Thursday, May 19, 2016

Cool! - infrared edition


Here's a fascinating video clip from a British Coast Guard helicopter 'cloud surfing' in or near Scotland last week.  The forward looking infrared camera shows the helicopter's 'shadow' as it approaches each cloud, then 'vanishes' inside it.  It's an unusual perspective, to say the least.





I daresay the pilots were having a lot of fun there.

Peter

But what about the syrup?


I don't quite see the point of this, but I suppose the photographer/narrator had fun.





What? No maple syrup?

Peter

A shot across the bows for China's economy


The Telegraph reports on what may be a very significant change of direction for the Chinese economy.

Nobody rings a bell at the top of the credit supercycle, to misuse an old adage. Except that this time somebody very powerful in China has done exactly that.

China watchers are still struggling to identify the author of an electrifying article in the People's Daily that declares war on debt and the "fantasy" of perpetual stimulus.

Written in a imperial tone, it commands China to break its addiction to credit and take its punishment before matters spiral out of control. If that means bankruptcies must run their course, so be it.

Fifteen years ago such a mystery article would have been an arcane matter, of interest only to Sinologists. Today it is neuralgic for the entire global - and over-globalized - financial system.

China's debt is approaching $30 trillion. The fresh credit alone created since 2007 is greater than the outstanding liabilities of the US, Japanese, German, and Indian commercial banking systems combined.

. . .

To put matters in context, leverage rose by roughly 50 percentage points of GDP in Japan before the Nikkei bubble burst in 1990, or in Korea before the East Asia crisis in 1998, or in the US before the subprime debacle. This gauge is an almost  mechanical indicator of a future credit crisis.

As we all know, China is in a class of its own. Debt has risen by 120 to 140 percentage points. The scale of excess industrial capacity - and China's power and life and death over commodity markets -  mean that any serious policy pivot by the Communist Party would set off an international earthquake.

. . .

The rot in the country's $7.7 trillion bond markets is metastasizing. Bo Zhuang from Trusted Sources said more than 100 firms cancelled or delayed bond issues in April due to widening credit spreads.

Ten companies have defaulted this year, with the shipbuilder Evergreen, Nanjing Yurun Foods, and the solar group Yingli Green Energy all in trouble this month.  But what has really spooked markets is the suspension of nine bonds issued by the AA+ rated China Railways Materials, the first of the big central SOE's to signal default. "This has greatly weakened investors’ long-standing expectation of implicit government support," he said.

There's more at the link.

I can't emphasize too strongly the potential implications of this article.  If it turns out to be from a source with the authority to make the new approach stick, it will have a dramatic ripple effect on the entire global economy.  China (and the Asian market it dominates) now manufactures almost half of all the goods produced in the entire world.  That, in turn, drives imports (of raw materials to China) and exports (of manufactured goods from China) around the globe.  A severe contraction of that country's debt-fueled economy would put a very large proportion of that trade in immediate jeopardy, which would have instant effects on the economies of every other industrialized and developed nation.

I've written extensively about the problem of debt, and what it means for everything from national economies, through corporations, to individual consumers.  It looks like someone high up in the Chinese government has 'seen the light', and is trying to act before it's too late.  Trouble is, the debt problem there is already so immense that it may be too late for a 'soft landing'.  I suspect we're about to find out.

Peter

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Teaser


My Western novel is getting very close to publication.  Look for an announcement about that early next week.  In the meantime, to whet your appetite, here's the cover.




The publisher's artist adapted Frederic Remington's famous painting 'The Lookout' for the cover, and chose an interesting Old West-type font as well. I think he did a great job. Alpha and beta readers and initial reviewers have said that the book lives up to the standard set by its cover, about which I'm very pleased.

Watch this blog early next week for release information.

Peter

Give a Finn a hydraulic press and . . .


. . . you get the Hydraulic Press Channel on YouTube!  He's squashed all sorts of things, but I had to laugh at his efforts using gummy bears, small and large.





There are many more crushing videos at his channel. Here's one dear to the hearts of frustrated writers.





Funny . . . my computer's been behaving a lot better since I screened that one!




Peter

Old rock star songs


This video link came in via e-mail this morning.  It's chuckle-worthy.








Peter

The Bataclan terror attack, from the stage


During the Paris terror attacks last November, the single worst atrocity was at the Bataclan theater, where the music group Eagles of Death Metal was performing.  Now the lead singer of the group has spoken about it in an interview with Taki's Magazine.  Here's an excerpt.

They were in the venue early. That implies some staff were in on it.

