to buy one for myself to go with my 4" version.  (The latter will be easier to carry, particularly if concealment is important).

The .45 ACP versions are a delight, offering very controllable recoil.  Moon clips are freely available (I bought the Ranch Products version) and make rapid unloading and reloading easy (particularly using the Ranch Products extractor tool to empty the clips;  there's an instructional video here).  If you like revolvers, and live in a state with stringent magazine capacity restrictions (e.g. New York), then the Tracker with its 5-round .45 ACP capacity (or, in non-moonclip models, 5 rounds of .44 Magnum or 7 rounds of .357 Magnum) becomes a very viable option for concealed carry.  I can see a .45 ACP Tracker in my future as well.  They're not easy to find, having been out of production for some time, and they can be quite expensive on the used gun market (prices up to $600 are not uncommon for a good, clean example), but that's still a couple of hundred dollars cheaper than the larger, heavier 6-shot S&W Model 625.

I'm therefore going to give the Taurus Tracker range of revolvers my personal nod of approval, with the caution that you might find an example in need of tuning to get it to 100% operation.  Taurus offers a life-of-the-gun warranty, so you can get any problems repaired (even on a used gun) by sending it back to them.  In my case, I know a good gunsmith whose work I trust, so I prefer to pay him to work over my revolver to my specifications.  New Trackers are available with 4" barrels in .357 Magnum and .44 Magnum (both also able to fire, respectively, .38 Special or .44 Special rounds as well, offering greatly reduced recoil and adequate defensive capability).  My earlier warning about the effects of barrel porting still applies, of course.

I must admit, I've thoroughly enjoyed testing these Trackers.  They're nifty little guns, and they grow on you.  I might find my gun safe breeding more of them, if I'm not careful . . .

Peter

The chaotic situation in Syria and the Islamic world


There are two useful sources of information about what's happened in Syria and the Islamic world to fuel the current 'refugee crisis' in Europe and the upsurge in ISIL terrorist activities in the West.

First, Strategy Page brings us a useful analysis of 'What Failure Has In Common'.

The six worst violence hotspots on the planet at the moment (Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Yemen, Libya, Somalia) seem hopeless and the search for solutions seems futile. But when you step back and take a closer look you find that all these countries have lots in common, aside from being “failed states.” All are largely Moslem and all have serious problems with governing themselves. This spotlights the fact that Moslems in general and Arabs in particular have developed a peculiar relationship with democracy in an attempt to cure these longstanding problems.

There's more at the link.  Useful information.  I'm not so sure that democracy is, at present, the best possible solution for many of these states.  I suggest that many of them need an Atatürk, a strong dictator to drag them kicking and screaming into modern times whether they want that or not, more than they do a one-person-one-vote scenario where the voters are neither educated nor informed.  However, the problem with an Atatürk solution is that for every enlightened 'dictator', one gets a dozen self-interested despots who'll rule for their own benefit and that of their cronies, rather than the nation as a whole.  How to get around that problem (apart from judicious assassination), I just don't know.  (Turkey is experiencing precisely that right now with the Erdoğan administration, which is Islamic to the core and, despite the obligatory lip-service to his memory, probably regards Atatürk as an unfortunate historical aberration to be corrected as quickly as possible.)

Next, this video report from Vox examines how the current situation in Syria came to be.  I generally don't trust Vox as an objective source, because the site's overtly left-wing, progressive perspective often colors its reporting, but in this case it seems reasonably balanced and accurate.  Judge for yourself.





Putting those two sources together, the background to the Paris attacks and the current tensions in the Islamic world become much clearer.

Peter

Friday, November 20, 2015

Not tacticool, but definitely tactile


Courtesy of a link at The Feral Irishman's place, we find the tactical version of neuticles or truck nuts:  the TAC-SAC.




Apparently you're supposed to hang this thing off a Picatinny rail beneath the handguard of your battle rifle.  If you didn't have the balls to fight before, you will have now!

I have absolutely no idea why anybody bothered to invent so stupid an add-on to a fighting weapon, let alone manufacture or distribute it.  "Boys and their toys", indeed!  All I can say is, if I were still in command of my unit in South Africa, and I found one of those on a rifle, its owner would be doing punishment push-ups before he could say, "But it's not against regulations!"  He'd keep on doing them, too, until he'd learned some sense . . . or until he dropped dead.  Given the monumental lack of intelligence indicated by putting them on his rifle to start with, I'm not sure which would occur first.

