Saturday, May 12, 2018

From a man of peace to a fanatical terrorist torturer and murderer


The BBC has a chilling article about "a man of peace" who was radicalized into terrorism, torture and murder.

[Khaled] told the BBC [that], when the Syrian revolution drew its first breaths in 2011 he was a man of peace, "a bit religious, but not too strict", with a job organising pilgrimages.

"It was an amazing feeling of freedom mixed with fear of the regime," he says, recalling the first day he joined the anti-government protests.

"We felt that we were doing something to help our country, to bring freedom and to be able to choose a president other than Assad. We were a small group, no more than 25-30 people."

Khaled says no-one thought about taking weapons to the early protests - "we didn't have the courage for that", but the security forces arrested and beat people nonetheless.

One day, it was him they detained.

"They took me from my house to the Criminal Security Department, then to other departments. Political Security, State Security... and then to the Central Prison where I stayed for a month before they released me.

"By the time I entered the Central Prison I couldn't walk, and couldn't sleep because of my backache."

Khaled says his most barbaric abuser was a guard at the Criminal Security Department who forced him to kneel before a picture of President Assad, saying: "Your god will die, and he will not die. God dies, and Assad endures."

"His shift was every other day, and when it came I knew I would be tortured.

"He used to hang me from my arms with chains to the ceiling. He would force me to strip, then put me on 'the flying carpet' and whip my back. He would tell me: 'I hate you, I hate you, I want to you to die. I hope you die at my hands.'

"I left his prison paralysed, and when they moved me to the Central Prison inmates were crying when they saw me. They brought me in on a stretcher.

"I decided that if God saved me I would kill him wherever he goes. Even if he went to Damascus, I would kill him."

When he was freed from prison, Khaled took up arms against the government. He says he "helped" 35 Syrian army soldiers to defect from the 17th Reserve Division, which was stationed in the country's north-east.

Some of them he kidnapped, selling their possessions to make money for guns.

Sometimes, he says, he joined forces with attractive women to lure "notorious individuals who hurt protesters" with offers of marriage. He spared their lives, but forced them to make defection videos so they could never again serve President Assad. For his first hostage, the ransom was set at 15 Kalashnikovs, or their value in cash.

One man received no such mercy: the guard who tormented Khaled.

"I asked people about [the guard] who worked at the Criminal Security Department until I found him. We followed him home, and took him.

"He told me something that I reminded him of later. When I was in prison, he told me: 'If you leave this prison alive and you manage to capture me, do not have mercy on me' - and that's what I did.

"I took him to a farm near the Central Prison which was a liberated area. I cut off his hand with a butcher's knife. I pulled out his tongue and cut it with scissors. And still I wasn't satisfied.

"I killed him when he begged for it. I came for revenge, so I wasn't afraid.

"Despite all the torture methods I used with him, I don't feel regret or sorrow. On the contrary; if he came back to life again right now I would do the same.

"If there had been an authority to complain to, to say he beats and humiliates prisoners, I wouldn't have done this to him. But there was no-one to complain to and no state to stop him."

Khaled had lost his faith in the revolution. His focus became the daily battle for his own survival. And he would soon find an even darker role in Syria's savage conflict - as an assassin for the jihadist group Islamic State (IS).

There's more at the link.  Recommended reading.

Tragically, I can understand this man all too well, because I've seen the same radicalizing effects of violence in too many African countries over the years.  Ordinary, everyday people like you and I are suddenly traumatized by violence, rape, assault, war - whatever.  Their initial response is often fear, attempts to flee, blind panic.  Most of those who react like that will either die, or "knuckle under" and submit to whatever force, or group, or person, is oppressing them.  However, there will be others who vow revenge;  to do unto their oppressors what is being done unto them.  They become hardened, radicalized, brutalized - as bad as those who wronged them.  It's a vicious cycle, and it's utterly predictable.

The trouble is, they never restrict their radicalization to their enemies.  Sooner or later, everyone becomes an object of suspicion, and disagreement with them, or doing anything they find suspicious or out of the ordinary, becomes proof positive in their minds that you are an enemy.  They won't stop to question their interpretation of your actions or words.  They'll simply act against you, because not to act might give an enemy time to strike at them.  This can lead to the most horrendous atrocities, because they regard themselves as fully justified in striking first, and then in making sure that there can be no retaliation.

Two incidents in my personal experience, from individuals to entire tribes, illustrate this.
  • In Soweto, back in the 1980's, I helped the wife and children of a trade union official who'd been detained by the apartheid government.  I gave them money to help them buy what they needed to survive while he was in prison.  Tragically, I was not careful enough in how I handed over the money.  We were seen, and the local "comrades" (a terrorist-aligned youth group) were informed.  They assumed, with no evidence except the fact of the handover, that she must be a police informer, and that the money I gave her was payment for her information.  That night, they raided her house, dragged her outside, and gang-raped her in front of her three children, forcing them to watch as she screamed.  When she tried to resist, they hacked off both her arms above the elbow, tying off the stumps to prevent her bleeding to death, and continued to abuse her.  When they'd all had their way with her, they put an old car tire around her neck, splashed it with gasoline, and set it on fire, burning her head and shoulders into a charred caricature of a human being while they danced around her burning remains, screaming slogans.
  • In Rwanda, the Hutu tribe (in the majority) massacred hundreds of thousands of Tutsi (the minority tribe) in 1994.  Some estimates put the total killed at over 900,000.  Two million more became refugees, flooding out of Rwanda into surrounding countries.  Formerly neutral people such as pastors, priests, teachers, nurses and doctors turned into tribal radicals, deceiving Hutus into taking refuge in places they suggested (such as churches, schools, etc.), then leading or organizing mobs of Tutsis to attack those places, kill everyone inside, and burn them to the ground.  I've walked through the burned-out shell of a Rwandan church in which over 2,000 people were herded, then the building was set alight.  Those who tried to flee were chopped to pieces (literally) with machetes as they emerged.  The rest died in the fire.  The smell, or rather stench, of burned human flesh was . . . let's just not go there, OK?



Africa is hardly alone in such atrocities.  Look at Mexico today, with the cartel killers running rampant.  Look at Nazi Germany or the former Soviet Union, where tens of thousands enthusiastically joined government forces to repress, torture and murder those whom the regimes classified as enemies, or aliens, or "subhumans".  Go back through history, and the same story is repeated over and over and over again.  No nation or people or tribe is immune, and none can boast of historically clean hands.

Khaled, and those like him, are merely the latest in a long line of people who have turned to evil.  There will be more.  We need to be aware of that reality, and understand that it can happen anywhere, at any time.  The only way we can prevent it - and even that isn't foolproof:  consider sociopaths, for example - is to prevent the conditions that engender it from arising.  As Edmund Burke so wisely said, "The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing".

Peter

Friday, May 11, 2018

An often overlooked but very useful self-defense tool


The good, old-fashioned police truncheon (often called a baton, nightstick or billy club in the USA) was no slouch at quieting restless individuals.  It has a rich and storied history, sometimes favorable, sometimes notorious, usually depending on which side of the truncheon the historian was standing at the time.

The Truth About Knives has brought us a couple of historic videos of how to use this implement.  Recommended viewing.








I have one handy near the front door, just in case of need.  Oh - you ask where you can get them?  Modern substitutes are freely available at low cost, both online and in auto parts stores.  Useful, that.  They're often not legal to carry outside your home, so check your local laws and regulations.  I have one in my vehicle, too - to check my tires, of course.  After all, that's its purpose.  It says so, right there on the shaft!