I got in a lot of trouble for saying that. I know for sure that they were in there early. I remember them staring at my buddy. I just chalked it up to Arab envy. You know what I mean? When a Muslim sees a cocky American dude with tattoos, he stares at him. I realized later it was Abdeslam and he was staring at my buddy because they thought he was a threat. There’s no denying the terrorists were already inside, and they had to get in somehow. During the shooting I went outside and the backstage door was propped open. How did that happen?

. . .

I’ve heard you say you credit your childhood with your survival. You had a real dad who stuck around and taught you about guns.

I knew what gunfire was. I was able to think through it. I was also able to remember practical lessons of my life because I had to be in fights as a kid. My mom didn’t go sue anyone. I didn’t have playdates. I had some practical upbringing growing up in the desert where you got to get yourself out of your problems.

Also, the reason I’ve done well with this healing process is everything I was raised to believe was affirmed that night. In a way, that’s a blessing of God. When the first bullets started being fired, people looked at me. I remember that. It pissed me off because I knew right then and there it was going to be bad. I knew these kids had no idea what was coming. None. They’d never heard a gunshot in real life and it hit them so hard.

. . .

You went to the hospital?

I had pieces of teeth and human bone pulled out of my face. A girl got shot right next to me by the shooter at the top of the stairs who I had met earlier. She stepped one step in front of me and her head just exploded. It blew pieces of her teeth and skull into my face.

. . .

Do you think a percentage of the security staff was Muslim?


I know they were. Look, security guards backstage are notorious for being dicks. They check your ID every few minutes and nobody goes back and forth without being checked, even if you’re in the band. This guy didn’t care what we did. He didn’t even look at me.

The only time he seemed remotely interested in us was when he said to my girlfriend, “Do you speak French?” and “Where are you from?” She said she was from Texas and he was getting frustrated because that’s not what he meant. Then she said, “I’m American” and he lost interest. I honestly think he was trying to determine if she was Arab or not. She’s Mexican and she could easily pass for Lebanese and I think he was going to warn her if she was Muslim.

. . .

Maybe one of the reasons the cops are so much more pragmatic about this threat is that they are the ones who have to go into Les Banlieues and confront these people. Naïveté is a luxury they can’t afford.

When the cops went in after the attack, they shut down, what, 450 mosques? They found recruitment material in every single one of them. What the **** is wrong with us that we don’t know about that?

There's more at the link.

In view of what is, in my opinion, the absolute certainty that more such attacks are coming, I highly recommend reading the whole interview.  There are lessons to be learned that might save your life someday, or the lives of your loved ones.

Peter

Tuesday, May 17, 2016

Doofus Of The Day #906


Today's award goes to an unfortunate fellow in Australia, courtesy of a link provided by reader Snoggeramus.

A MAN was left red-faced when firefighters had to be called to hospital to remove a tool from his penis.

The man became stuck after his penis swelled up in the ring spanner on Monday and was he unable to remove it.

Tweed firefighters say it not uncommon for them to be called to such jobs where people leave it too late to ask for help.

. . .

“We use a tiny angle grinder that’s air operated and use measuring tape to protect the skin and slowly zip away at it while keeping water running on it so it doesn’t get too hot.

“It’s a pretty delicate operation especially where it is, there’s a lot of blood vessels.

“We do quite a few of them.”

There's more at the link.

If he used a ring spanner, clearly he was nuts about someone . . . this time to the detriment of another kind of nuts!

Seriously, though:  I've never, ever been tempted, not even in my wildest imaginings, to stick portions of my anatomy where they were never intended or designed to go.  What is it with these people?

Peter

Consumer-grade padlocks aren't all that good


Here's one way to get through them, using equipment any moderately prepared intruder can carry with him in a backpack (like this example).





If you've got to secure something important, use a security-rated padlock rather than a general consumer-grade one - and even then, be aware that it can be defeated.  If it's claimed to be unbreakable, don't believe the claim;  and also consider that if the padlock resists penetration, its hasp and the door behind it may not.  I've been at more than one crime scene where a very expensive, highly-rated padlock was on the ground, still locked, with the hasp from which it had hung sawn in two on the door behind it.

Peter

Monday, May 16, 2016

Heh


Courtesy of By Other Means:




No ****, Sherlock!

Peter

Hooray for used books on the internet!


In my quest for research materials for future Western books, I've had great luck locating scarce, rare and hard-to-find books and information at Amazon.com and the individuals and stores selling through that portal.  These are books that simply can't be had for love or money through local bookstores.  Even many libraries have divested themselves of them, because there simply wasn't enough demand for them to justify the shelf space they were taking up.  However, for writers and those interested in the period, it's a gold mine out there.