Peter

The military-industrial complex at work


Doesn't it make you proud to be a taxpayer?  Ares reports:

Not surprisingly, the Long-Range Strike Bomber protest is on. Boeing and Lockheed Martin claim the Air Force’s selection of Northrop Grumman for the development and early production work – worth $23.5 billion – was bungled. The service failed to conduct a proper assessment of the risk for both teams to execute the work and neglected to account for modern advances in manufacturing and life-cycle maintenance, all of which would reduce the cost of such a program, according to Loren Thompson, a Washington DC-based analyst. Thompson’s think-tank receives funding from both Boeing and Lockheed Martin, and the latter employs him as a consultant; he publicly endorsed the Boeing/Lockheed Martin bid despite the requirements and source-selection criteria being classified. Thompson receives no funding from Northrop Grumman.

The losers filed their protest with the Government Accountability Office Nov. 6 after receiving their debrief Oct. 30 from the Air Force.

And, not surprisingly, the other protest is on. You see, in Washington, there’s the protest – filed with GAO and subject to a 100-day audit – and there’s the Protest – the political campaign to disparage the agency that made the alleged flawed choice and its entire strategy. The latter is designed as an end run to whatever the GAO may rule. By undercutting the agency and its strategy at the knees in Congress, pressure can force an agency into submission regardless of a GAO ruling.

These are two parallel but separate avenues in any defense contractor’s red book for major programs; all the contractors keep war plans for protests alongside the process of bidding for programs these days. I’ll outline the two strategies below.

There's much more at the link.  Very interesting reading for those following the convoluted machinations of military procurement in the overpoliticized bureaucracy that is the Pentagon - not to mention the halls of Congress, of course.  (Also, in case you didn't know, Loren Thompson is a shill for Lockheed Martin and the F-35 program . . . which says all we need to know about his status as an allegedly  'independent' commentator.)


*Sigh*


Peter

An Indiegogo campaign that's too funny


I laughed out loud when Miss D. drew this Indiegogo campaign to my attention.

Hello Mythos fans, Duck enthusiasts and Indiegogoers! Dthulhu is a high quality vinyl sculpture that will look great in your bathroom and be hours of fun in the tub!


I made this project because I had a dream about it and I wanted one! Since there was none available, I decided to design Dthulhu.

There's much more at the link.  Here's a promotional video for the campaign.





Yes, it's a rubber duckie Cthulhu!  I can almost imagine H. P. Lovecraft spinning frantically in his grave . . .  I might just have to subscribe to this campaign, even if only to say "Thank you" for the giggles.  (No, they're not compensating me for promoting it here.  I just laughed a lot while I was reading it, and figured my readers would too.)




Peter

It looks - and sounds - like a demented dragonfly!


Here's a radio-controlled miniature helicopter performing some amazing stunts at the recent Southwest Heli Rodeo.  Frankly, I'd never have believed that such maneuvers were possible before seeing this video clip.  Watch in full-screen mode for best results.





I wonder how many real helicopter pilots turned green as they watched that?




Peter

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Armageddon, ISIL and the West


I'm not superstitious;  nor am I a Biblical fundamentalist.  Nevertheless, the eschatological parallels between what the Book of Revelation calls 'Armageddon' and the Islamic fundamentalists of ISIS/ISIL and their ilk regard as 'the Last Hour' are striking.

First, ISIS/ISIL openly proclaims that the 'final battle' between the 'Romans' (i.e. the West) and its fighters will take place at the Syrian town of Dabiq, which it currently occupies.  This is in line with some Islamic eschatology.  The defeat of the 'Romans' will usher in the end of the world as we know it.

Second, 'Armageddon' has long been forecast by Jewish and Christian eschatology to be the final battle between good and evil prior to the Second Coming of Christ.  It's long been predicted to take place at or near Tel Megiddo, which isn't all that far from Dabiq.

