I've annoyed some readers by harping on about likely food shortages and even famines (although I think the latter will be more in the Third World than the First World - but that's not guaranteed). I wrote two lengthy articles on the subject last week, and they're still attracting more readers than usual. I hope people are listening. I also mentioned inflation yesterday, and noted that the true inflation figure was much, much higher than the "official" number. That, of course, has a direct bearing on food prices.
Yesterday, The Intrepid Reporter took a long, hard look at goods he'd bought within the last few months; what he paid for them then; and what they're selling for now. He was shocked by the results. His comments are profane, but very much to the point.
I bought a case of canned beef on March 9th. 12 cans of beef at 28oz a can. Wifey is a meat eater, and I like me some protein in with my veggies and rice. I picked it up for $159.00 w/free shipping. So, went back, and saw this ... On sale for $219.00. Down from $339.00!!!!!
I paid $159. that's almost a 100% increase in 30 days, and at the $219? That's still a 76.2% increase.
. . .
So, TIFWIW, 30 days, and a full increase.
If you haven't started building a baseline food supply, you a dumb mother****er.
'Cos that's insane.
And s*** ain't even hit home to the Normies.
Think "Panic on the Titanic" when the reality hits.
. . .
OK folks, as a follow on, I went and rechecked the Zon, who appears to be the #1 Distro Point for Augason Farms. If'n y'all remember I poasted about the 'sale'/availability on this back in February-March timeframe. So, I went into my orders and ran 'comparables' meaning my order w/cost, versus current cost.
First One: DH Butter. I paid $17.07 ... Current price? $38.49 on sale from $42.00. 128.48% increase.
Next, Milk, specifically that "Moos" stuff they sell: $16.63... and it took a month to get delivered. Now? $35.50, on sale from $37.99. 113.47 % increase.
Then, veggies, specifically Red n Green Peppers to spice up the food and add vitamins: $12.58 and overnight delivery...and Now? $25.89... this's redonkulus man... 105.8 % increase.
There's more at the link.
I can confirm his figures for Augason Farms (discussed here last week). I've just bought a dozen cans of their dehydrated vegetables to add to our "stash" - and found their prices have doubled or even tripled since the last time I did so, late last year. (I might add that the last two products cited in the excerpt above are no longer available on Amazon - they've sold out. I had to link to their product pages at Augason Farms instead. It looks like I got my extra cans just in time!)
As well as investing in a lot more canned food, I'm in the process of building a spreadsheet of every can we have. For each product, I'm listing its name, how many cans we have, their expiration/best by date, and the container in which they're stored. The idea is to check the listing every month. If we can't get any more due to shortages, no problem - we'll keep and use what we've got, whether or not it's date-expired. Cans usually stay usable for several years past that date. If supplies are still freely available (and affordable), then as cans get close to their expiration date, we'll either use them or donate them to a local food bank, which will quickly pass them on to its customers. We'll replace them with fresher cans.
As for longer-term reserves of dry foods (rice, beans, oatmeal, flour, grits, etc.), I pack them in mylar bags with oxygen absorbers to keep them fresh, then heat-seal them. I also try to use mylar bags with a zip-seal lock, so that I can heat-seal them above the lock, but still keep them air-tight when I cut off that seal to open them. I've learned the hard way that big mylar bags aren't necessarily the way to go. It's wasteful and inefficient to have to open a 25-pound bag of rice when you only need one pound! I now pack dry foods into smaller bags, so I can open only what's needed, or a little more.
The more I read about food shortages and rising prices, the more serious I get about our backup food supplies. I hope you're doing the same. They're like a fire extinguisher, or a parachute, or a gun. You may never need one; but if you ever do, at that point it'll probably be far too late to go out and buy one.