The latest example arrived this morning, accompanied by a dirty look from the poor Post Office driver who had to lug the (very heavy) box to my front door.  It's the complete 26-volume set of 'The Old West' from Time-Life Books.  (I've ordered the Master Index to the series separately.)  Originally published in the 1970's, it's a pretty decent reference source for the period, not just in its text but in the hundreds upon hundreds of authentic photographs that show the reality of life in those days in all its grittiness.  You can't get that anywhere else, not even on the Internet, without a heck of a lot of searching.  The series concentrated it all into one convenient location, and I paid about $4 per volume!  That's what I call a real bargain.

The same has applied to books on specific subjects (for example, 'The Gunfighter - Man or Myth?', 'Language of the Railroader', 'The Writer's Guide to Everyday Life in the Wild West from 1840-1900', and so on).  Many are available used for only a few cents per volume;  others for a few dollars.  Hugely expensive reference works such as 'The Value of a Dollar 1860-2014' ($155 for a new copy of the current 5th edition) can be had used for less than a third of that sum, and in an older edition (still perfectly usable for my needs) for just two cents!

I notice that many thrift shops all over the country, including branches of national chains such as Goodwill, are now using Amazon.com to advertise their used books. In many cases they'll offer them for just 1c apiece, trusting in Amazon's $3.99 standard shipping charge to make a dollar or two on each sale.  Some individuals I know are thinning their libraries in the same way.  Others are using web sites such as Abebooks, Alibris, Bookfinder, etc.  When I can't find what I want on Amazon.com, I'll usually find it on one or more of those competitors.

I don't buy light reading or fiction in this way - I've spent a lot of time and effort cutting down my library to a manageable size, and I don't want it expanding again!  I'll stick to e-books for light reading.  Nevertheless, when it comes to reference books, this is a great (and very economical) way to gather resources.  I'm having a lot of fun.

Peter

I didn't know robots went back that far


It seems a robot designed and built during the 1920's is about to be resurrected.  The Telegraph reports:

Britain’s first robot, Eric, is to be rebuilt and sent on a world tour after curators at the Science Museum tracked down lost plans while researching a new exhibition.

The automaton was built by First World Ward veteran Captain William Richards and aircraft engineer Alan Reffell, to replace the Duke of York in opening the Exhibition of the Society of Model Engineers in London in 1928.

On September 28 1928 Eric stood up at the Royal Horticultural Hall, bowed, looked right and left and moved his hands as he proceeded to give a four minute opening address as sparks flashed from his teeth.


The robot was so successful that after his appearance he embarked on a world tour, amazing crowds in Britain, UK and Europe, before vanishing forever.

There's more at the link.

I'm not sure whether Eric could be described in the same terms as a modern robot.  I suspect he'd more correctly be classified as an automaton.  Whatever the classification, though, it's very cool from a techie perspective to see a piece of history like this revived.  I imagine the steampunk brigade will be thrilled!

Peter

"How to measure corporate welfare"


That's the title of an article over at Captain Capitalism's place.  Here's an excerpt.

I need statistics.  I need facts.  And I need good methodology so I know, as accurately as possible, precisely what the hell I'm talking about.  And one of the few economic stones I have left unturned with empiricism has been "corporate welfare."  Specifically, how much is there?

This is an important statistic to know because when debating leftists they always claim that if we "just got rid of corporate welfare" then we wouldn't have a budget deficit nor (consequently) a national debt.  That if we just stopped giving all those nasty corporations all that government cheese we'd be able to fund everything and everyone, from free education, to free jobs, to free house, and free healthcare.

Of course, when you try to peg them down on precisely how much in "corporate welfare" me and the other taxpayers give to these evil corporations, none of them have any figures.  And so, as always with leftists, you can't rely on any kind of constructive debate that advances our understanding and moves us closer to a practical solution, simply because the left has no freaking clue what they're talking about.  They're merely regurgitating talking points (usually lies) they heard from some other equally misinformed leftist and the real adult work of getting to the bottom of things and conducting research begins.

. . .

I have come up with a cool $225 billion in annual corporate welfare (it should be noted however, this does not include TARP as - hopefully - that was a one time anal raping of the American taxpayer).

There's more at the link.  Well worth reading.

I found it interesting to see how the Captain came up with his figure.  I think he's probably close to a minimum figure;  it wouldn't surprise me if it were higher.  In other words, it's probably at least one-sixth of the annual US budget, and possibly higher than that.  (I daresay companies such as Archer Daniels Midland, Lockheed Martin and Halliburton couldn't survive in their present form [or at their present size] without corporate welfare.  There are hundreds more like them.)