Third, almost all of the important 'powers' in the world are either already involved in the fight against Islamic fundamentalism, or getting that way.  Consider:
  • Most of the Western powers are now engaged to at least some extent in fighting ISIS/ISIL in Syria and Iraq, including Britain, France and the USA.
  • Russia is also fighting them, although it's focusing more at present on shoring up the faltering regime of Syrian president Assad.  It's also very wary of Islamic fundamentalist terrorism in the Middle East spreading to Central Asia, and would prefer to fight it outside its borders rather than within them.
  • China is considering getting more involved after one of its citizens was recently murdered by ISIS/ISIL.  It's also having troubles with a fundamentalist Muslim insurgency in Xinjiang, and would prefer to fight such fanatics further away from home rather than wait until more of them infiltrate its borders to fight alongside their Uyghur brethren.
  • Israel is right in the middle of the region, and is not only seen by Muslims as 'the enemy', but is supporting other Arab states (e.g. Jordan) in their fight against ISIS/ISIL.
  • Many other Arab nations are either supporting ISIS/ISIL, or supporting those fighting against it.  Furthermore, while many Middle Eastern governments see fundamentalism as a threat, many of their people do not - in fact, many of them enthusiastically embrace it.  In other words, the heartland of the Muslim world is divided against itself.

Putting all these factors together, in the light of both Christian and Islamic eschatology, there are abundant reasons to be nervous about the present situation in the Middle East.  I can't offer any advice or predictions, and I simply don't know what may be true or false in terms of historical, theological or eschatological theory and tradition.  I just find the parallels . . . ominous.

Peter

Doofus Of The Day #865


A tip o' the hat to reader DB for sending the link to this story.  Today's award goes to a particularly stupid criminal in Massachusetts.

A 34-year-old man was arrested in the weekend theft of 16 rifles and handguns from a U.S. Army Reserve Center in Massachusetts, federal law enforcement officials said on Thursday.

Morales was linked to the crime by surveillance video, an electronic monitoring bracelet he had been ordered to wear by a court and blood at the scene.

There's more at the link.  Bold, underlined text is my emphasis.

Just how dumb a crook do you have to be to commit a crime while wearing a monitoring bracelet that broadcasts your location at all times?




Peter

Useful medical advice - sort of


Namely, 'Don't Fart During an MRI'.




Peter

"A Crisis Our Universities Deserve"


That's the title of an op-ed article in the New York Times last weekend.  Here's a brief excerpt.

At small liberal-arts colleges, big state schools and Ivies alike, protesters are defenestrating presidents and deans, occupying quads, and demanding wholesale social and academic change.

. . .

But the activists’ many critics, conservative and liberal, need a clearer sense of what these students are reacting against.

The protesters at Yale and Missouri and a longer list of schools stand accused of being spoiled, silly, self-dramatizing — and many of them are. But they’re also dealing with a university system that’s genuinely corrupt, and that’s long relied on rote appeals to the activists’ own left-wing pieties to cloak its utter lack of higher purpose.

. . .

The protesters may be obnoxious enemies of free debate ... but they aren’t wrong to smell the rot around them. And they’re vindicated every time they push and an administrator caves: It’s proof that they have a monopoly on moral spine, and that any small-l liberal alternative is simply hollow.

There's more at the link.  Recommended reading.

I found myself several times nodding in agreement as I read the article.  It seems to me that too many universities have been taken over by the 'hippie generation' of the 1960's, who believed in drugs, free love and flower power.  They've lost their intellectual rigor, their focus on education as their goal.  Instead they've become self-sustaining moonbat colonies, existing only to ensure the financial security of faculty members who couldn't hold down a job in any enterprise where they were required to actually produce something of importance, or contribute to corporate profits by their endeavors.  There are honorable exceptions, of course, but far too many academic institutions appear to have lost their way.

I don't know what the answer might be.  It's easy to demand a clean sweep, kicking out anyone and everyone who lacks academic rigor and intellectual honesty . . . but where will we find worthwhile, desirable faculty to replace the worthless and undesirable?  Such people are thin on the ground, particularly because many of them abandoned higher studies when they realized they'd be force-fed with liberal/progressive propaganda for years in their quest for a doctorate, and had no guarantee that they'd actually be awarded their degree in such a politically hostile environment.  Instead, they went out into the world and made a living the hard way.  Why would such people want to give up what they've earned through their own efforts, and descend into the cesspit that comprises a large part of academia today?

Perhaps the answer might be to recruit those who've made a success of their lives, and then retired.  If they could be persuaded to teach for a few hours each day - even each week - and back up their lessons with examples from the lives they've led, that might be a good start.  However, we'd have to exclude most politicians and bureaucrats right from the start.  Let's recruit only those who've genuinely produced something, and thereby contributed economically and in meaningful terms to society.  Leeches on that society should not be allowed to apply.

Your thoughts?