Peter

Preparing for publication


Over at Mad Genius Club, I wrote this morning about two programs that prepare your word-processed manuscript for e-book and/or print publication.  I review them both in not too much detail, and provide screen-shots of what their output looks like.

If you've ever wondered how many writers (including yours truly) prepare their books for publication, the article will give you a pretty good idea of how it's done.

Peter

Is the cat among the FBI's pigeons?


If an article in today's Wall Street Journal is correct, the FBI may have been spying on the Trump campaign - illegally - for months before the 2016 presidential election.  It may even have been manipulated by the Obama administration into doing so.

The Department of Justice lost its latest battle with Congress Thursday when it allowed House Intelligence Committee members to view classified documents about a top-secret intelligence source that was part of the FBI’s investigation of the Trump campaign. Even without official confirmation of that source’s name, the news so far holds some stunning implications.

Among them is that the Justice Department and Federal Bureau of Investigation outright hid critical information from a congressional investigation. In a Thursday press conference, Speaker Paul Ryan bluntly noted that Intelligence Chairman Devin Nunes’s request for details on this secret source was “wholly appropriate,” “completely within the scope” of the committee’s long-running FBI investigation, and “something that probably should have been answered a while ago.” Translation: The department knew full well it should have turned this material over to congressional investigators last year, but instead deliberately concealed it.

. . .

This is desperation, and it strongly suggests that whatever is in these files is going to prove very uncomfortable to the FBI ... Ergo, we might take this to mean that the FBI secretly had a person on the payroll who used his or her non-FBI credentials to interact in some capacity with the Trump campaign.

This would amount to spying, and it is hugely disconcerting.

. . .

I believe I know the name of the informant, but my intelligence sources did not provide it to me and refuse to confirm it. It would therefore be irresponsible to publish it. But what is clear is that we’ve barely scratched the surface of the FBI’s 2016 behavior, and the country will never get the straight story until President Trump moves to declassify everything possible. It’s time to rip off the Band-Aid.

There's more at the link.  Please, click over there and read the entire article.  It's potentially very important indeed.

If this report proves to be correct, it will mean - in so many words - that the FBI, the USA's premier law enforcement agency, was suborned and taken over for partisan political purposes by the Obama administration.  That will be catastrophic for the FBI's reputation, so much so that the agency may not survive in its present form.  It would join the IRS as being irreparably harmed by the taint of corruption for political purposes.

One way or another, this must be addressed and unmasked completely.  Only with full disclosure can the nation as a whole decide whether the FBI is trustworthy, or whether it should be abolished and replaced by something more trustworthy.  At present, in the absence of full disclosure - not to mention the FBI's dogged, determined battle to obstruct and prevent it ever happening - suspicion must tend towards the latter option.

Peter

Sounds like a match made in (the) heaven(s)


It was reported yesterday that the US Coast Guard is looking for a number of long-range reconnaissance unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV's) for coastal patrol.

The US Coast Guard issued a request for demonstrations of long-range, ultra-endurance unmanned aerial vehicles to conduct intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance missions in US coastal transit zones that are highly trafficked by illegal drug and migrant smugglers.

The requested drone would be land-based, must have the ability to fly for more than 24h and a service ceiling of 15,000ft above sea level, according to the Department of Homeland Security’s RFP. The UAV’s sensor payload must be able to discern activity associated with drug and migrant smuggling aboard anchored and moving maritime targets.

. . .

... the US Coast Guard is looking for an aircraft with a patrol airspeed of at least 50kt (93km/h). It must also include maritime payloads such as an electro-optical and infrared full motion video system, a maritime surveillance radar, a radio frequency and direction finding sensor, and a tactical communications radio and data link.

There's more at the link.

Interestingly, the US Air Force retired its MQ-1 Predator UAV's earlier this year, putting about 150 of them into storage pending disposal.

First Lt. Annabel Monroe, a spokeswoman for Air Combat Command, said that the Air Force is still figuring out what it will do with its retiring Predator fleet. Some could be transferred to Air Force museums, and the Air Force is exploring the possibility of transferring some to the Navy.

But the Air Force won’t sell them to private organizations, Monroe said, and does not expect to sell or give them to allied nations through the Excess Defense Article Program for Security Cooperation.

Again, more at the link.

The Predator's specifications appear to meet or exceed every one of the Coast Guard's requirements.  According to the USAF, they include:

Payload: 450 pounds (204 kilograms)
Speed: cruise speed around 84 mph (70 knots), up to 135 mph
Range: 770 miles (675 nautical miles)
Ceiling: 25,000 feet (7,620 meters)

I'm willing to bet the official range figure cited above is conservative.  Predators have demonstrated an endurance of 24 hours during operations, although obviously that didn't involve prolonged high-speed transits or carrying a heavy weapon load (neither of which is a USCG requirement).  They cost $20 million apiece - and they're just sitting there, waiting for a new home or for disposal.  The Coast Guard could, effectively, get as many as it needs for free, needing only to pay for their sensor packages to be upgraded to something more suitable for the USCG's mission.  (I wonder if they could be "plumbed" to carry auxiliary fuel tanks on their weapons stations?  That would extend their range even further.)

I presume the USCG and the USAF are already talking to each other.  If they aren't, why not?  The USCG has already taken over most of the C-27 Spartan transports the USAF discarded some years ago.  Looks like they could once again augment their fleet courtesy of the USAF.

Peter

Thursday, May 10, 2018

Colleges, universities, and globular worming


Aaron Clarey brings his customary wit and sharpness to bear on colleges and universities, and their contribution to (alleged) global warming.

The internet has made colleges obsolete.

Of course, colleges don't know that yet.  They and their administrative bloat staff need physical college campuses to continue on otherwise they would have to get real jobs in the real world.

. . .

Nearly every participant in today's physical colleges - professors, administrators and the students themselves - have a financial and/or psychological interest in keeping this obsolete horse-and-buggy industry around inspite of the "car of the internet" being developed 20 years ago.

I will delve into why colleges need to be eliminated (and the trillions of dollars in benefits that would confer upon the US and the world in general) in a later article.  But for now I want to use the obsolescence of American colleges to highlight a hypocrisy which should make even the most leftist leftists call into question their integrity, veracity, and practicality.

Global warming.

I personally do not believe in global warming.  My IQ is simply too high, plus I have street smarts and know a scam when I see one.  But let's say I did.  And not only that I did, but I was a adamant environmentalist.

. . .

I'm no environmentalist, but there are roughly 21 million college students in the US today.  Some of these college campuses have over 50,000 students and are veritable large cities.  If the cost of attending an accredited online college is a fraction of what it costs to attend a physical one, and we could eliminate SIGNIFICANT greenhouse gas emissions by eliminating physical college campuses, why on god's green Earth (pun intended) would any global-warming believing student, AND CERTAINLY ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES DEPARTMENTS, insist on attending a physical college?

Of course, the answer isn't because they haven't thought of it.  Professors, college administrators, and students are FULLY aware it would be cheaper and much better for the environment to replace physical colleges with digital ones.  It's once again a glaring exposure of the environmentalist and academic left's true ulterior motivation.  They don't give a damn about the environment.  They only give a damn about their cushy, worthless jobs.  They know that one GOOD professor can teach millions of students for pennies on the dollar online compared to the thousands of professors and the tens of thousands of college admin staff that is needed to run these now-pointless, unnecessary physical institutions.  And if online colleges were ever to establish a beachhead, they would be forced to do what use real world, real adult, hard working Americans do every day - work a real job.