Something else that needs a budgetary axe, as quickly and as ruthlessly as possible.

Peter

Sunday, May 15, 2016

Boys and their (explosive) toys


Thanks to reader B. D. for sending me the link to this video.  A young man decides to throw a pound of sodium into a river.  The results are . . . well, see for yourself.  Watch in full-screen mode for best results.





Of course, by chucking that much sodium into the water, he also poisoned that stretch for fish and other wildlife, at least until the concentrated solution got diluted . . . but I guess he wasn't thinking about that.

Peter

Gender and the law - a fascinating fight is shaping up


I see that North Carolina's gender issues are raising some intricate legal problems.  The Charlotte Observer reports (bold, underlined text is my emphasis):

The Obama Justice Department contends that sexual orientation is not a personal decision, but is based on an array of factors affecting an individual’s sense of gender and is protected by civil rights laws enacted 40 and 50 years ago. In slapping the state of North Carolina with a suit charging HB2 violates sex discrimination provisions in the Civil Rights Act of 1964, a 1972 education law and the 2013 Violence Against Women Act, Attorney General Loretta Lynch accused North Carolina officials of “state-sponsored discrimination against transgender individuals.”

. . .

But Ed Whelan, president of the conservative-leaning Ethics and Public Policy Center and head of its program on the Constitution, the Courts and the Culture, says laws like North Carolina’s “do not involve by any conceivable measure discrimination on the basis of gender identity.”

North Carolina’s law disregards gender identity by defining gender as a person’s biological sex at birth, Whelan, a former law clerk to the late conservative Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia, said in a phone interview.

. . .

McCrory told Fox News that Obama administration officials are “trying to define gender identity. And there is no clear identification or definition of gender identity.”

Perhaps, but [Pamela] Karlan [who teaches public interest law at Stanford University] said the medical profession has recognized that “people’s sex is made up of a complex group of factors, and for most people, the factors tend to reinforce each other.”

For most people, she said, “their chromosomal sex and their external genitalia and their sense of a social role, and the hormones that are coursing through their bodies all kind of align. For transgender people, their chromosomal sex and external genitalia at birth don’t necessarily correlate with their internal sense of gender.”

There's more at the link.  It's well worth reading in full for an explanation of all the issues.

The core of the problem, to me, is how one deals with what the article calls individuals' "internal sense of gender".  There are (as I've pointed out before) some people (vanishingly few, as a proportion of the general population) who suffer from genuine, physical medical problems in this area;  sex chromosome abnormalities and the like.  (For example, a European study showed sex chromosome abnormality rates ranging from 1 in every 1,934 persons [0.05%] to 1 in every 14,828 persons [0.007%].)  For such people, I have enormous sympathy.  It must be a hell of a burden to carry through life.

However, that doesn't extend to blind, unthinking acceptance of psychological or psychiatric issues with gender identity.  Sure, those suffering from such issues need treatment as much as those suffering from physical abnormalities, but the appropriate treatment is psychological or psychiatric - not surgical, and not tolerance of their delusions!  Just because someone thinks they're male or female doesn't mean that they are male or female.  With vanishingly few exceptions (as outlined above), medically and physically, the chromosomes determine gender.  Period.  Someone's "internal sense of gender" does not.

That's why I don't find North Carolina's law a problem.  It states baldly that bathrooms are reserved for the gender determined by one's biology - one's chromosomes.  For those very, very few people with mixed-up chromosomes, I daresay this might cause issues, but I don't think they're so severe that they can't be overcome.  For a start, the law, by referring to the biological gender of one's birth, implicitly acknowledges that some people's gender is biologically indeterminate at birth.  I don't see the law excluding them from consideration.

On the other hand, I have very strong objections to the administration's attempts to legally define gender according to non-scientific, non-medical, touchy-feely, politically correct factors.  That's simply unacceptable.  Period.  To my mind, it's nothing more or less than using the law as a club to ignore medical and physical reality and impose ideology instead.

One hopes sanity will prevail in the courts.  If it doesn't, I daresay it will on the streets . . . because many of us will never accept or obey laws and regulations that fly in the face of nature and common sense.

Peter

Here's what a million-dollar rifle looks like


My thanks to several readers who sent me the link to this Washington Times article.  Click the images for a larger view.

It has a fine walnut stock, a blue finish and a very simple inscription that reads “Albee to Lawton.” But this 19th-century rifle has become the most expensive single firearm ever sold at auction according to the Rock Island Auction Company, which recently sent the historic piece to a new destiny with an undisclosed buyer. The price: $1,265,000.