Peter

Wednesday, November 18, 2015

"America's Poorest White Town"


That's what the Guardian calls Beattyville, Kentucky, in an in-depth study of the poorest region in the USA.  It's a long and heart-wrenching article, so much so that it's difficult to find an excerpt that will adequately convey its pathos.  Here are a couple of random selections.

Beattyville sits at the northern tip of a belt of the most enduring rural poverty in America. The belt runs from eastern Kentucky through the Mississippi delta to the Texas border with Mexico, taking in two of the other towns – one overwhelmingly African American and the other exclusively Latino – at the bottom of the low income scale. The town at the very bottom of that census list is an outlier far to the west on an Indian reservation in Arizona.

The communities share common struggles in grappling with blighted histories and uncertain futures. People in Beattyville are not alone in wondering if their kind of rural town even has a future. To the young, such places can sometimes feel like traps in an age when social mobility in the US is diminishing and they face greater obstacles to a good education than other Americans.

At the same time, each of the towns is distinguished by problems not common to the rest. In Beattyville it is the drug epidemic, which has not only destroyed lives but has come to redefine a town whose fleeting embrace of prosperity a generation ago is still visible in some of its grander official buildings and homes near the heart of the town. Now they seem to accentuate the decline of a main street littered with ghost shops that haven’t seen business in years.

. . .

Ask where people get the money for drugs and just about everyone blames it on welfare in general and the trade in what is known locally as “pop” – soft drinks – in particular.

Close to 57% of Beattyville residents claim food stamps. They are paid by electronic transfer on the first of the month. That same day, cases of Pepsi and Coca-Cola are marked down sharply in supermarkets and disappear off the shelves, often paid for with food stamps.

They are then sold on to smaller stores at a lower price than they would pay a distributor, in effect turning several hundred dollars of food stamps into cash at about 50 cents on the dollar.

The “pop” scam has become shorthand in Beattyville among those who regard welfare as almost as big a blight as the drugs themselves.

There's much more at the link.  I think it's worth reading, if only to remind ourselves that we haven't addressed some very pressing issues inside America - never mind those outside.

Peter

Hotel weirdness


A Reddit thread asks, "Hotel workers of Reddit, what is the strangest thing you've seen guests doing?"  The answers are sometimes nauseating, sometimes obscene, sometimes weird, and sometimes just plain funny.  A selection:

We had a guest we ended up calling "Pie Guy" - he would come into the hotel without a reservation, pay in cash + the $100 cash deposit and the next day we would find his bathroom and bathtub full of the remains of several expensive pies. He never came to the desk for his deposit, as he knew he wouldn't be getting it back. We added his name to our "do not rent" list but he kept coming back and using different names. One time we found a torn up list in his room with the words "pie" and "pants" scribbled over and over again.

. . .

The wildest drunks were the folks in town for a sheep farmer convention.

. . .

Not really a guest, but we had hosted a reptile expo in one of our regency ballrooms over the weekend. The day after they left I stumbled across an almost paralyzed Crested Gecko. I started panicking because I knew nothing about reptiles but I figured it was so easy to catch because it was cold. I used the heat lamp we had in our kitchen to warm it up for a little bit and then just held it until we got a hold of the correct pet shop who was missing the gecko. But they said they weren't going to make a 5 hour trip for one gecko and said we could keep it. So that's the story of how my front desk manager got a free Crested Gecko.

. . .

We had to kick some burger convention attendees out when they dumped mayo and relish into the hot tub.

. . .

So late one night, I was walking with my friend the security guard on one of the top floors of the hotel. As we were talking, we rounded the corner when we see someone dart out from the ice machine alcove on the far end of the hall. My friend the security guard immediately runs after him and I follow close behind. As we approach the dead end of the hall, we notice someone hiding behind the recess of the wall into the last set of rooms on the floor. The man steps out and we see quite possibly the strangest get up I've ever seen on a man: he was wearing a short, see-through night gown, complete with fish net stockings and high heels. And makeup. He immediately apologizes and runs to his room three doors down.

How he was able to run so fast in high heels, I have no clue... Makes me wonder if he's had practice at that before.

. . .

We once had a couple check in at reception and they were given a park and display permit for their car. The hotel only had 3 car parking spaces which are usually reserved during booking. Others have to park on the streets around the hotel, displaying the permits which are provided at cost by the local council.