. . .

It would be one thing if these academics, professors, and admins actually provided something of value in exchange for 4 years of childrens' youth and $100,000 in tuition.  But most of the products they are offering are completely worthless.

If only there were accredited online colleges that offered worthwhile degrees for a fraction of the cost and greenhouse gas emissions...

Oh wait.

There's more at the link.  Recommended reading.

I can confirm the value of "distance education" - whether the old-fashioned way, by mail, or using the Internet - from personal experience.  Two of my four university qualifications were obtained by distance education, receiving tuition materials by mail, submitting assignments the same way, and studying in my own home on my own time.  That allowed me to study at much cheaper rates than a full-time university, and I doubt very much whether my tertiary education was any less challenging and rigorous than the latter's offerings.  I continue to recommend such study as not only an economic solution to those who are financially challenged, but also a highly valuable exercise in self-discipline.

With so many courses now available online, I think that unless your field of study requires lab work or practical, hands-on exercises under supervision, there's no longer much point in doing undergraduate studies at a full-time university.  Post-graduate may be an exception, but even that's questionable in many fields.  Given that online interaction, particularly with video and voice, is often more consistent and less distracted than being in the same classroom, I think Aaron makes a good case.

Peter

So much for emotional support animals


Considering our recent discussion of emotional support animals (ESA's), I couldn't help laughing at yesterday's Pearls Before Swine comic strip.  Click the image for a larger version at the comic's Web page.




I still think the best ESA story I've ever heard of comes from the boss of Dreadnaught Industries here in Texas.  He registered a longhorn steer as his emotional support animal!  I'd pay money to watch the reactions of airline employees as he tried to take that on board a plane with him . . .




Peter

A moral, ethical and behavioral quandary


I note that members of the BDSM community (involving such unsavory topics as bondage, discipline, dominance and submission, sadism & masochism) are frustrated by the publicity surrounding the resignation of New York State Attorney-General Eric Schneiderman.

Many members of what’s widely known as the kink community are outraged that Eric Schneiderman, in resigning as New York’s attorney general, depicted his alleged violence toward several women as “role-playing and other consensual sexual activity.”

Aficionados of kinky sex noted that Schneiderman’s accusers insisted they had given no consent — which is considered obligatory among most practitioners of kink.

The story brought new attention to the world of kink that’s often known as BDSM — standing for variations of bondage, dominance, submission and masochism. The practice — though still a taboo topic in some respects — has made incursions into the cultural mainstream in recent years, in part because of the popularity of the “Fifty Shades of Grey” novels and films.

. . .

Ronan Farrow, co-author of the New Yorker story that first revealed the allegations against Schneiderman, told CNN that the accusers made clear “that this was not role-playing, that this was not ‘Fifty Shades of Grey.’ It wasn’t in a gray area at all.”

Ej Dickson, an editor with MensHealth.com who writes often about dating and sex, wrote Tuesday that the kink community “puts a premium on consent.”

“It is one of the very basic tenets of BDSM,” she wrote. “Often, sex acts will be negotiated beforehand in the form of contracts, and either way, anyone practicing BDSM responsibly will implement a ‘safe word’ to make it clear if they are uncomfortable with anything happening.”

There's more at the link.

I'm afraid the concerns of the BDSM community leave me cold.  Instead of worrying about bad publicity, perhaps its members should instead consider the state of their psychological and psychiatric health.  Anyone who enjoys inflicting or receiving pain, and advocates for that to be both tolerated and encouraged, has forfeited my sympathy entirely.  I've seen too many examples of rape, torture and violence to be under any illusions about the reality of pain.  Consent is irrelevant.  Anyone who's volunteered at a shelter for battered women and children, or had to deal with the reality and tragic aftermath of child abuse, knows exactly what I mean.

Peter

A big boy and his (VERY) big toys


I had to laugh at this "little big rig", which I noticed at IOTWReport.com.  The initial video, in .GIF format, is silent.





Intrigued, I looked for more information, and found this video on YouTube.  It's clearly of the same vehicle.





Apparently it was built by Walt Moss Trucking in Wisconsin.  You can read more about the project here.  Mr. Moss has produced several other highly modified vehicles using trucks and truck parts.





Fun stuff!  Thanks to Mr. Moss for brightening up my day with his ingenuity.

Peter

Wednesday, May 9, 2018

Doofus Of The Day #1,009


Today's award goes to the South Wales Police in formerly great Britain.

South Wales Police has been testing an automated facial recognition system since June 2017 and has used it in the real-world at more than ten events. In the majority of cases, the system has made more incorrect matches than the times it has been able to correctly identify a potential suspect or offender.

. . .

During the UEFA Champions League Final week in Wales last June, when the facial recognition cameras were used for the first time, there were 2,470 alerts of possible matches from the automated system. Of these 2,297 turned out to be false positives and 173 were correctly identified – 92 per cent of matches were incorrect. A spokesperson for the force blamed the low quality of images in its database and the fact that it was the first time the system had been used.

. . .

"These figures show that not only is real-time facial recognition a threat to civil liberties, it is a dangerously inaccurate policing tool," says Silkie Carlo the director of rights group Big Brother Watch. The group is planning on launching a campaign against facial recognition tech in parliament later this month. "South Wales’ statistics show that the tech misidentifies innocent members of the public at a terrifying rate, whilst there are only a handful of occasions where it has supported a genuine policing purpose," Carlo adds.

. . .

South Wales Police, in its privacy assessment of the technology, says it is a "significant advantage" that no "co-operation" is required from a person.

. . .

... Martin Evison[,] a forensic science professor who has researched police recognition techniques at Northumbria University [says] "If you get a false positive match, you automatically make a suspect of somebody that is perfectly innocent."

There's more at the link.

Only in cloud cuckoo land could a "success" rate of just 7% (173 correct matches out of 2,470 alerts) be regarded as acceptable!  The police force argues that matches found by the system are investigated by an officer, who determines whether or not it's accurate:  but that still means an awful lot of innocent citizens are going to be pestered by police.  What happened to the right to privacy, or, as it might be better termed, "the right to be left alone"?

The Fourth Amendment forms the basis of a “right to privacy,” the right to be left alone, as Justice Louis Brandeis put it. The enjoyment of financial and personal privacy is fundamental to a free and civil society. True liberty is to be able to walk down the street, cash a check, buy goods, talk on the telephone, or take a trip without being hassled, hounded, followed, or interrogated by government agents. People should be able to get away from the madding crowds without being followed or asked stupid questions.

Again, more at the link.

Sadly, the South Wales Police are anything but alone in introducing facial recognition software.  It may already be too late to implement civil rights safeguards against its misuse.  Sadly, far too few people care about their privacy to be bothered with it.  Those of us who do are dismissed as old fogeys, dinosaurs who've failed to keep up with the times.  Frankly, given many of the times I encounter, I'll gladly flaunt that label - and I'll label as Doofi all those who are either prepared to invade others' privacy willy-nilly, and/or are prepared to be treated like that!

Peter

A good reason to avoid valet parking - and perhaps Hyatt Hotels, too?


Courtesy of a link provided by Miguel at Gun Free Zone, we learn of this incident.