“Other guns have sold higher as a pair, but no other single firearm surpasses this new world record. It was an honor to be entrusted with an American treasure,” said Kevin Hogan, president of the Illinois-based company.



The rifle itself was a gift from one Congressional Medal of Honor winner to another. U.S. Army Captain Henry Ware Lawton and Lieutenant George E. Albee had been brothers-in-arms during the Civil War. The former continued his military career and saw combat in the Indian Wars, the Spanish American War and the Philippine American War. The latter went to work as a designer for the Winchester Repeating Arms Company.



After Lawton led a grueling but successful expedition which resulted in the capture and surrender of Apache leader Geronimo in 1886, his old friend was inspired to find a suitable recognition for the deed. His choice? The “Winchester Model 1886 Sporting Rifle (serial number 1)” which he obtained by virtue of his standing in the company. The gun survived in excellent condition.

There's more at the link.

You'll find more images on the auction Web page.  Here's a video clip from the Rock Island Auction Company giving some background information about the rifle, and about then-Captain Lawton's achievements in the Apache wars.





You'll find a more detailed account of Lawton's chase and capture of Geronimo here.  Lawton went on to become a Major-General, and was the only general officer to be killed during the Philippine-American War.

Now that's a rifle worthy of pride of place in any collection of American firearms.  I'd love to see and handle it someday, not because I want to own it, but purely for the history involved.  Its condition suggests that Lawton valued it highly, because he obviously didn't take it into the field where it could be beaten up and weathered.  It's about as pristine as a 130-year-old rifle can possibly be.

Peter

Saturday, May 14, 2016

I see no problem with this


Courtesy of The Feral Irishman:




Yep.  I'll even contribute a quarter beer to the tooth fairy in this case!

Peter

"Ten things no one tells you before you lose a limb"


That's the title of an article in the Telegraph by a Royal Marine who lost his leg.  Here are a couple of excerpts.

2. Kids will stare

Much to their parents’ embarrassment, children are welcomingly tactless and often stare open mouthed before pointing out the obvious.

I smile and reassure them I am aware that my leg has fallen off and my offer to give them a detailed look at my prosthetic is rarely refused. However, I’m glad to say I’ve yet to fight a seven-year old for my leg back.

. . .

6. You will forget that it’s gone

Protracted wearing of a prosthetic can be painful, so I usually remove it when seated. This habitually results in me falling over when I stand back up as I keep forgetting I don’t have a right leg any more.

Conversely, when sat down I instinctively stretch out my missing leg to stop my prosthetic toppling over. How ironic.

There's more at the link.  Interesting, often amusing, and thought-provoking.

Please God none of us will end up in a similar situation;  but if we do, this man's advice might be worth hearing.  I imagine Murphy's Law and Joel, each of whom has lost a leg, will probably have similar things to say.

Peter

Well, if you insist . . .


I can't imagine who first thought of doing this.  My initial reaction was "Why?"  Still, it has a certain entertainment value.





Boys and their toys, indeed!

Peter

Giving Mama Nature a helping hand?


I'm intrigued by the news that large African mammals are to be relocated to Australia in an attempt to save the species.

Eighty South African rhinos may soon be on their way to Australia in part of an ambitious effort to establish an 'insurance population for the world.'

The Australian Rhino Project, spearheaded by South Africa-native Ray Dearlove, plans to fly 20 rhinos per year between 2016 and 2019 to Australia, where they will make up a breeding herd to protect against possible extinction.

. . .

Ultimately, Australia is serving as a secure place for the animals to live and breed - for now. If and when Africa becomes safe for rhinos again, the animals will be repatriated to their homeland - a feat that may not occur for generations, Dearlove believes.

There's more at the link, and at the project's Web site.

I have some misgivings about this.  It'll be fearsomely expensive, for a start - so much so that the costs may be insurmountable.  I don't know Mr. Dearlove at all.  If I were still in Africa, I'd be regarding this proposal with a jaundiced eye, wondering whether the same investment might not make more sense closer to home, and achieve better results for the animals.  Is it a boondoggle?  Hard to say, from the information available.

The other intriguing aspect is what happens if African genes cross-pollinate, so to speak, with Australian ones.  A cross between a rhinoceros and a kangaroo?  A two-ton bouncer!  What about a cross between a rhinoceros and a duck-billed platypus?  I don't know what the offspring would be like, but I bet you'll salute and call it "Sir!" before you argue with it . . .




Peter