About 40 minutes later the husband comes to reception shouting and complaining that he's received a parking ticket and the permit he was given was obviously no good. We couldn't understand why, there was no way the permit wasn't valid. We asked, did he display it in the window as we had told him to do?

He said of course. He put it in the window as soon as got upstairs to the room. That's when we realised he'd put it in the bedroom window and not the car window.

There's much more at the link.  Cringe-worthy, giggle-worthy, and strange!

Peter

A side effect of Russian intervention in Syria


I've been wondering why Russia had committed relatively few combat forces to its intervention in Syria.  Strategy Page has some thoughts on the matter.

The Russian intervention in Syria involves some 4,000 troops and about fifty warplanes and helicopters. The small size of this force exposes a sad fact of post-Cold War Russia; the military no longer has much in the way of combat capability and few post-Cold War weapons. Thus Russia has few smart bombs and is mostly relying on unguided bombs built in the 1980s ... The Russian air force and navy are now less than ten percent of their Cold War strength and the army has fewer combat brigades than it did armies during the Cold War.

But there is one important thing that Russia does have and that the Syrian armed forces desperately needs; support for maintaining and upgrading Syria’s largely Russian weapons and equipment. Russian maintenance and technical personnel are pouring into Syria, largely unnoticed, along with spare parts, upgrade kits and special maintenance equipment. Thousands of Syrian army weapons and vehicles that had become inoperable, or only partially functional are now being returned to usable condition ... This makes the Syrian forces more effective when fighting and is a big boost for Syrian morale in general.

Russia is using the experience in Syria to upgrade its own armed forces. The Russians have already found that they are not as good at keeping combat aircraft ready (the “readiness rate”) in a combat zone as Western air forces are. American military aircraft in the Middle East have a readiness rate of about 90 percent while the Russian rate is 70 percent. The Americans have a lot more experience, especially in the Middle East. The Russians are learning, especially from the Syrians who are showing them how to deal with the dust, sand and heat. Meanwhile Russia is hustling to build more satellite (GLONASS/ GPS) and laser guided bombs and missiles. Russia is now learning which of their smart bombs work best in combat and are modifying the designs even as they try to increase production.

There's more at the link.

This makes very good sense from the Russian perspective.  It doesn't have many modern combat forces (or equipment) to spare;  but it does have absolutely massive stockpiles of obsolescent and obsolete Soviet-era 1970's and 1980's-vintage military equipment, the same stuff that equips Syria's armed forces.  It can strip spare parts from those stockpiles and ferry them to Syria for very little expense compared to the cost of new production;  and Syria is grateful to have its own equipment, long neglected and under-maintained, restored to operating condition.  It's a lot of bang for the buck, to coin a phrase.

I'll be interested to see how Russian doctrines and operational tactics change as a result of the combat experience it's gaining in the breakaway regions of Ukraine and in Syria.  Neither conflict is a showcase for conventional military operations, being more along the lines of counter-insurgency operations.  The old Soviet Union fought guerrillas in Afghanistan, and more recently within its own borders in Central Asia, but was better known for fomenting guerrilla wars in other parts of the world, in an attempt to destabilize countries allied to the West during the Cold War.  (I had plenty of exposure to that in southern Africa.)  Can Russia now make the transition to a counter-insurgency expeditionary force role, while preserving at least some conventional warfare capability in the homeland?  Also, its weapons and equipment aren't the best for the latter role, and its economy probably isn't in shape to produce enough of them for its needs - at least, not at present.  Will combat experience teach it more about what's needed from its weapons, and help to improve their design?  Does Russia still have enough hi-tech production capacity to make as many of them as it needs, and build them to Western standards of reliability and effectiveness?

This will bear watching.  (Pun intended!)

Peter

This image says it all about the Syrian refugee question


Courtesy of Mike Miles:




Click the image for a larger view, and please pass it on.  In the light of events in Paris last week, it's the clearest possible explanation for why we shouldn't be accepting Syrian refugees into our countries, but rather offering them help in their own country - if necessary creating safe areas for them (and keeping them safe) by armed occupation.  I think that's one use of the US armed forces that almost every American could support, and I think a number of Middle Eastern countries would be willing to contribute troops and resources to the effort.

Peter

Tuesday, November 17, 2015

That must have been a wild ride . . .


The US Air Force is scrapping a brand-new gunship after an in-flight incident that left it damaged beyond repair.  Flight Global reports:

The US Air Force had to scrap one of its brand-new Lockheed Martin AC-130J Ghostrider gunships following a training mishap earlier this year, the service has revealed.