And here's one of the photographs accompanying the Facebook post.




Miguel offers his own opinions on the incident.

My take on this is that every employee involved should be summarily fired.  If this isn't misconduct, I don't know what is!  They might claim they were checking to see if the car contained anything that might be a security risk, but it's pretty clear that they were just itching to check out a guest's fancy ride.  So much for guest privacy and their rights to private property!

If Hyatt doesn't act, and do so publicly and promptly, it'll be conclusive evidence that we should try to book our hotel accommodation anywhere else but with them!




Peter

An unexpected road hazard


While driving home from Amarillo yesterday, Miss D. and I passed an 18-wheeler parked on the side of the road.  Two of its rear tires had blown out, and strips and fragments of rubber and steel littered the road for several hundred yards.

Somewhere in that distance, without our being aware of it, a piece of tire rubber wrapped itself around the driver's side front wheel steering arm and drive shaft, on the inside of the wheel.  We didn't notice it at highway speeds, because it didn't affect the handling of the car in any way;  but when we turned off the highway and slowed to normal speeds, on the last leg of our journey home, it was obvious (from the sound) that something was rubbing against something else.  When we arrived home, we looked inside the wheel well, and found the problem.  The rubber strip may have damaged the lining of the wheel well, and we couldn't see anything else it might have done.

This morning we dropped off the car at our local mechanic, who will check it out and make sure everything's operating normally.  We may have to wait while he orders a new lining for the wheel well, but the car should be usable in the interim.

I just thought I'd mention it because this sort of incident is tricky.  We could have unwrapped the rubber strip ourselves, with a bit of bending and twisting, but there are brake lines and electrical connections in the area that one really doesn't want to damage.  If they let go in future, without warning, they could cause a nasty problem.  We'd rather pay someone now to check everything out and make sure that won't be an issue in future.

Peter

When religious faith leads to monomaniacal murder


I'm a man of faith, a retired pastor, and I have no intention of changing my beliefs.  I can generally get along with almost anyone of any faith (or none), given mutual respect and tolerance.  However, when I read a story like this one from Pakistan, it breaks my heart.  Bold print is my emphasis.

While girls were buried in pre-Islamic period as unwanted creature, cruel souls in Karachi are a step ahead: they kill and throw them at garbage. This nameless girl is not the only victim of barbarity. From January 2017 to April 2018, Edhi foundation and Chhipa Welfare organisation have found 345 such new born babies dumped in garbage in Karachi only and 99 percent of them were girls.

"We have been dealing with such cases for years and there are a few such incidents which shook our souls as much. It left us wondering whether our society is heading back to primitive age,” Anwar Kazmi, a senior manager in Edhi Foundation Karachi, told The News.

. . .

In many major cities of Pakistan, Edhi foundation installed ‘Jhoolas’ (baby cradles) so that the people should leave unwanted children there instead of killing them. The number of such sites is in hundreds across the country but this initiative received little success. One of the reasons for the lack of response to such ‘Jhoolas’ is wrath of religious leadership which believe this will promote illegitimacy.

. . .

“We have seen so many horrible incidents. One such incident which still I remember despite passage of more than a decade is the stoning of a new born baby who was found outside mosque”, says Mr. Kazmi.

“A few people found a baby at the door step of a mosque in Karachi and they handed the baby over to the prayer leader. The cleric decried that this is an illegitimate baby therefore he should be stoned. Resultantly the baby was stoned to death. I tried to register a case against the cleric but nothing happened”, narrated Kazmi.

There's more at the link, and in this report.

I would ask how any human being could be so warped and twisted as to blame an innocent child, who did not ask to be conceived or born, for the sins of his or her parents . . . but then I remember the label "illegitimate" that Christian nations used to attach to infants born out of wedlock.  It's completely wrong, of course.  According to the Christian moral code, those children are not "illegitimate" at all;  the sin is their parents', not the child's.  However, that didn't stop such children growing up with a real stigma attached to them until very recently.  It might affect their prospects for marriage, work, and in many other areas.

There are those who claim that religion is at the root of most of the world's evils.  When one reads reports like this, it's very hard to defend one's faith against such claims.  Of course, they're not true:  evil human beings have committed those crimes and sins, not God, and to blame God for the actions of sinners is nothing more or less than a cop-out.  (Unbelievers will retort that God doesn't exist, so why not blame those who act - or claim to act - in his name?)  I won't go down that rat-hole here . . . but I will mourn today for that little girl, stoned to death at the command of an alleged religious leader who deserves nothing more than to suffer the same punishment.  I wouldn't like to be in his shoes when he comes to face his own Judgment.

Peter

Tuesday, May 8, 2018

On the road today


Miss D. and I are visiting friend and fellow author Alma Boykin today, and speaking to her high school class about Africa and its post-World-War-II history.  She likes them to get a feel for how things really were, rather than the sanitized, skimmed-over pablum served up by their textbook, and pulls in outsiders with experience to discuss such things.  It's kinda fun.

Blogging will be light for most of today, although I'll try to post later this afternoon, travel permitting.  Meanwhile, please amuse yourselves with the folks in the sidebar.

Peter

Monday, May 7, 2018

Amazon reviews by scientists?


The Washington Post reports:

Last month, John Birch left a four-star review on Amazon for a tea strainer, which his son had purchased to separate ants for a zoology experiment. No big deal. The review sat quietly on the site until this week, when other scientists found it, shared it and instantly started a Twitter trend.

We lay-folk have long known that scientists use common objects for strange reasons — see NASA researchers sending rubber ducks into a glacier to track ocean currents, or environmental scientists floating tampons down streams to find pollution. But until now, we may not have understood the scope or, frankly, the grossness of the phenomenon.

We present below: #ReviewForScience, an abridged collection.

Let's just say there are worse things you can put through a tea strainer than ants.

There's more at the link.

Here are a couple of examples of the "reviews".  Click each image to be taken to a larger version on the Twitter page.






Clearly, scientists have vivid imaginations . . .  So do military men, of course.  Tampons and sanitary pads as wound dressings?  Got you covered.  Stockings as air filters?  BTDT.  Sugar as sabotage tool?  Oh, yeah.

Peter

Heh


Found on Gab yesterday:




Also this, in the same thread:




Given my recent purchase of an Apple computer for desktop publishing purposes, I had to laugh.  Fortunately, it hasn't yet tempted me to take off my clothes and run naked through the garden - nor has it crashed!




Peter

Sunday, May 6, 2018

Sunday morning music


Let's have a little movie music this morning.  One of my favorite movie soundtracks is from the 1992 film "The Last of the Mohicans".  It combines Celtic rhythms and American frontier experiences into an unforgettable musical experience (and it's also a pretty good movie!).

Here's the main musical theme from the movie, "Promontory".





The full soundtrack from the movie is available on YouTube. Recommended listening.

Peter

Saturday, May 5, 2018

Rally drivers and their cars at their spectacular best


Here's a great video of some spectacular moments from the 2017-2018 rally season (so far, at least).





Mad skillz indeed!




Peter

The biggest security risk to computers so far this century?


The so-called Spectre vulnerability, making it easier to hack into computer systems thanks to the way modern microprocessors handle branch conditions, has been of concern for several months.  However, it now appears that the problem is much, much worse than originally feared.  German computer magazine C'T reports:

A total of eight new security flaws in Intel CPUs have already been reported to the manufacturer by several teams of researchers. For now, details on the flaws are being kept secret. All eight are essentially caused by the same design problem – you could say that they are Spectre Next Generation.

