I've been trying to make sense of the fuss about the draft Supreme Court verdict on Roe v. Wade. I had three questions:
- Why did this news break now, of all times? Was it deliberately planned, or just coincidence?
- How can this fuss be leveraged by the progressive left to achieve their goals?
- What are its wider ramifications? How can it be used to further other goals?
I still don't have hard-and-fast answers, but I can speculate.
As for why it broke now, the timing of it all, I have several theories. First, of course, is sheer opportunity. The "leak" came along, and the progressive left jumped on it with both feet. It offers a perfect opportunity to make hay while their reproductive sun shines. However, I think it's a lot more complex than that. Did you notice how demonstrators were ready and waiting, complete with pre-printed signs and well-rehearsed public indignation, for the news to break? They may have been preparing for the verdict when it would have been announced, some weeks from now, but I suspect they were mobilized in advance of this "leak" and standing by to jump up and down and scream about it. They're too well organized for it to be purely coincidental.
The second thing is far-left efforts at "packing" the Supreme Court by appointing a number of left-wing justices to "balance" (i.e. in practice, overwhelm) the influence of the right. This has gotten nowhere until now, thanks to the opposition of two Democrat senators - Sinema and Manchin - who've shown both courage and common sense in supporting the filibuster, thereby preventing such a blatantly partisan political hijacking of the justice system. Kudos to them both. However, a threat to "reproductive rights" might become a major factor in "peeling off" a few RINO senators (Murkowski, Collins and Romney come to mind, and there are others) who might "take a stand" on abortion rights and vote with the Democratic Party to enshrine Roe v. Wade in federal law (despite its distinctly dubious constitutionality). This would nullify Sinema's and Manchin's opposition. They might go even further. Using the pretext of reproductive rights, they might vote to nuke the filibuster, and allow a pure majority vote on Supreme Court issues. This would open the door to further progressive-left legislative priorities.
Archimedes famously said, "Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world". As far as control of the US Senate is concerned, the draft verdict might just be that lever, with Roe v. Wade the fulcrum.
Another factor is that the Democratic Party desperately needs an issue big enough and important enough to distract voters from all the problems in our everyday lives right now - problems either caused, or made much worse, by the failures of the Biden administration. Inflation, economic pressures, the war in Ukraine, the illegal alien invasion across our southern border, COVID-19 issues (particularly the potential dangers of the vaccines against it, which are becoming clearer by the day and affecting the health of literally millions of Americans) - all of those are an ongoing, constant drumbeat affecting potential voters in November.
Added to that is the release, this week, of Dinesh d'Souza's latest bombshell revelation about left-wing corruption, "2000 Mules". (It's very telling that many pro-left-wing sources, including Wikipedia, have to date utterly ignored this movie, trying to condemn it to obscurity rather than respond to the solid facts it presents as evidence of fraud in the 2020 elections.) Any objective analysis of the movie must conclude that electoral fraud has been overwhelmingly proven, and is now impossible to dismiss. It's no longer a matter of conjecture or debate. I think the Roe v. Wade draft ruling is likely to be used in an attempt to "shout down" 2000 Mules, and prevent it being widely publicized. Whether or not the movie's release date had anything to do with the release of the draft ruling, to suck as much potential publicity as possible away from the former and focus it on the latter, is open to speculation. It's by no means impossible. Sundance sees it that way.
I'm certain that the Democratic Party and the progressive left will attempt to build momentum around "Protect Roe v. Wade!!! Eleventy!!!", overriding opposition efforts to remind voters about the many other real problems that confront us. I won't be surprised to see Antifa and BLM return to the streets in force, rioting to "protest the onslaught against reproductive rights", classifying any such opposition as racist, elitist, able-ist and any other -ism or -ist they can think of. Could such violence be used as an excuse to delay, postpone, or even cancel the elections scheduled for November? I hope not . . . but the left knows full well it's lost much of its former electoral support, and might clutch at such a straw in a desperate attempt to retain power at any cost. I guess we'll have to wait and see.
The left needs a cause around which it can rally, one so powerful (they hope) as to overcome resistance to all their other policy disasters and mismanagement and corruption. It'll take time to build, mobilize and launch such a wide-ranging onslaught against their opposition, and that's probably why they're launching their effort now, to gain enough time to influence the November elections. I tend to believe the leaking of the SCOTUS draft ruling was deliberately timed to accomplish that. It's just too convenient to them in so many ways for it to be purely a coincidence.
Furthermore, expect any and all attempts by conservatives and centrists to present arguments against left-wing policies and positions to be howled down by accusations that they're "ignoring the real fight - reproductive rights!", or "an expression of the patriarchy", or similar nonsense. I think the left's idea is to generate enough propaganda smoke that nobody can see the final flickering flames of their burned-out policies. I'm sure their allies in the mainstream media and much of social media will do all they can to assist; and I daresay they'll be vociferous in their opposition to Elon Musk and Twitter in the face of any attempt to "democratize" that platform, and make it more representative of Americans of all opinions and walks of life. They dare not lose control of the conversation, so they'll do all they can to demonize any source that tries to offer a platform to those of different views.
I predict bloodshed over all this, in the streets of America, this year. I hope and pray I'm wrong.