AC-130J Ghostrider (photograph courtesy of USAF)

While being operated at roughly 15,000ft, “the aircraft exceeded the targeted angle of sideslip until it departed controlled flight,” the report states. It “momentarily inverted, before being recovered after losing approximately 5,000ft of altitude.” The aircraft’s crew – who escaped injury – returned to base and landed safely, but the Ghostrider was rendered a total loss, having exceeded its operating g limits and design load.

There's more at the link.

That must have been a very wild ride indeed.  I wonder how many of the crew had to change their underwear as soon as they landed?  (I'm not mocking them, you understand . . . I'd probably have been among their number had I been aboard!)  On the other hand, the incident illustrates the strength and ruggedness of the C-130 design.  A lesser aircraft would probably have broken up in mid-air.




Peter

A damning statistic about Big Brother


We've spoken before in these pages about asset forfeiture - the seizure by police and prosecutors of assets allegedly derived directly or indirectly from crime.  It's of growing concern as it becomes a normal, routine fund-raising procedure by law enforcement authorities.

The problem has now grown so great as to dwarf crime itself.  Zero Hedge reports:

Between 1989 and 2010, U.S. attorneys seized an estimated $12.6 billion in asset forfeiture cases. The growth rate during that time averaged +19.4% annually.

In 2010 alone, the value of assets seized grew by +52.8% from 2009 and was six times greater than the total for 1989.

Then by 2014, that number had ballooned to roughly $4.5 billion for the year, making this 35% of the entire number of assets collected from 1989 to 2010 in a single year.

Now, according to the FBI, the total amount of goods stolen by criminals in 2014 burglary offenses suffered an estimated $3.9 billion in property losses. This means that the police are now taking more assets than the criminals.

The police have been violating the laws to confiscate assets all over the country. A scathing report on California warns of pervasive abuse by police to rob the people without proving that any crime occurred. Even Eric Holder came out in January suggesting reform because of the widespread abuse of the civil asset forfeiture laws by police.

Bloomberg News has reported now that Stop-and-Seize authority is turning the Police Into Self-Funding Gangs. They are simply confiscating money all under the abuse of this civil asset forfeiture where they do not have to prove you did anything.

There's more at the link.  The linked article at Bloomberg is particularly worrying.

The situation has reached crisis point when one seriously has to question whether to drive through certain law enforcement or prosecutorial jurisdictions, for fear that one's perfectly legal and legitimate cash and valuables might be at risk from the authorities.  However, despite all the concern expressed in the media, it seems authorities are carrying on with the same old, same old.  Money talks . . . and they've found what is, for them, a very lucrative source of money.  Their political masters let them get away with it for the simple reason that if they fund their operations (and, dare one suggest, a little political largesse?) from this source, it's less necessary to raise taxes - thus ensuring that the politicians get re-elected with greater ease.

What was that about 'No Taxation Without Representation' again?




Peter

Doofus Of The Day #864


Today's award goes to the organizers of a sporting event in Bangkok, Thailand.

An error by race organisers has turned Bangkok into the home of the world’s longest half-marathon.

Instead of a 13-mile run through Thailand’s capital, the Standard Chartered Bangkok marathon on Sunday accidentally extended its annual half-marathon to almost 17 miles.

The bonus miles came as a surprise to runners, who unleashed a tirade of complaints on social media after the event.

. . .

The Athletic Association of Thailand, which oversees athletic events in the country, said it discussed the mistake with the organisers, who “admitted that a technical error happened during the half-marathon event”, said Surapong Ariyamongkol, AAT secretary general.

He said race officials responsible for pointing runners in the right direction inadvertently directed them to make a U-turn at the wrong place.

“It added more than 3km [1.8 miles] to each lap, therefore more than 6km were added to the whole half-marathon,” Surapong said. “We have rebuked the association but we could not do anything else.”

. . .

... as one Facebook comment noted, it could be seen as a byproduct of race inflation: “Hey, they increased the price this year, so you get more kilometres for your money.”

There's more at the link.

So, if Runner X was in the lead at the 'legal' or 'regulation' distance, but Runner Y was leading - and was declared the winner - at the end of the accidentally extended distance, does Runner X have grounds to sue to be awarded the winner's trophy and prize money?  I should think he does.  One can only imagine the ripple effect as it makes its way down the results!

Peter