. . .

One of the Spectre-NG flaws simplifies attacks across system boundaries to such an extent that we estimate the threat potential to be significantly higher than with Spectre. Specifically, an attacker could launch exploit code in a virtual machine (VM) and attack the host system from there – the server of a cloud hoster, for example. Alternatively, it could attack the VMs of other customers running on the same server. Passwords and secret keys for secure data transmission are highly sought-after targets on cloud systems and are acutely endangered by this gap. Intel's Software Guard Extensions (SGX), which are designed to protect sensitive data on cloud servers, are also not Spectre-safe.

Although attacks on other VMs or the host system were already possible in principle with Spectre, the real-world implementation required so much prior knowledge that it was extremely difficult. However, the aforementioned Spectre-NG vulnerability can be exploited quite easily for attacks across system boundaries, elevating the threat potential to a new level. Cloud service providers such as Amazon or Cloudflare and, of course, their customers are particularly affected.

. . .

Overall, the Spectre-NG gaps show that Spectre and Meltdown were not a one-off slip-up. It is not just a simple gap that could be plugged with a few patches. Rather, it seems that for each fixed issue, two others crop up. This is the result of the fact that during the past twenty years, safety considerations have only played second fiddle to performance in processor development.

An end to patches for hardware problems of the Spectre category is not in sight. But a never-ending flood of patches is not an acceptable solution. You can't shrug off the fact that the core component of our entire IT infrastructure has a fundamental security problem that will keep leading to more problems.

There's more at the link.  Some similar errors have been detected in AMD microprocessors as well.

This is an absolutely fundamental level of computer operations - in other words, any program (or hacker) gaining access to the central processing unit at this level can bypass almost every computer security program ever written.  Its implications for data privacy and control are absolutely horrendous.  As Karl Denninger points out:

Every one of you stupid ******* firms -- and governments -- that have put your crap in the cloud have already had it stolen along with all of your encryption keys.

If you think hostile governments don't know already know about and haven't been actively exploiting it for quite some time by now you're dumber than a box of ****ing rocks.

. . .

IF YOU GIVE A SINGLE **** ABOUT DATA SECURITY CLOUD IS, AS OF RIGHT NOW, DEAD, BURIED, AND RADIOACTIVE WASTE.

Again, more at the link.

Mr. Denninger is not exaggerating.  Most large corporations use so-called "cloud computing", keeping their data and critical software on third-party (i.e. remote) servers, which are not under their direct control.  Even the most sensitive organs of the US government, its security services, are doing the same.  Effectively, every one of those organizations is now vulnerable to hackers who can exploit the chips in the computers that run the "cloud", and access even the (supposedly) secure data in it.

This is absolutely horrendous for modern business and commerce, which depends on the Internet and its "cloud" data handling infrastructure for many of its most critical functions.  Every consumer was already at risk due to poor privacy and security provisions in most programs and data storage applications.  Now that risk has become a virtual certainty that our data has been compromised by malicious hackers - or, if it hasn't, it soon will be, because the hardware, the very chips that run almost all modern computer programs, are vulnerable.  Their manufacturers emphasized speed of processing over security measures - and now that's biting them (and us) where it hurts the most.  Worse, the new security "layers" that will have to be built into future computer processors will inevitably mean that they're much slower than current models.  That'll have a drastic effect on the efficiency of all data processing, whether in the "cloud" or not.

Effectively, any nation that wishes another nation harm can bring its computer-based commerce to a grinding halt by exploiting these vulnerabilities.  I suppose we're in for another "Mutually Assured Destruction" environment, where the only thing stopping that happening is the greater or lesser certainty that if one country does it to another, it'll be done in reverse as well.  If a nation thinks it can "insulate" its information technology infrastructure from such a counter-attack, it'll have little or no incentive to hold back its own computer aggression.

If the C'T report is true, the implications of this are simply staggering.

Peter

Friday, May 4, 2018

If they can't take our guns and ammo, they'll make it difficult to buy them


Anti-gun forces are exploring a new avenue of attack against law-abiding buyers of firearms and ammunition.

Banks and credit-card companies are discussing ways to identify purchases of guns in their payment systems, a move that could be a prelude to restricting such transactions, according to people familiar with the talks.

. . .

The financial companies have explored creating a new credit-card code for firearms dealers, similar to how they code restaurants or department stores, according to people familiar with the matter. Another idea would require merchants to share information about specific firearm products consumers are buying, some of the people said.

Such data could allow banks to restrict purchases at certain businesses or monitor them.

. . .

Even a move to monitor gun purchases would be contentious, highlighting concerns about the use of consumer data and Wall Street’s involvement in a sensitive political area.

“There’s a privacy angle here,” said Adam Levitin, professor of law at Georgetown University. “There’s the slippery slope danger if it’s guns today maybe it is pornography tomorrow and the day after it’s right-wing literature.”

. . .

How companies use data generated by people’s activities has become a flashpoint in the wake of the controversy about the harvesting of consumers’ personal information and activities at Facebook Inc. by outside companies.

“A bank could say, ‘We’re not going to do business with gun manufacturers,’ ” said Jeremy Stein, a former member of the Federal Reserve Board of governors who currently is an economics professor at Harvard University. “But when it gets into using the information, you’re getting into the same issues Facebook and others had problems with.”

. . .

Citigroup, following the Feb. 14 Parkland shooting, adopted a new code of conduct for gun dealers and manufacturers the bank does business with. The code includes firearms retailers restricting sales for buyers under age 21 ... The policy “does not impact the ability of Citi customers to use their credit and debit cards for the legal purchase of firearms,” according to a bank spokesman. He added that the bank “is focused on implementing its firearms policy and not on conversations around identifying gun purchases.”

A spokesman for Bank of America said the bank’s policy is to stop making new loans to manufacturers of certain kinds of assault rifles sold to civilians. He said the bank isn’t involved in discussions about credit cards.

. . .

At least one large U.S. bank has had early conversations with lawmakers about potential legislation to require merchants to share information about specific gun-related products consumers are buying with their cards, according to people familiar with the matter.

There's more at the link.

This is, of course, an attempt to impose anti-gun sentiment on firearm-neutral laws and regulations.  The same people who censor and "no-platform" conservative and right-wing voices on Facebook, Twitter, etc. are more than willing to make it much more difficult for law-abiding firearms purchasers to pursue their legal business activities.  Bank of America is already doing that to certain firearms manufacturers, and as a result has lost any prospect of doing business with me.  Wells Fargo has (so far) resisted similar pressures, to its credit (you should pardon the expression).

The anti-gunners aren't going to give up.  They're "true believers".  They know they're right, with a fervor that's almost messianic.  They won't listen to reason, only to their feelings.  We're going to have to expect more of this from them in future.  Meanwhile, if you want to use your credit card or checking account to buy a gun or guns, or stock up on low-cost ammunition from online vendors, now might be a good time to do so.  I suspect you'll have a lot more trouble doing so in future.  I foresee a lot more guns being bought for cash, or two individuals each buying a gun they know the other wants, then giving it to the other for Christmas, or a birthday, or something like that.  That way, there's no record of who ends up the owner of the thing - and the gift of a firearm is entirely legal in terms of the regulations, provided it's not a regular thing that comes to resemble trading activity.

