I'm getting a very nasty feeling at the back of my neck about current developments.
- The Russian ambassador to Turkey is murdered, apparently by a fanatical Muslim extremist who'd concealed his conversion and continued to function as a Turkish security policeman. Meanwhile, our own president is conspicuous by his silence and seeming lack of concern about the incident. I'm sure Russia got the message loud and clear: he doesn't care.
- A senior Russian source alleges that NATO may be behind the assassination. That would make no sense at all, but then, nothing in this situation can be described as logical or rational.
- ISIS, driven out of Aleppo by a combined Syrian/Russian offensive, promptly regroups and retakes Palmyra. It's like water. When it's squeezed out of one place, it flows into another. It's very hard to 'kill' a group like that.
- Iran threatens to destroy Israel (again), and Israel responds bluntly. Israel knows it has a more supportive US president taking office next month, and has just taken delivery of its first stealth strike aircraft. I think its previous reluctance to act may be conspicuous by its absence before long.
- Rising populist forces in Europe are speaking out louder than ever against Muslim immigration. Expect them to win electoral victories next year. That will inevitably lead to conflict as Muslim immigrants 'push back'. The level of conflict may approach civil war in some areas where militants have taken control, such as some of Paris' banlieue's.
The assassination in Turkey appears to have eerie parallels to another in Sarajevo, in June, 1914. Will this one have similarly disastrous consequences? One sincerely hopes and prays not . . . but instability and uncertainty are the hallmarks of the current situation. Nobody knows.