Sunday, September 18, 2011

Doofus Of The Day #523

Today's award goes to the climate change alarmists and their latest effort. I suppose I shouldn't be surprised by their shenanigans, but the sheer brazenness of their latest attempt caught me off guard. Reuters reports:

The world temperature should have risen more than it did, scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research reckoned.

They knew greenhouse gas emissions were rising during the decade and satellites showed there was a growing gap between how much sunlight was coming in and how much radiation was going out. Some heat was coming to Earth but not leaving, and yet temperatures were not going up as much as projected.

So where did the missing heat go?

Computer simulations suggest most of it was trapped in layers of oceans deeper than 1,000 feet during periods like the last decade when air temperatures failed to warm as much as they might have.

This could happen for years at a time, and it could happen periodically this century, even as the overall warming trend continues, the researchers reported in the journal Nature Climate Change.

"This study suggests the missing energy has indeed been buried in the ocean," NCAR's Kevin Trenberth, a co-author of the study, said in a statement. "The heat has not disappeared and so it cannot be ignored. It must have consequences."

Trenberth and the other researchers ran five computer simulations of global temperatures, taking into account the interactions between the atmosphere, land, oceans and sea ice, and basing the simulations on projected human-generated greenhouse gas emissions.

These simulations all indicated global temperature would rise several degrees this century. But all of them also showed periods when temperatures would stabilize before rising. During these periods, the extra heat moved into deep ocean water due to changes in ocean circulation, the scientists said.

There's more at the link. Bold print is my emphasis.

They couldn't account for the 'lost' heat that their computer models predicted would be present . . . so they invented a solution out of whole cloth. Note that they used 'computer simulations' rather than actual real-world recordings, and 'projected' emissions rather than actual, verifiable measurements. Hey, if you control the numbers you're using and the computer programs that analyze them, you can make the results prove anything you want! Their proposed solution - that the 'missing heat' sank into the depths of the oceans - also defies the scientific understanding of convection, where heat rises and cold sinks.

Color me unimpressed. They clearly think we're doofi, to be misled by such nonsense, but I think this confirms their doofus status instead - individually and collectively!



Noons said...

This is how modern "science" validates its computer "models".
Basically, the model can't POSSIBLY be wrong. So what is needed is a lunatic hypothesis to "prove" the model as valid.

And our collective name is Dalai Lama...

Shrimp said...

Garbage in, garbage out. I would say that nothing more needs to be said, but I know that I'm wrong about that.