Ultimately, the only way to stop this sort of nonsense is to educate people - and the anti-gunners want to block every possible avenue for us to do that.  Oh, well . . . if we can't do it for groups of people, we'll have to tackle it one person at a time.  As the USCCA points out:




That's the way.

Peter

"Pizza Zen"???


Food for thought?

A new pop-up museum dedicated entirely to pizza will soon hit New York City.

The Museum of Pizza will feature immersive pizza-inspired rooms -- like a pizza art gallery, cheese cave, pizza beach, and pizza meditation -- as well as exclusive film screenings.

. . .

The Museum of Pizza will run from October 13 through October 28.

There's more at the link.

According to the museum's Web site:

Though we're still finalizing our full range of exhibits, museum goers can expect to be treated to unique and arresting set of installations, including:
  • The Museum of Pizza artists gallery
  • Pizza cave
  • Pizza fun house
  • Pizza beach
  • The interactive history (and untold story) of Pizza
  • "Pizza Zen" sense & sound experience
  • The MoPi Arcade
  • The official MoPi Pizza Films screening room and media lab
  • and more

There's also a rather NSFW video promoting the forthcoming museum.  Watch it at your own risk!

We recently looked at some rather weird New York City pizzas, but this looks even weirder!  "Pizza meditation"?  "Pizza Zen"?  What is that, precisely?  To paraphrase a well-known Zen koan, "What is the sound of one pizza topping?"

On the other hand, perhaps it's not all that strange.  Pizza does seem to be almost a religion to some devotees.  I note that an airline will be delivering hot, fresh New York pizza to Los Angeles for a couple of days next week, as part of a special promotion.  I wonder . . . will it be delivered all squashed up from overcrowded cattle-class seating, with a recording (lasting as long as the duration of the flight) of kids screaming and crying in the background, for customers' listening pleasure while they eat it?




Peter

Thursday, May 3, 2018

Another teaser


I'm hard at work editing the first book in the "Cochrane's Company" trilogy, "The Stones of Silence", for publication in a few days' time.  I showed you an earlier version of the cover some time ago, along with a teaser excerpt.  Here's how the final cover will look.




And, to whet your appetite even further, here's the cover for Book 2 (from which I published a teaser excerpt earlier).




I discussed the trilogy, and the process of creating and editing it, in an article over at Mad Genius Club last week.  Please click over there if you'd like to learn more.  It's a lot of hard work preparing three books at once, but I hope this experiment will bear good fruit.

Peter

Illinois: Talk about a hidden debt bomb!


In the past, I've written about the debt incurred by State governments, with particular reference to Illinois.  Now comes news that the "visible" debt in that State may be matched by a similar amount held by school boards - but not listed with other State debts.

Illinoisans hear plenty about the state’s ballooning pension debt, its billions in unpaid bills and rising bond debts. In fact, many even know about the local pension crises playing out in cities like Harvey and North Chicago.

But most don’t know that the state’s 860 school districts have put Illinoisans on the hook for another $21 billion in debt. In 2002, it was just $12.3 billion. That growing burden is just another reason Illinoisans pay the nation’s highest property taxes.

. . .

That increase could be explained if Illinois was a fast growing state with many new students and a need for more infrastructure. But the opposite is true. Illinois’ student population is flat when compared to 2002.

There's more at the link.

We calculated last year that, at Illinois' then-current total state debt, every resident of that state - every man, woman and child - was on the hook for $16,447 as their share of that debt.  According to the article cited above, school board debt in Illinois amounts to an additional $10,388 per student.  Since most students don't have any money of their own, that amount should, in reality, be added to their parents' share of the state debt load.

I'm glad I don't live in Illinois . . . and I'm sure it's not the only state with that sort of hidden debt burden.  Readers might want to investigate their own states, to see what their situation might be.

Peter

Yet another reason to Build The Wall


A more secure southern border isn't just needed to keep out illegal aliens:  it's also a very important crime prevention measure.  The Guardian reports:

Latin America has suffered more than 2.5m murders since the start of this century and is facing an acute public security crisis that demands urgent and innovative solutions, a new report warns.

“The sheer dimensions of homicidal violence are breathtaking,” says the report by the IgarapĂ© Institute, a Brazil-based thinktank focused on security and development issues.

. . .

Latin America suffers 33% of the world’s homicides despite having only 8% of its population. One-quarter of all global homicides are concentrated in four countries – Brazil, Colombia, Mexico and Venezuela – all of which are gearing up for presidential elections in which security is a dominant theme.

“The overall trend right now in Latin America is one of increasing homicides and deteriorating security,” said Robert Muggah, one of the report’s authors.

“Latin America is a large area and there are lots of variations. But as a region – including Mexico down to Central America and South America – the rate of homicide is set to continue increasing up until 2030. The only other places we are seeing similar kinds of increases are in parts of southern and central Africa and some war zones.”

There's more at the link.

This dismal forecast is supported by Mexico's appalling - and increasing - murder rate, up 27% in 2017 over the previous year, and up a further 20% during the first quarter of this year.

We can't keep such violence from washing up against our borders . . . but we should be doing everything possible to prevent it crossing our borders.  A border wall alone won't be sufficient, but it'll be a damned sight better than the mockery of border security that we have at present, with a recent surge in illegal crossings demonstrating its inadequacy in the clearest possible terms.

Peter

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Why can't American auto manufacturers make a profit on cars?


I note that Ford has announced it'll stop production of all its cars except the Mustang, concentrating instead on a range of SUV's and pickup trucks.  This follows Chrysler's move in the same direction two years ago.

The question is, why can foreign manufacturers such as Toyota, Honda, Hyundai, etc. make a profit on their automobiles, while the Big Three can't?  I suspect that problem goes all the way back to the 1980's, when foreign imports savaged sales of US autos.  I don't know that the quality of US cars (as opposed to trucks and SUV's) ever caught up with the competition after that.  (Of course, I wasn't here for part of that period, but since I came to the US in the late 1990's, I've consistently experienced foreign-designed autos as being better made and equipped, and more comfortable, than most of their local equivalents.)

Ford argues, as did Chrysler a couple of years ago, that car buyers' tastes have changed.  That may be so . . . but why?  Are car buyers' tastes actually changing, or are US auto manufacturers deliberately trying to change those tastes?  Their advertising, marketing and promotions appear to suggest that.  Is that an attempt to undercut "foreign" competition (by now mostly made in the USA)?  Are the US manufacturers admitting, in so many words, that they can't produce cars as well, or make them as attractive, as foreign models, and therefore they're going to solve their problem by driving down the demand for cars, trying to make them less desirable overall?  I can't help but think that's part of it.

There's also regulation, of course.  Until very recently, the CAFE standards mandated a fuel economy "average" across a manufacturer's range that was growing more and more unrealistic.  It could only be achieved by producing a proportion of extraordinarily economical cars, to offset gas-guzzling SUV's and pickups - cars that were so focused on fuel economy that they skimped on other amenities, and were therefore less popular with the buying public.  Foreign manufacturers, making fewer SUV's and almost no big pickups, were not subject to the same disadvantage, and could therefore make their cars less economical, but more desirable to consumers.  (I suspect that a large element of the overproduction problem plaguing US car manufacturers is precisely this need to make large numbers of highly fuel-economical cars that were, frankly, not wanted by the buying public.)

Another very important element is that new vehicle prices are becoming unaffordable for ordinary Americans.  I wrote about that last month.  When a new car costs as much, or more than, the average annual income of a working-class family . . . something's got to give, and it'll be the sale of that vehicle, more often than not.  The Big Three will doubtless claim that their input costs are rising, therefore their prices are too:  but one of the claims made by both Chrysler and Ford is that they're turning away from cars, and towards SUV's and pickups, specifically because the latter are more profitable.  In other words, they can price them higher, because consumers find them more desirable.  In a free market, of course, one charges what the market will bear . . . but what if the Big Three become accustomed to living on those higher profit margins, and the market collapses due to other economic factors?  Will they be able to survive if they have no low-margin, low-profit offerings that people can still afford to buy?  IMHO, that's questionable.

All in all, when I look at the US auto industry (and the Big Three in particular), I see companies trying to force the market into what they want, rather than trying to respond to what the market really wants.  Until recently, the US government was trying to do the same thing.  In either or both case(s), I'm not sure that's sustainable.

Peter

New York in 1911 - history captured on film


I'm obliged to The Last Tradition for publishing the link to this footage of New York City in 1911, which has been very nicely restored.  For history buffs, it makes fascinating viewing.





It's sobering to think that everyone in those images is dead by now.  I wonder what they would have said if they could have foreseen World War I, the Great Depression, World War II, and so on?  Those storm clouds would not have been even a shadow on the horizon in 1911 . . .

I wonder whether, 107 years from now, someone will be viewing video (or the then-current technology) of us, walking around our streets in 2018, and ask a similar question?

Peter

Two perspectives on the prospects for societal breakdown in the USA


I've written a number of articles on various aspects of emergency preparedness.  I'm by no means an over-the-top zombie-apocalypse "prepper", but I believe that a certain amount of common-sense planning and basic preparations for an emergency should be part of everyone's lifestyle.  Nevertheless, I don't think most of us seriously expect the society within which we live to collapse, or even to suddenly degrade, to such an extent that it can be described as "the end of the world as we know it".

Two recent articles propose different, and rather more worrying, ways of looking at that possibility.  They certainly made me think twice - and I'm still thinking about them.  What's more, they appear to be from different areas of the ideological spectrum, yet come to alarmingly similar conclusions.  As an exercise in "WHAT IF?", I recommend them to you, too.

The first article is titled "Why We’re Underestimating American Collapse:  The Strange New Pathologies of the World’s First Rich Failed State".  Here's an excerpt.  Bold print is my emphasis.

When we take a hard look at US collapse, we see a number of social pathologies on the rise. Not just any kind. Not even troubling, worrying, and dangerous ones. But strange and bizarre ones. Unique ones. Singular and gruesomely weird ones I’ve never really seen before, and outside of a dystopia written by Dickens and Orwell, nor have you, and neither has history. They suggest that whatever “numbers” we use to represent decline — shrinking real incomes, inequality, and so on —we are in fact grossly underestimating what pundits call the “human toll”, but which sensible human beings like you and I should simply think of as the overwhelming despair, rage, and anxiety of living in a collapsing society.

Let me give you just five examples of what I’ll call the social pathologies of collapse — strange, weird, and gruesome new diseases, not just ones we don’t usually see in healthy societies, but ones that we have never really seen before in any modern society.

America has had 11 school shootings in the last 23 days. That’s one every other day, more or less. That statistic is alarming enough — but it is just a number. Perspective asks us for comparison. So let me put that another way. America has had 11 school shootings in the last 23 days, which is more than anywhere else in the world, even Afghanistan or Iraq. In fact, the phenomenon of regular school shootings appears to be a unique feature of American collapse — it just doesn’t happen in any other country — and that is what I mean by “social pathologies of collapse”: a new, bizarre, terrible disease striking society.

Why are American kids killing each other? Why doesn’t their society care enough to intervene? Well, probably because those kids have given up on life — and their elders have given up on them. Or maybe you’re right — and it’s not that simple. Still, what do the kids who aren’t killing each other do? Well, a lot of them are busy killing themselves.

So there is of course also an “opioid epidemic”. We use that phrase too casually, but it much more troubling than it appears on first glance. Here is what is really curious about it. In many countries in the world — most of Asia and Africa — one can buy all the opioids one wants from any local pharmacy, without a prescription. You might suppose then that opioid abuse as a mass epidemic would be a global phenomenon. Yet we don’t see opioid epidemics anywhere but America — especially not ones so vicious and widespread they shrink life expectancy. So the “opioid epidemic” — mass self-medication with the hardest of hard drugs — is again a social pathology of collapse: unique to American life. It is not quite captured in the numbers, but only through comparison — and when we see it in global perspective, we get a sense of just how singularly troubled American life really is.

There's more at the link.

The second article, courtesy of a link sent to me by Old NFO, is titled "The Surprisingly Solid Mathematical Case of the Tin Foil Hat Gun Prepper".

While we don’t have any good sources of data on how often zombies take over the world, we definitely have good sources of data on when the group of people on the piece of dirt we currently call the USA attempt to overthrow the ruling government. It’s happened twice since colonization. The first one, the American Revolution, succeeded. The second one, the Civil War, failed. But they are both qualifying events.

. . .

Two instances in 340 years is not a great data pool to work with, I will grant, but if you take a grab sample of other countries around the world you’ll see this could be much worse. Since our 1678 benchmark, Russia has had a two world wars, a civil war, a revolution, and at least half a dozen uprisings, depending on how you want to count them. Depending on when you start the clock, France had a 30-year war, a seven-year war, a particularly nasty revolution, a counter-revolution, that Napoleon thing, and a couple of world wars tacked on the end. China, North Korea, Vietnam, and basically most of the Pacific Rim has had some flavor of violent revolution in the last 100 years, sometimes more than one. With Africa, it’s hard to even conceive where to start and end the data points. Most Central and South American countries have had significant qualifying events in the time span. And honestly, if we were to widen our analysis to not only include nationwide violent civil wars, but also instances of slavery, internment, and taking of native lands, our own numbers go way up.

Or we could look at a modern snapshot. Counting places like the Vatican, we have 195 countries on the planet today. Somalia is basically in perpetual war, Syria is a hot mess with no signs of mitigation any time soon, Iraq is sketchy, Afghanistan has been in some flavor of civil war or occupation my entire life outside the salad days of the Taliban, and Libya is in such deep throes of anarchy that they’ve reinvented the African slave trade. Venezuela. The Israeli-Palestinian conflict may be a qualifying event depending on how you define it. And again, Africa is ... hard to even conceive of where to start. Spitballing, perhaps 3% of the nations in the modern world are in some version of violent revolt against the ruling government, some worse than others. There’s at least some case to be made that our 0.5% annual chance estimate may be low, if we’re looking at comps.

Or we could look at a broader historical brush. Since the fall of Constantinople in 1453, there have been 465 sovereign nations which no longer exist, and that doesn’t even count colonies, secessionist states, or annexed countries. Even if we presume that half of these nation-state transitions were peaceful, which is probably a vast over-estimation, that’s still an average of one violent state transition every 2.43 years.

If we look at raw dialectic alone, we reach dismal conclusions. “Do you think the United States will exist forever and until the end of time?” Clearly any reasonable answer must be “no.” So at that point, we’re not talking “if,” but “when.”

. . .

Pretend you’re someone with your eyes on the horizon. What would you be looking for, exactly? Increasing partisanship. Civil disorder. Coup rhetoric. A widening wealth gap. A further entrenching oligarchy. Dysfunctional governance. The rise of violent extremist ideologies such as Nazism and Communism. Violent street protests. People marching with masks and dressing like the Italian Blackshirts. Attempts at large scale political assassination. Any one of those might not necessarily be the canary in the coal mine, but all of them in aggregate might be alarming to someone with their eyes on the horizon.

Again, more at the link.

I'm not a TEOTWAWKI alarmist - far from it, as regular readers will be aware.  Nevertheless, these two articles, particularly taken in combination, provide a different and very thought-provoking perspective on our American way of life.  What does the future hold in store for us?  No-one can be sure . . . but it's possible that it may be more "interesting", in the sense of the purported Chinese curse, than most of us would like it to be.

(If you haven't already read them, "Selco's" experiences during the Bosnian civil war of 1992-1995 are worth studying.  That's an extreme, admittedly . . . but even a year before it happened, I'm sure he and his family and friends would have absolutely refused to believe that such things were possible.  I've personally seen and lived through some similar circumstances in parts of Africa - and, right now, they're happening in Venezuela and other parts of Latin America.  Don't think, "They can't happen here!"  I agree they're very unlikely in the USA, on the face of it, but . . . I've been unpleasantly surprised before.  In particular, if you're among the more vulnerable sections of the population - e.g. older, less fit, less healthy, etc. [all of which descriptions apply to me] - then you need to be more prepared than those in better condition, who will have a better physical chance to make it through an emergency.  For people in such circumstances, the above articles are even more thought-provoking.)

Peter

Tuesday, May 1, 2018

Outta the way, human!


This made me laugh - a surf traffic incident off Australia.





"Coming through!" - or, Mother Nature always has the right of way!

Peter

Pizza gets complicated sometimes


Received via e-mail, origin unknown (clickit to biggit):




The Texas pizza illustration is a dead libel, I'll have you know.  There are a couple of pizzerias within striking distance of my home where the pizza is to die for.  I don't know about Boston, though . . . do they serve baked beans with their tacos?




Peter

Ballsy!


I suspect intelligence agencies all over the world are at present tipping their hats, metaphorically speaking, to Israel's Mossad.  If published accounts are to be believed (and it's never that simple), their most recent operation was a masterpiece, the kind of thing that'll be studied in training academies for decades to come.

Israeli spies reportedly broke into an Iranian nuclear archive in southern Tehran last year and hauled out half a tonne of documents in operation completed in a single night.

The raid is said to have provided the intelligence behind Benjamin Netanyahu’s public accusation that Iran lied to the world about its nuclear programme before and after the 2015 Iran deal.

The Israeli prime minister described the operation as one of Israel’s “biggest-ever intelligence achievements” but gave few details about how it came about during his speech at the Israeli defence ministry on Monday.

An Israeli official told the New York Times that the Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence agency, first learned of the facility in the Shorabad district of Tehran in February 2016 – just weeks after the nuclear agreement went into force.

The site was kept under surveillance for nearly two years. “Few Iranians knew where it was, very few, and also a few Israelis,” Mr Netanyahu said.

Mossad operatives broke into the unassuming warehouse and stole 55,000 pages of documents and 183 CDs worth of information, Israel said. Mr Netanyahu said the operation was completed “a few weeks ago”.

The vast haul was reportedly spirited out of Iran and back to Israel in a single night. There was no detail about how the Mossad agents managed to get such a large and physically heavy haul out of the country.

Donald Trump was reportedly briefed on the operation this January by Yossi Cohen, the head of the Mossad, during a trip to Washington.

The documents, which were almost all in Farsi, were shared with the US. “We assess that the documents we have reviewed are authentic,” said Mike Pompeo, the US secretary of state.

There's more at the link.

If they got them all out in one night, that would have been a very precisely coordinated operation indeed, probably involving both ground and air transportation.  From an "informed amateur" perspective, I'd suspect it involved vehicles that could be driven to a secluded spot where a C-130 transport (or something similar) could land.  The vehicles would have been driven straight up the ramp into the cargo hold and strapped down, then the plane would have taken off again.  It could probably have been in and out of the country in no more than an hour or two.

Smart work, and very courageous indeed on the part of the operators involved.  Capture would undoubtedly have resulted in torture and an agonizing death.  Kudos to all involved.

As for Iranian security procedures . . . dare one say they were clearly Farsi-cal?




Peter

Playing politics with our children's lives


I'm obliged to Aaron at The Shekel for bringing to our attention the remarkable facts uncovered by a Broward County student investigating the Parkland school shooting.  He highlights Twitchy's coverage of the issue, which leads to other links.  In order, the articles are:

  1. Aaron:  "Just When You Thought Broward County's Failures Concerning The Parkland Shooting Can't Get Any Worse, They Do".
  2. Twitchy:  " 'My blood is boiling': Broward student journalist lays out his case against superintendent, school board".
  3. The Hill:  "Exclusive: Broward County’s $100 million failure on school safety".

I strongly recommend taking the time to follow each of those links, and read the articles in question.  They're enough to make your blood boil.  In so many words, the murder of seventeen schoolchildren was entirely avoidable, if the authorities had acted as they should;  and, since the event, those same authorities have lied, obfuscated and dodged the question in an attempt to deny or avoid responsibility for their actions.  It's a sickening tale of official betrayal of trust.

Aaron sums up:

While the blame for these murders lies squarely with the killer, the errors of both omission and commission on the part of the Broward County School Board and The Broward County Sheriffs Office along with a fumble by the FBI and a push from the Obama administration set the stage for this event to happen.

. . .

The sheer amount of fail before, during, and after the shooting is rather staggering. Verily, it takes a village to mess this up this consistently over and over again. So of course, instead of blaming themselves for this causal chain of events a mile long and years in the making, they decided to blame the NRA.

This is as if the powers that be decided to ignore arsonists as it made their crime stats look bad, knew there was one around the area, and knew exactly who the local arsonist was who was setting a series of small fires. Knowing that, they then took a bunch of flammable material, piled it up in a building, soaked it in gasoline, and after being told the arsonist was going to come set it on fire did nothing. After the arsonist gets on social media and says he's coming to light the building on fire they still do nothing. Then, when the arsonist went ahead and in fact lit a match, tosses it onto the gas-soaked pile and burned the building down, they held a press conference to blame the National Match Association for advocating for law-abiding people to be allowed to own matches and preventing common sense match control and match bans.

There's more at the link.  Highly recommended reading.

If I lived in Broward County, after reading those reports, I'd mobilize my friends.  We'd be demonstrating outside the offices of the county School Board and Sheriff's Office every single day, demanding the dismissal - without retirement or any other benefits - of any and all officials involved in this catastrophe, who played any part whatsoever in the events that inexorably led to the deaths of seventeen schoolchildren and the injuring of seventeen more.  I'd also be demanding that a full investigation be conducted, with at least civil, if not criminal charges resulting against as many of the guilty as possible.

I greatly fear that if the people of Broward County don't demand action like that, then sooner or later the same thing will happen there again.  It's as simple as that.  That's also a warning to the rest of us to examine our own local affairs, right now, to make sure the same mistakes are not being made closer to home.  If we don't . . . if we merely accept that the authorities in our area are doing all they can, without checking to make sure they are . . . then, when our children are murdered in the same way, we won't have a leg to stand on.  We'll be complicit in their murder, because we just didn't care.

Peter